MatchProb Analytics

MatchProb

Football match probabilities, team-form indicators, and scoring trend context in one structured dashboard.

Structured around probability, scoring conditions, and prior recorded results.

Pre-match probabilities Form and scoring context Backtested validation

Statistical Match Probabilities

Structured Home/Draw/Away, goal, and scoring-likelihood outputs with transparent presentation.

Team Form & Scoring Trends

Recent performance context is displayed alongside league goal environment indicators.

Historical Validation

Stored backtest examples and summary metrics keep the live view grounded in recorded model performance.

Clear Data-Driven Insights

A practical pre-match analytics workflow built for clarity and fast interpretation.

MatchProb Predictor

Select a competition and team pairing to generate a structured pre-match probability view with scoring context and recent performance cues.

Active Team PoolUnavailableSelect a league first
Teams AvailableUnavailableSelect a league first
Coverage ThroughUnavailableSelect a league first
Data RefreshedUnavailableSelect a league first

Historical performance

Results

Historical results across Top Pick and the main match markets.

Top Pick highlights the model's clearest supported angle in each historical example.

Use these results as a guide to how the model has performed across prior recorded forecasts. Probability Accuracy shows how closely forecast probabilities matched outcomes. Lower is better.

Top Pick

Top Pick Hit Rate53.47%Strongest supported match angle
Top Pick Avg Probability62.54%Average selected pick probability
Top Pick Probability Accuracy0.2465Lower is better
Confidence Success56.22%High-confidence Top Picks

Core Markets

1X2 Hit Rate48.94%Match result hit rate
O/U 2.5 Hit Rate54.98%Over/under market hit rate
BTS Market Hit Rate54.68%Both-teams-to-score market hit rate
Over 2.5 Actual Rate49.55%Share of matches finishing over 2.5

Accuracy

1X2 Probability Accuracy0.6124Lower is better
Over 2.5 Probability Accuracy0.2535Lower is better
BTS Probability Accuracy0.2513Lower is better
BTS Actual Rate51.66%Share of matches with both teams scoring

Results Filters

Top Pick metrics for the current filtered historical examples.

Matches331Historical examples in scope
Top Pick Hit Rate53.47%Selected Top Pick rows
Top Pick Avg Probability62.54%Average selected pick probability
Confidence Success56.22%High-confidence Top Picks

Historical Examples

Recent Backtested Examples

Historical examples of the model's strongest selected angle for each match.

Showing 71-80 of 331 examples.

DateCompetitionMatchMarketPredictedActualResultConfidence
04-04-26Scotland - Premier LeagueMotherwell vs Falkirk1X2
Home51.14%
Away2-3
MISSHigh80/100
04-04-26Scotland - Premier LeagueHibernian vs Kilmarnock1X2
Home74.91%
Home3-0
HITHigh87/100
04-04-26Belgium - Jupiler LeagueSt. Gilloise vs St Truiden1X2
Home76.78%
Home1-0
HITHigh81/100
04-04-26Belgium - Jupiler LeagueOud-Heverlee Leuven vs Standard1X2
Home47.39%
Away1-3
MISSMedium66/100
04-04-26Belgium - Jupiler LeagueWaregem vs Cercle BruggeBTS
BTS Yes58.58%
BTS Yes2-2
HITHigh73/100
04-04-26France - Ligue 1Lille vs LensBTS
BTS Yes53.85%
BTS No3-0
MISSLow21/100
04-04-26France - Ligue 1Brest vs RennesBTS
BTS Yes57.13%
BTS Yes3-4
HITLow43/100
04-04-26France - Ligue 1Strasbourg vs Nice1X2
Home49.71%
Home3-1
HITHigh77/100
04-04-26Netherlands - EredivisieExcelsior vs Nijmegen1X2
Away62.54%
Away0-2
HITHigh83/100
04-04-26Netherlands - EredivisieAjax vs Twente1X2
Home54.19%
Away1-2
MISSHigh78/100
04-04-26Scotland - Premier League

Motherwell vs Falkirk

1X2
PredictedHome51.14%
ActualAway2-3
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh80/100
04-04-26Scotland - Premier League

Hibernian vs Kilmarnock

1X2
PredictedHome74.91%
ActualHome3-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh87/100
04-04-26Belgium - Jupiler League

St. Gilloise vs St Truiden

1X2
PredictedHome76.78%
ActualHome1-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh81/100
04-04-26Belgium - Jupiler League

Oud-Heverlee Leuven vs Standard

1X2
PredictedHome47.39%
ActualAway1-3
ResultMISS
ConfidenceMedium66/100
04-04-26Belgium - Jupiler League

Waregem vs Cercle Brugge

BTS
PredictedBTS Yes58.58%
ActualBTS Yes2-2
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh73/100
04-04-26France - Ligue 1

Lille vs Lens

BTS
PredictedBTS Yes53.85%
ActualBTS No3-0
ResultMISS
ConfidenceLow21/100
04-04-26France - Ligue 1

Brest vs Rennes

BTS
PredictedBTS Yes57.13%
ActualBTS Yes3-4
ResultHIT
ConfidenceLow43/100
04-04-26France - Ligue 1

Strasbourg vs Nice

1X2
PredictedHome49.71%
ActualHome3-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh77/100
04-04-26Netherlands - Eredivisie

Excelsior vs Nijmegen

1X2
PredictedAway62.54%
ActualAway0-2
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh83/100
04-04-26Netherlands - Eredivisie

Ajax vs Twente

1X2
PredictedHome54.19%
ActualAway1-2
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh78/100
Showing 71-80 of 331 examples
10 rows per page

Interpretation Guidance

Match probabilities describe estimated likelihood ranges, not fixed outcomes. Treat forecasts as context and combine them with your own match analysis.