MatchProb Analytics

MatchProb

Football match probabilities, team-form indicators, and scoring trend context in one structured dashboard.

Structured around probability, scoring conditions, and prior recorded results.

Pre-match probabilities Form and scoring context Backtested validation

Statistical Match Probabilities

Structured Home/Draw/Away, goal, and scoring-likelihood outputs with transparent presentation.

Team Form & Scoring Trends

Recent performance context is displayed alongside league goal environment indicators.

Historical Validation

Stored backtest examples and summary metrics keep the live view grounded in recorded model performance.

Clear Data-Driven Insights

A practical pre-match analytics workflow built for clarity and fast interpretation.

MatchProb Predictor

Select a competition and team pairing to generate a structured pre-match probability view with scoring context and recent performance cues.

Active Team PoolUnavailableSelect a league first
Teams AvailableUnavailableSelect a league first
Coverage ThroughUnavailableSelect a league first
Data RefreshedUnavailableSelect a league first

Historical performance

Results

Historical results across Top Pick and the main match markets.

Top Pick highlights the model's clearest supported angle in each historical example.

Use these results as a guide to how the model has performed across prior recorded forecasts. Probability Accuracy shows how closely forecast probabilities matched outcomes. Lower is better.

Top Pick

Top Pick Hit Rate53.47%Strongest supported match angle
Top Pick Avg Probability62.54%Average selected pick probability
Top Pick Probability Accuracy0.2465Lower is better
Confidence Success56.22%High-confidence Top Picks

Core Markets

1X2 Hit Rate48.94%Match result hit rate
O/U 2.5 Hit Rate54.98%Over/under market hit rate
BTS Market Hit Rate54.68%Both-teams-to-score market hit rate
Over 2.5 Actual Rate49.55%Share of matches finishing over 2.5

Accuracy

1X2 Probability Accuracy0.6124Lower is better
Over 2.5 Probability Accuracy0.2535Lower is better
BTS Probability Accuracy0.2513Lower is better
BTS Actual Rate51.66%Share of matches with both teams scoring

Results Filters

Top Pick metrics for the current filtered historical examples.

Matches331Historical examples in scope
Top Pick Hit Rate53.47%Selected Top Pick rows
Top Pick Avg Probability62.54%Average selected pick probability
Confidence Success56.22%High-confidence Top Picks

Historical Examples

Recent Backtested Examples

Historical examples of the model's strongest selected angle for each match.

Showing 51-60 of 331 examples.

DateCompetitionMatchMarketPredictedActualResultConfidence
05-04-26Greece - Ethniki KatigoriaPAOK vs Panathinaikos1X2
Home56.56%
Draw0-0
MISSHigh80/100
05-04-26Greece - Ethniki KatigoriaVolos NFC vs OFI CreteBTS
BTS Yes52.30%
BTS Yes1-1
HITLow23/100
05-04-26Greece - Ethniki KatigoriaLevadeiakos vs ArisO/U 2.5
Under 2.561.16%
Under 2.51-1
HITLow34/100
05-04-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1Fenerbahçe vs BeşiktaşO/U 2.5
Over 2.570.20%
Under 2.51-0
MISSHigh76/100
05-04-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1Antalyaspor vs EyupsporO/U 2.5
Under 2.568.65%
Over 2.53-0
MISSMedium47/100
05-04-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1Samsunspor vs Konyaspor1X2
Home45.15%
Draw2-2
MISSMedium62/100
05-04-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1Karagumruk vs RizesporBTS
BTS Yes58.14%
BTS Yes2-1
HITMedium61/100
04-04-26Germany - Bundesliga 1Stuttgart vs DortmundO/U 2.5
Over 2.570.37%
Under 2.50-2
MISSLow30/100
04-04-26Germany - Bundesliga 1Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig1X2
Away59.69%
Away1-2
HITHigh82/100
04-04-26Germany - Bundesliga 1M'gladbach vs Heidenheim1X2
Home55.64%
Draw2-2
MISSHigh80/100
05-04-26Greece - Ethniki Katigoria

PAOK vs Panathinaikos

1X2
PredictedHome56.56%
ActualDraw0-0
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh80/100
05-04-26Greece - Ethniki Katigoria

Volos NFC vs OFI Crete

BTS
PredictedBTS Yes52.30%
ActualBTS Yes1-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceLow23/100
05-04-26Greece - Ethniki Katigoria

Levadeiakos vs Aris

O/U 2.5
PredictedUnder 2.561.16%
ActualUnder 2.51-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceLow34/100
05-04-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1

Fenerbahçe vs Beşiktaş

O/U 2.5
PredictedOver 2.570.20%
ActualUnder 2.51-0
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh76/100
05-04-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1

Antalyaspor vs Eyupspor

O/U 2.5
PredictedUnder 2.568.65%
ActualOver 2.53-0
ResultMISS
ConfidenceMedium47/100
05-04-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1

Samsunspor vs Konyaspor

1X2
PredictedHome45.15%
ActualDraw2-2
ResultMISS
ConfidenceMedium62/100
05-04-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1

Karagumruk vs Rizespor

BTS
PredictedBTS Yes58.14%
ActualBTS Yes2-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceMedium61/100
04-04-26Germany - Bundesliga 1

Stuttgart vs Dortmund

O/U 2.5
PredictedOver 2.570.37%
ActualUnder 2.50-2
ResultMISS
ConfidenceLow30/100
04-04-26Germany - Bundesliga 1

Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig

1X2
PredictedAway59.69%
ActualAway1-2
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh82/100
04-04-26Germany - Bundesliga 1

M'gladbach vs Heidenheim

1X2
PredictedHome55.64%
ActualDraw2-2
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh80/100
Showing 51-60 of 331 examples
10 rows per page

Interpretation Guidance

Match probabilities describe estimated likelihood ranges, not fixed outcomes. Treat forecasts as context and combine them with your own match analysis.