MatchProb Analytics

MatchProb

Football match probabilities, team-form indicators, and scoring trend context in one structured dashboard.

Structured around probability, scoring conditions, and prior recorded results.

Pre-match probabilities Form and scoring context Backtested validation

Statistical Match Probabilities

Structured Home/Draw/Away, goal, and scoring-likelihood outputs with transparent presentation.

Team Form & Scoring Trends

Recent performance context is displayed alongside league goal environment indicators.

Historical Validation

Stored backtest examples and summary metrics keep the live view grounded in recorded model performance.

Clear Data-Driven Insights

A practical pre-match analytics workflow built for clarity and fast interpretation.

MatchProb Predictor

Select a competition and team pairing to generate a structured pre-match probability view with scoring context and recent performance cues.

Active Team PoolUnavailableSelect a league first
Teams AvailableUnavailableSelect a league first
Coverage ThroughUnavailableSelect a league first
Data RefreshedUnavailableSelect a league first

Historical performance

Results

Historical results across Top Pick and the main match markets.

Top Pick highlights the model's clearest supported angle in each historical example.

Use these results as a guide to how the model has performed across prior recorded forecasts. Probability Accuracy shows how closely forecast probabilities matched outcomes. Lower is better.

Top Pick

Top Pick Hit Rate56.26%Strongest supported match angle
Top Pick Avg Probability63.06%Average selected pick probability
Top Pick Probability Accuracy0.2425Lower is better
Confidence Success58.62%High-confidence Top Picks

Core Markets

1X2 Hit Rate49.55%Match result hit rate
O/U 2.5 Hit Rate57.71%Over/under market hit rate
BTS Market Hit Rate56.81%Both-teams-to-score market hit rate
Over 2.5 Actual Rate51.36%Share of matches finishing over 2.5

Accuracy

1X2 Probability Accuracy0.6087Lower is better
Over 2.5 Probability Accuracy0.2426Lower is better
BTS Probability Accuracy0.2470Lower is better
BTS Actual Rate52.63%Share of matches with both teams scoring

Results Filters

Top Pick metrics for the current filtered historical examples.

Matches551Historical examples in scope
Top Pick Hit Rate56.26%Selected Top Pick rows
Top Pick Avg Probability63.06%Average selected pick probability
Confidence Success58.62%High-confidence Top Picks

Historical Examples

Recent Backtested Examples

Historical examples of the model's strongest selected angle for each match.

Showing 51-60 of 551 examples.

DateCompetitionMatchMarketPredictedActualResultConfidence
21-03-26Portugal - Liga ISanta Clara vs Gil VicenteO/U 2.5
Under 2.571.09%
Under 2.51-0
HITMedium54/100
21-03-26Portugal - Liga IBenfica vs Guimaraes1X2
Home91.20%
Home3-0
HITHigh90/100
21-03-26Portugal - Liga IMoreirense vs AroucaO/U 2.5
Under 2.558.27%
Under 2.50-1
HITLow16/100
21-03-26Portugal - Liga IFamalicao vs Nacional1X2
Home61.58%
Home1-0
HITHigh86/100
21-03-26Netherlands - EredivisieZwolle vs NAC Breda1X2
Home52.70%
Home2-1
HITHigh78/100
21-03-26Netherlands - EredivisieSparta Rotterdam vs Volendam1X2
Home61.40%
Home2-0
HITHigh79/100
21-03-26Netherlands - EredivisieFor Sittard vs Twente1X2
Away65.35%
Away1-2
HITHigh82/100
21-03-26Scotland - Premier LeagueRangers vs Aberdeen1X2
Home89.40%
Home4-1
HITHigh90/100
21-03-26Scotland - Premier LeagueMotherwell vs HibernianBTS
BTS Yes57.48%
BTS No0-0
MISSHigh74/100
21-03-26Scotland - Premier LeagueKilmarnock vs Livingston1X2
Home62.80%
Home2-0
HITHigh81/100
21-03-26Portugal - Liga I

Santa Clara vs Gil Vicente

O/U 2.5
PredictedUnder 2.571.09%
ActualUnder 2.51-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceMedium54/100
21-03-26Portugal - Liga I

Benfica vs Guimaraes

1X2
PredictedHome91.20%
ActualHome3-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh90/100
21-03-26Portugal - Liga I

Moreirense vs Arouca

O/U 2.5
PredictedUnder 2.558.27%
ActualUnder 2.50-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceLow16/100
21-03-26Portugal - Liga I

Famalicao vs Nacional

1X2
PredictedHome61.58%
ActualHome1-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh86/100
21-03-26Netherlands - Eredivisie

Zwolle vs NAC Breda

1X2
PredictedHome52.70%
ActualHome2-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh78/100
21-03-26Netherlands - Eredivisie

Sparta Rotterdam vs Volendam

1X2
PredictedHome61.40%
ActualHome2-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh79/100
21-03-26Netherlands - Eredivisie

For Sittard vs Twente

1X2
PredictedAway65.35%
ActualAway1-2
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh82/100
21-03-26Scotland - Premier League

Rangers vs Aberdeen

1X2
PredictedHome89.40%
ActualHome4-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh90/100
21-03-26Scotland - Premier League

Motherwell vs Hibernian

BTS
PredictedBTS Yes57.48%
ActualBTS No0-0
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh74/100
21-03-26Scotland - Premier League

Kilmarnock vs Livingston

1X2
PredictedHome62.80%
ActualHome2-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh81/100
Showing 51-60 of 551 examples
10 rows per page

Interpretation Guidance

Match probabilities describe estimated likelihood ranges, not fixed outcomes. Treat forecasts as context and combine them with your own match analysis.