MatchProb Analytics

MatchProb

Football match probabilities, team-form indicators, and scoring trend context in one structured dashboard.

Structured around probability, scoring conditions, and prior recorded results.

Pre-match probabilities Form and scoring context Backtested validation

Statistical Match Probabilities

Structured Home/Draw/Away, goal, and scoring-likelihood outputs with transparent presentation.

Team Form & Scoring Trends

Recent performance context is displayed alongside league goal environment indicators.

Historical Validation

Stored backtest examples and summary metrics keep the live view grounded in recorded model performance.

Clear Data-Driven Insights

A practical pre-match analytics workflow built for clarity and fast interpretation.

MatchProb Predictor

Select a competition and team pairing to generate a structured pre-match probability view with scoring context and recent performance cues.

Active Team PoolUnavailableSelect a league first
Teams AvailableUnavailableSelect a league first
Coverage ThroughUnavailableSelect a league first
Data RefreshedUnavailableSelect a league first

Historical performance

Results

Historical results across Top Pick and the main match markets.

Top Pick highlights the model's clearest supported angle in each historical example.

Use these results as a guide to how the model has performed across prior recorded forecasts. Probability Accuracy shows how closely forecast probabilities matched outcomes. Lower is better.

Top Pick

Top Pick Hit Rate53.47%Strongest supported match angle
Top Pick Avg Probability62.54%Average selected pick probability
Top Pick Probability Accuracy0.2465Lower is better
Confidence Success56.22%High-confidence Top Picks

Core Markets

1X2 Hit Rate48.94%Match result hit rate
O/U 2.5 Hit Rate54.98%Over/under market hit rate
BTS Market Hit Rate54.68%Both-teams-to-score market hit rate
Over 2.5 Actual Rate49.55%Share of matches finishing over 2.5

Accuracy

1X2 Probability Accuracy0.6124Lower is better
Over 2.5 Probability Accuracy0.2535Lower is better
BTS Probability Accuracy0.2513Lower is better
BTS Actual Rate51.66%Share of matches with both teams scoring

Results Filters

Top Pick metrics for the current filtered historical examples.

Matches331Historical examples in scope
Top Pick Hit Rate53.47%Selected Top Pick rows
Top Pick Avg Probability62.54%Average selected pick probability
Confidence Success56.22%High-confidence Top Picks

Historical Examples

Recent Backtested Examples

Historical examples of the model's strongest selected angle for each match.

Showing 91-100 of 331 examples.

DateCompetitionMatchMarketPredictedActualResultConfidence
04-04-26Greece - Ethniki KatigoriaPanetolikos vs Atromitos1X2
Away49.26%
Draw1-1
MISSHigh71/100
04-04-26Greece - Ethniki KatigoriaAsteras Tripolis vs Larisa1X2
Draw45.13%
Home3-1
MISSMedium54/100
04-04-26Greece - Ethniki KatigoriaKifisia vs Panserraikos1X2
Home58.72%
Away1-2
MISSHigh77/100
04-04-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1Trabzonspor vs Galatasaray1X2
Away58.00%
Home2-1
MISSHigh79/100
04-04-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1Gaziantep vs Alanyaspor1X2
Draw44.32%
Draw1-1
HITMedium57/100
04-04-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1Kasimpasa vs KayserisporBTS
BTS Yes55.18%
BTS No2-0
MISSMedium51/100
04-04-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1Genclerbirligi vs Goztep1X2
Draw43.90%
Away0-2
MISSMedium51/100
03-04-26Portugal - Liga ISp Lisbon vs Santa Clara1X2
Home92.14%
Home4-2
HITHigh90/100
03-04-26Portugal - Liga IGuimaraes vs Tondela1X2
Home60.79%
Home5-0
HITHigh79/100
03-04-26Portugal - Liga IGil Vicente vs AVS1X2
Home72.95%
Home3-0
HITHigh88/100
04-04-26Greece - Ethniki Katigoria

Panetolikos vs Atromitos

1X2
PredictedAway49.26%
ActualDraw1-1
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh71/100
04-04-26Greece - Ethniki Katigoria

Asteras Tripolis vs Larisa

1X2
PredictedDraw45.13%
ActualHome3-1
ResultMISS
ConfidenceMedium54/100
04-04-26Greece - Ethniki Katigoria

Kifisia vs Panserraikos

1X2
PredictedHome58.72%
ActualAway1-2
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh77/100
04-04-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1

Trabzonspor vs Galatasaray

1X2
PredictedAway58.00%
ActualHome2-1
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh79/100
04-04-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1

Gaziantep vs Alanyaspor

1X2
PredictedDraw44.32%
ActualDraw1-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceMedium57/100
04-04-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1

Kasimpasa vs Kayserispor

BTS
PredictedBTS Yes55.18%
ActualBTS No2-0
ResultMISS
ConfidenceMedium51/100
04-04-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1

Genclerbirligi vs Goztep

1X2
PredictedDraw43.90%
ActualAway0-2
ResultMISS
ConfidenceMedium51/100
03-04-26Portugal - Liga I

Sp Lisbon vs Santa Clara

1X2
PredictedHome92.14%
ActualHome4-2
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh90/100
03-04-26Portugal - Liga I

Guimaraes vs Tondela

1X2
PredictedHome60.79%
ActualHome5-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh79/100
03-04-26Portugal - Liga I

Gil Vicente vs AVS

1X2
PredictedHome72.95%
ActualHome3-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh88/100
Showing 91-100 of 331 examples
10 rows per page

Interpretation Guidance

Match probabilities describe estimated likelihood ranges, not fixed outcomes. Treat forecasts as context and combine them with your own match analysis.