MatchProb Analytics

MatchProb

Football match probabilities, team-form indicators, and scoring trend context in one structured dashboard.

Structured around probability, scoring conditions, and prior recorded results.

Pre-match probabilities Form and scoring context Backtested validation

Statistical Match Probabilities

Structured Home/Draw/Away, goal, and scoring-likelihood outputs with transparent presentation.

Team Form & Scoring Trends

Recent performance context is displayed alongside league goal environment indicators.

Historical Validation

Stored backtest examples and summary metrics keep the live view grounded in recorded model performance.

Clear Data-Driven Insights

A practical pre-match analytics workflow built for clarity and fast interpretation.

MatchProb Predictor

Select a competition and team pairing to generate a structured pre-match probability view with scoring context and recent performance cues.

Active Team PoolUnavailableSelect a league first
Teams AvailableUnavailableSelect a league first
Coverage ThroughUnavailableSelect a league first
Data RefreshedUnavailableSelect a league first

Historical performance

Results

Historical results across Top Pick and the main match markets.

Top Pick highlights the model's clearest supported angle in each historical example.

Use these results as a guide to how the model has performed across prior recorded forecasts. Probability Accuracy shows how closely forecast probabilities matched outcomes. Lower is better.

Top Pick

Top Pick Hit Rate56.26%Strongest supported match angle
Top Pick Avg Probability63.06%Average selected pick probability
Top Pick Probability Accuracy0.2425Lower is better
Confidence Success58.62%High-confidence Top Picks

Core Markets

1X2 Hit Rate49.55%Match result hit rate
O/U 2.5 Hit Rate57.71%Over/under market hit rate
BTS Market Hit Rate56.81%Both-teams-to-score market hit rate
Over 2.5 Actual Rate51.36%Share of matches finishing over 2.5

Accuracy

1X2 Probability Accuracy0.6087Lower is better
Over 2.5 Probability Accuracy0.2426Lower is better
BTS Probability Accuracy0.2470Lower is better
BTS Actual Rate52.63%Share of matches with both teams scoring

Results Filters

Top Pick metrics for the current filtered historical examples.

Matches551Historical examples in scope
Top Pick Hit Rate56.26%Selected Top Pick rows
Top Pick Avg Probability63.06%Average selected pick probability
Confidence Success58.62%High-confidence Top Picks

Historical Examples

Recent Backtested Examples

Historical examples of the model's strongest selected angle for each match.

Showing 91-100 of 551 examples.

DateCompetitionMatchMarketPredictedActualResultConfidence
20-03-26Netherlands - EredivisieHeracles vs ExcelsiorBTS
BTS Yes58.72%
BTS Yes1-1
HITHigh70/100
20-03-26Italy - Serie AGenoa vs Udinese1X2
Home43.92%
Away0-2
MISSMedium61/100
20-03-26Italy - Serie ACagliari vs Napoli1X2
Away69.92%
Away0-1
HITHigh87/100
20-03-26Germany - Bundesliga 1RB Leipzig vs HoffenheimO/U 2.5
Over 2.571.92%
Over 2.55-0
HITHigh77/100
20-03-26France - Ligue 1Lens vs Angers1X2
Home72.38%
Home5-1
HITHigh88/100
20-03-26England - Premier LeagueBournemouth vs Man UnitedBTS
BTS Yes53.20%
BTS Yes2-2
HITLow22/100
20-03-26England - ChampionshipPreston vs StokeO/U 2.5
Under 2.571.51%
Over 2.53-1
MISSMedium52/100
19-03-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1Konyaspor vs GenclerbirligiBTS
BTS No64.59%
BTS No1-0
HITLow14/100
19-03-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1Beşiktaş vs Kasimpasa1X2
Home67.12%
Home2-1
HITHigh88/100
19-03-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1Kayserispor vs KaragumrukBTS
BTS Yes54.66%
BTS No1-0
MISSLow42/100
20-03-26Netherlands - Eredivisie

Heracles vs Excelsior

BTS
PredictedBTS Yes58.72%
ActualBTS Yes1-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh70/100
20-03-26Italy - Serie A

Genoa vs Udinese

1X2
PredictedHome43.92%
ActualAway0-2
ResultMISS
ConfidenceMedium61/100
20-03-26Italy - Serie A

Cagliari vs Napoli

1X2
PredictedAway69.92%
ActualAway0-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh87/100
20-03-26Germany - Bundesliga 1

RB Leipzig vs Hoffenheim

O/U 2.5
PredictedOver 2.571.92%
ActualOver 2.55-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh77/100
20-03-26France - Ligue 1

Lens vs Angers

1X2
PredictedHome72.38%
ActualHome5-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh88/100
20-03-26England - Premier League

Bournemouth vs Man United

BTS
PredictedBTS Yes53.20%
ActualBTS Yes2-2
ResultHIT
ConfidenceLow22/100
20-03-26England - Championship

Preston vs Stoke

O/U 2.5
PredictedUnder 2.571.51%
ActualOver 2.53-1
ResultMISS
ConfidenceMedium52/100
19-03-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1

Konyaspor vs Genclerbirligi

BTS
PredictedBTS No64.59%
ActualBTS No1-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceLow14/100
19-03-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1

Beşiktaş vs Kasimpasa

1X2
PredictedHome67.12%
ActualHome2-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh88/100
19-03-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1

Kayserispor vs Karagumruk

BTS
PredictedBTS Yes54.66%
ActualBTS No1-0
ResultMISS
ConfidenceLow42/100
Showing 91-100 of 551 examples
10 rows per page

Interpretation Guidance

Match probabilities describe estimated likelihood ranges, not fixed outcomes. Treat forecasts as context and combine them with your own match analysis.