MatchProb Analytics

MatchProb

Football match probabilities, team-form indicators, and scoring trend context in one structured dashboard.

Structured around probability, scoring conditions, and prior recorded results.

Pre-match probabilities Form and scoring context Backtested validation

Statistical Match Probabilities

Structured Home/Draw/Away, goal, and scoring-likelihood outputs with transparent presentation.

Team Form & Scoring Trends

Recent performance context is displayed alongside league goal environment indicators.

Historical Validation

Stored backtest examples and summary metrics keep the live view grounded in recorded model performance.

Clear Data-Driven Insights

A practical pre-match analytics workflow built for clarity and fast interpretation.

MatchProb Predictor

Select a competition and team pairing to generate a structured pre-match probability view with scoring context and recent performance cues.

Active Team PoolUnavailableSelect a league first
Teams AvailableUnavailableSelect a league first
Coverage ThroughUnavailableSelect a league first
Data RefreshedUnavailableSelect a league first

Historical performance

Results

Historical results across Top Pick and the main match markets.

Top Pick highlights the model's clearest supported angle in each historical example.

Use these results as a guide to how the model has performed across prior recorded forecasts. Probability Accuracy shows how closely forecast probabilities matched outcomes. Lower is better.

Top Pick

Top Pick Hit Rate56.26%Strongest supported match angle
Top Pick Avg Probability63.06%Average selected pick probability
Top Pick Probability Accuracy0.2425Lower is better
Confidence Success58.62%High-confidence Top Picks

Core Markets

1X2 Hit Rate49.55%Match result hit rate
O/U 2.5 Hit Rate57.71%Over/under market hit rate
BTS Market Hit Rate56.81%Both-teams-to-score market hit rate
Over 2.5 Actual Rate51.36%Share of matches finishing over 2.5

Accuracy

1X2 Probability Accuracy0.6087Lower is better
Over 2.5 Probability Accuracy0.2426Lower is better
BTS Probability Accuracy0.2470Lower is better
BTS Actual Rate52.63%Share of matches with both teams scoring

Results Filters

Top Pick metrics for the current filtered historical examples.

Matches551Historical examples in scope
Top Pick Hit Rate56.26%Selected Top Pick rows
Top Pick Avg Probability63.06%Average selected pick probability
Confidence Success58.62%High-confidence Top Picks

Historical Examples

Recent Backtested Examples

Historical examples of the model's strongest selected angle for each match.

Showing 61-70 of 551 examples.

DateCompetitionMatchMarketPredictedActualResultConfidence
21-03-26Scotland - Premier LeagueHearts vs Dundee1X2
Home72.21%
Home1-0
HITHigh87/100
21-03-26Scotland - Premier LeagueFalkirk vs St Mirren1X2
Home62.99%
Away1-2
MISSHigh84/100
21-03-26Italy - Serie AJuventus vs Sassuolo1X2
Home74.57%
Draw1-1
MISSHigh82/100
21-03-26Italy - Serie AMilan vs Torino1X2
Home71.37%
Home3-2
HITHigh88/100
21-03-26Italy - Serie AParma vs Cremonese1X2
Home48.61%
Away0-2
MISSHigh70/100
21-03-26Germany - Bundesliga 1Dortmund vs Hamburg1X2
Home83.01%
Home3-2
HITHigh87/100
21-03-26Germany - Bundesliga 1Wolfsburg vs Werder BremenBTS
BTS Yes61.86%
BTS No0-1
MISSLow43/100
21-03-26Germany - Bundesliga 1Heidenheim vs Leverkusen1X2
Away81.10%
Draw3-3
MISSHigh88/100
21-03-26Germany - Bundesliga 1FC Koln vs M'gladbachBTS
BTS Yes55.67%
BTS Yes3-3
HITLow25/100
21-03-26Germany - Bundesliga 1Bayern Munich vs Union Berlin1X2
Home93.62%
Home4-0
HITHigh90/100
21-03-26Scotland - Premier League

Hearts vs Dundee

1X2
PredictedHome72.21%
ActualHome1-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh87/100
21-03-26Scotland - Premier League

Falkirk vs St Mirren

1X2
PredictedHome62.99%
ActualAway1-2
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh84/100
21-03-26Italy - Serie A

Juventus vs Sassuolo

1X2
PredictedHome74.57%
ActualDraw1-1
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh82/100
21-03-26Italy - Serie A

Milan vs Torino

1X2
PredictedHome71.37%
ActualHome3-2
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh88/100
21-03-26Italy - Serie A

Parma vs Cremonese

1X2
PredictedHome48.61%
ActualAway0-2
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh70/100
21-03-26Germany - Bundesliga 1

Dortmund vs Hamburg

1X2
PredictedHome83.01%
ActualHome3-2
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh87/100
21-03-26Germany - Bundesliga 1

Wolfsburg vs Werder Bremen

BTS
PredictedBTS Yes61.86%
ActualBTS No0-1
ResultMISS
ConfidenceLow43/100
21-03-26Germany - Bundesliga 1

Heidenheim vs Leverkusen

1X2
PredictedAway81.10%
ActualDraw3-3
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh88/100
21-03-26Germany - Bundesliga 1

FC Koln vs M'gladbach

BTS
PredictedBTS Yes55.67%
ActualBTS Yes3-3
ResultHIT
ConfidenceLow25/100
21-03-26Germany - Bundesliga 1

Bayern Munich vs Union Berlin

1X2
PredictedHome93.62%
ActualHome4-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh90/100
Showing 61-70 of 551 examples
10 rows per page

Interpretation Guidance

Match probabilities describe estimated likelihood ranges, not fixed outcomes. Treat forecasts as context and combine them with your own match analysis.