MatchProb Analytics

MatchProb

Football match probabilities, team-form indicators, and scoring trend context in one structured dashboard.

Structured around probability, scoring conditions, and prior recorded results.

Pre-match probabilities Form and scoring context Backtested validation

Statistical Match Probabilities

Structured Home/Draw/Away, goal, and scoring-likelihood outputs with transparent presentation.

Team Form & Scoring Trends

Recent performance context is displayed alongside league goal environment indicators.

Historical Validation

Stored backtest examples and summary metrics keep the live view grounded in recorded model performance.

Clear Data-Driven Insights

A practical pre-match analytics workflow built for clarity and fast interpretation.

MatchProb Predictor

Select a competition and team pairing to generate a structured pre-match probability view with scoring context and recent performance cues.

Active Team PoolUnavailableSelect a league first
Teams AvailableUnavailableSelect a league first
Coverage ThroughUnavailableSelect a league first
Data RefreshedUnavailableSelect a league first

Historical performance

Results

Historical results across Top Pick and the main match markets.

Top Pick highlights the model's clearest supported angle in each historical example.

Use these results as a guide to how the model has performed across prior recorded forecasts. Probability Accuracy shows how closely forecast probabilities matched outcomes. Lower is better.

Top Pick

Top Pick Hit Rate53.47%Strongest supported match angle
Top Pick Avg Probability62.54%Average selected pick probability
Top Pick Probability Accuracy0.2465Lower is better
Confidence Success56.22%High-confidence Top Picks

Core Markets

1X2 Hit Rate48.94%Match result hit rate
O/U 2.5 Hit Rate54.98%Over/under market hit rate
BTS Market Hit Rate54.68%Both-teams-to-score market hit rate
Over 2.5 Actual Rate49.55%Share of matches finishing over 2.5

Accuracy

1X2 Probability Accuracy0.6124Lower is better
Over 2.5 Probability Accuracy0.2535Lower is better
BTS Probability Accuracy0.2513Lower is better
BTS Actual Rate51.66%Share of matches with both teams scoring

Results Filters

Top Pick metrics for the current filtered historical examples.

Matches331Historical examples in scope
Top Pick Hit Rate53.47%Selected Top Pick rows
Top Pick Avg Probability62.54%Average selected pick probability
Confidence Success56.22%High-confidence Top Picks

Historical Examples

Recent Backtested Examples

Historical examples of the model's strongest selected angle for each match.

Showing 61-70 of 331 examples.

DateCompetitionMatchMarketPredictedActualResultConfidence
04-04-26Germany - Bundesliga 1Leverkusen vs Wolfsburg1X2
Home73.23%
Home6-3
HITHigh89/100
04-04-26Germany - Bundesliga 1Hoffenheim vs MainzO/U 2.5
Over 2.567.79%
Over 2.51-2
HITHigh78/100
04-04-26Germany - Bundesliga 1Hamburg vs Augsburg1X2
Home45.33%
Draw1-1
MISSMedium64/100
04-04-26Germany - Bundesliga 1Freiburg vs Bayern Munich1X2
Away79.05%
Away2-3
HITHigh90/100
04-04-26Portugal - Liga IPorto vs Famalicao1X2
Home83.04%
Draw2-2
MISSHigh89/100
04-04-26Portugal - Liga IRio Ave vs Alverca1X2
Home44.29%
Away1-2
MISSMedium60/100
04-04-26Portugal - Liga IMoreirense vs Sp Braga1X2
Away70.75%
Away0-1
HITHigh84/100
04-04-26Portugal - Liga INacional vs Estrela1X2
Home47.80%
Home2-0
HITMedium66/100
04-04-26Scotland - Premier LeagueSt Mirren vs AberdeenBTS
BTS No67.97%
BTS No2-0
HITLow23/100
04-04-26Scotland - Premier LeagueRangers vs Dundee United1X2
Home81.13%
Home4-2
HITHigh89/100
04-04-26Germany - Bundesliga 1

Leverkusen vs Wolfsburg

1X2
PredictedHome73.23%
ActualHome6-3
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh89/100
04-04-26Germany - Bundesliga 1

Hoffenheim vs Mainz

O/U 2.5
PredictedOver 2.567.79%
ActualOver 2.51-2
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh78/100
04-04-26Germany - Bundesliga 1

Hamburg vs Augsburg

1X2
PredictedHome45.33%
ActualDraw1-1
ResultMISS
ConfidenceMedium64/100
04-04-26Germany - Bundesliga 1

Freiburg vs Bayern Munich

1X2
PredictedAway79.05%
ActualAway2-3
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh90/100
04-04-26Portugal - Liga I

Porto vs Famalicao

1X2
PredictedHome83.04%
ActualDraw2-2
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh89/100
04-04-26Portugal - Liga I

Rio Ave vs Alverca

1X2
PredictedHome44.29%
ActualAway1-2
ResultMISS
ConfidenceMedium60/100
04-04-26Portugal - Liga I

Moreirense vs Sp Braga

1X2
PredictedAway70.75%
ActualAway0-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh84/100
04-04-26Portugal - Liga I

Nacional vs Estrela

1X2
PredictedHome47.80%
ActualHome2-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceMedium66/100
04-04-26Scotland - Premier League

St Mirren vs Aberdeen

BTS
PredictedBTS No67.97%
ActualBTS No2-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceLow23/100
04-04-26Scotland - Premier League

Rangers vs Dundee United

1X2
PredictedHome81.13%
ActualHome4-2
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh89/100
Showing 61-70 of 331 examples
10 rows per page

Interpretation Guidance

Match probabilities describe estimated likelihood ranges, not fixed outcomes. Treat forecasts as context and combine them with your own match analysis.