MatchProb Analytics

MatchProb

Football match probabilities, team-form indicators, and scoring trend context in one structured dashboard.

Structured around probability, scoring conditions, and prior recorded results.

Pre-match probabilities Form and scoring context Backtested validation

Statistical Match Probabilities

Structured Home/Draw/Away, goal, and scoring-likelihood outputs with transparent presentation.

Team Form & Scoring Trends

Recent performance context is displayed alongside league goal environment indicators.

Historical Validation

Stored backtest examples and summary metrics keep the live view grounded in recorded model performance.

Clear Data-Driven Insights

A practical pre-match analytics workflow built for clarity and fast interpretation.

MatchProb Predictor

Select a competition and team pairing to generate a structured pre-match probability view with scoring context and recent performance cues.

Active Team PoolUnavailableSelect a league first
Teams AvailableUnavailableSelect a league first
Coverage ThroughUnavailableSelect a league first
Data RefreshedUnavailableSelect a league first

Historical performance

Results

Historical results across Top Pick and the main match markets.

Top Pick highlights the model's clearest supported angle in each historical example.

Use these results as a guide to how the model has performed across prior recorded forecasts. Probability Accuracy shows how closely forecast probabilities matched outcomes. Lower is better.

Top Pick

Top Pick Hit Rate56.26%Strongest supported match angle
Top Pick Avg Probability63.06%Average selected pick probability
Top Pick Probability Accuracy0.2425Lower is better
Confidence Success58.62%High-confidence Top Picks

Core Markets

1X2 Hit Rate49.55%Match result hit rate
O/U 2.5 Hit Rate57.71%Over/under market hit rate
BTS Market Hit Rate56.81%Both-teams-to-score market hit rate
Over 2.5 Actual Rate51.36%Share of matches finishing over 2.5

Accuracy

1X2 Probability Accuracy0.6087Lower is better
Over 2.5 Probability Accuracy0.2426Lower is better
BTS Probability Accuracy0.2470Lower is better
BTS Actual Rate52.63%Share of matches with both teams scoring

Results Filters

Top Pick metrics for the current filtered historical examples.

Matches551Historical examples in scope
Top Pick Hit Rate56.26%Selected Top Pick rows
Top Pick Avg Probability63.06%Average selected pick probability
Confidence Success58.62%High-confidence Top Picks

Historical Examples

Recent Backtested Examples

Historical examples of the model's strongest selected angle for each match.

Showing 41-50 of 551 examples.

DateCompetitionMatchMarketPredictedActualResultConfidence
22-03-26France - Ligue 1Lyon vs MonacoBTS
BTS Yes64.87%
BTS Yes1-2
HITLow23/100
22-03-26England - Premier LeagueTottenham vs Nott'm ForestBTS
BTS Yes58.35%
BTS No0-3
MISSMedium52/100
22-03-26England - Premier LeagueAston Villa vs West Ham1X2
Home58.08%
Home2-0
HITHigh81/100
22-03-26England - Premier LeagueNewcastle vs Sunderland1X2
Home69.43%
Away1-2
MISSHigh82/100
21-03-26Spain - La Liga Primera DivisionSevilla vs ValenciaO/U 2.5
Under 2.560.42%
Under 2.50-2
HITLow22/100
21-03-26Spain - La Liga Primera DivisionOsasuna vs GironaBTS
BTS Yes57.22%
BTS No1-0
MISSLow21/100
21-03-26Spain - La Liga Primera DivisionLevante vs OviedoBTS
BTS Yes52.21%
BTS Yes4-2
HITLow20/100
21-03-26Spain - La Liga Primera DivisionEspanol vs Getafe1X2
Draw43.72%
Away1-2
MISSMedium50/100
21-03-26Spain - La Liga Primera DivisionElche vs MallorcaBTS
BTS No60.54%
BTS Yes2-1
MISSHigh73/100
21-03-26Portugal - Liga ITondela vs AVSBTS
BTS No60.31%
BTS No0-0
HITMedium66/100
22-03-26France - Ligue 1

Lyon vs Monaco

BTS
PredictedBTS Yes64.87%
ActualBTS Yes1-2
ResultHIT
ConfidenceLow23/100
22-03-26England - Premier League

Tottenham vs Nott'm Forest

BTS
PredictedBTS Yes58.35%
ActualBTS No0-3
ResultMISS
ConfidenceMedium52/100
22-03-26England - Premier League

Aston Villa vs West Ham

1X2
PredictedHome58.08%
ActualHome2-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh81/100
22-03-26England - Premier League

Newcastle vs Sunderland

1X2
PredictedHome69.43%
ActualAway1-2
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh82/100
21-03-26Spain - La Liga Primera Division

Sevilla vs Valencia

O/U 2.5
PredictedUnder 2.560.42%
ActualUnder 2.50-2
ResultHIT
ConfidenceLow22/100
21-03-26Spain - La Liga Primera Division

Osasuna vs Girona

BTS
PredictedBTS Yes57.22%
ActualBTS No1-0
ResultMISS
ConfidenceLow21/100
21-03-26Spain - La Liga Primera Division

Levante vs Oviedo

BTS
PredictedBTS Yes52.21%
ActualBTS Yes4-2
ResultHIT
ConfidenceLow20/100
21-03-26Spain - La Liga Primera Division

Espanol vs Getafe

1X2
PredictedDraw43.72%
ActualAway1-2
ResultMISS
ConfidenceMedium50/100
21-03-26Spain - La Liga Primera Division

Elche vs Mallorca

BTS
PredictedBTS No60.54%
ActualBTS Yes2-1
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh73/100
21-03-26Portugal - Liga I

Tondela vs AVS

BTS
PredictedBTS No60.31%
ActualBTS No0-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceMedium66/100
Showing 41-50 of 551 examples
10 rows per page

Interpretation Guidance

Match probabilities describe estimated likelihood ranges, not fixed outcomes. Treat forecasts as context and combine them with your own match analysis.