MatchProb Analytics

MatchProb

Football match probabilities, team-form indicators, and scoring trend context in one structured dashboard.

Structured around probability, scoring conditions, and prior recorded results.

Pre-match probabilities Form and scoring context Backtested validation

Statistical Match Probabilities

Structured Home/Draw/Away, goal, and scoring-likelihood outputs with transparent presentation.

Team Form & Scoring Trends

Recent performance context is displayed alongside league goal environment indicators.

Historical Validation

Stored backtest examples and summary metrics keep the live view grounded in recorded model performance.

Clear Data-Driven Insights

A practical pre-match analytics workflow built for clarity and fast interpretation.

MatchProb Predictor

Select a competition and team pairing to generate a structured pre-match probability view with scoring context and recent performance cues.

Active Team PoolUnavailableSelect a league first
Teams AvailableUnavailableSelect a league first
Coverage ThroughUnavailableSelect a league first
Data RefreshedUnavailableSelect a league first

Historical performance

Results

Historical results across Top Pick and the main match markets.

Top Pick highlights the model's clearest supported angle in each historical example.

Use these results as a guide to how the model has performed across prior recorded forecasts. Probability Accuracy shows how closely forecast probabilities matched outcomes. Lower is better.

Top Pick

Top Pick Hit Rate53.47%Strongest supported match angle
Top Pick Avg Probability62.54%Average selected pick probability
Top Pick Probability Accuracy0.2465Lower is better
Confidence Success56.22%High-confidence Top Picks

Core Markets

1X2 Hit Rate48.94%Match result hit rate
O/U 2.5 Hit Rate54.98%Over/under market hit rate
BTS Market Hit Rate54.68%Both-teams-to-score market hit rate
Over 2.5 Actual Rate49.55%Share of matches finishing over 2.5

Accuracy

1X2 Probability Accuracy0.6124Lower is better
Over 2.5 Probability Accuracy0.2535Lower is better
BTS Probability Accuracy0.2513Lower is better
BTS Actual Rate51.66%Share of matches with both teams scoring

Results Filters

Top Pick metrics for the current filtered historical examples.

Matches331Historical examples in scope
Top Pick Hit Rate53.47%Selected Top Pick rows
Top Pick Avg Probability62.54%Average selected pick probability
Confidence Success56.22%High-confidence Top Picks

Historical Examples

Recent Backtested Examples

Historical examples of the model's strongest selected angle for each match.

Showing 1-10 of 331 examples.

DateCompetitionMatchMarketPredictedActualResultConfidence
09-04-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1Rizespor vs SamsunsporO/U 2.5
Under 2.557.58%
Over 2.54-1
MISSLow26/100
08-04-26Greece - Ethniki KatigoriaAtromitos vs Kifisia1X2
Home47.31%
Draw0-0
MISSMedium65/100
08-04-26Greece - Ethniki KatigoriaPanserraikos vs Asteras Tripolis1X2
Draw42.67%
Draw0-0
HITMedium48/100
08-04-26Greece - Ethniki KatigoriaLarisa vs PanetolikosO/U 2.5
Under 2.568.18%
Over 2.51-2
MISSLow20/100
08-04-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1Goztep vs Galatasaray1X2
Away60.54%
Away1-3
HITHigh78/100
07-04-26England - ChampionshipWrexham vs SouthamptonO/U 2.5
Over 2.577.07%
Over 2.51-5
HITMedium64/100
06-04-26Portugal - Liga ICasa Pia vs Benfica1X2
Away87.41%
Draw1-1
MISSHigh92/100
06-04-26Portugal - Liga IArouca vs EstorilBTS
BTS Yes60.24%
BTS Yes3-2
HITLow36/100
06-04-26Belgium - Jupiler LeagueGent vs Mechelen1X2
Home55.98%
Draw1-1
MISSHigh78/100
06-04-26Belgium - Jupiler LeagueRAAL La Louviere vs DenderO/U 2.5
Under 2.565.03%
Under 2.50-1
HITLow32/100
09-04-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1

Rizespor vs Samsunspor

O/U 2.5
PredictedUnder 2.557.58%
ActualOver 2.54-1
ResultMISS
ConfidenceLow26/100
08-04-26Greece - Ethniki Katigoria

Atromitos vs Kifisia

1X2
PredictedHome47.31%
ActualDraw0-0
ResultMISS
ConfidenceMedium65/100
08-04-26Greece - Ethniki Katigoria

Panserraikos vs Asteras Tripolis

1X2
PredictedDraw42.67%
ActualDraw0-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceMedium48/100
08-04-26Greece - Ethniki Katigoria

Larisa vs Panetolikos

O/U 2.5
PredictedUnder 2.568.18%
ActualOver 2.51-2
ResultMISS
ConfidenceLow20/100
08-04-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1

Goztep vs Galatasaray

1X2
PredictedAway60.54%
ActualAway1-3
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh78/100
07-04-26England - Championship

Wrexham vs Southampton

O/U 2.5
PredictedOver 2.577.07%
ActualOver 2.51-5
ResultHIT
ConfidenceMedium64/100
06-04-26Portugal - Liga I

Casa Pia vs Benfica

1X2
PredictedAway87.41%
ActualDraw1-1
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh92/100
06-04-26Portugal - Liga I

Arouca vs Estoril

BTS
PredictedBTS Yes60.24%
ActualBTS Yes3-2
ResultHIT
ConfidenceLow36/100
06-04-26Belgium - Jupiler League

Gent vs Mechelen

1X2
PredictedHome55.98%
ActualDraw1-1
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh78/100
06-04-26Belgium - Jupiler League

RAAL La Louviere vs Dender

O/U 2.5
PredictedUnder 2.565.03%
ActualUnder 2.50-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceLow32/100
Showing 1-10 of 331 examples
10 rows per page

Interpretation Guidance

Match probabilities describe estimated likelihood ranges, not fixed outcomes. Treat forecasts as context and combine them with your own match analysis.