MatchProb Analytics

MatchProb

Football match probabilities, team-form indicators, and scoring trend context in one structured dashboard.

Structured around probability, scoring conditions, and prior recorded results.

Pre-match probabilities Form and scoring context Backtested validation

Statistical Match Probabilities

Structured Home/Draw/Away, goal, and scoring-likelihood outputs with transparent presentation.

Team Form & Scoring Trends

Recent performance context is displayed alongside league goal environment indicators.

Historical Validation

Stored backtest examples and summary metrics keep the live view grounded in recorded model performance.

Clear Data-Driven Insights

A practical pre-match analytics workflow built for clarity and fast interpretation.

MatchProb Predictor

Select a competition and team pairing to generate a structured pre-match probability view with scoring context and recent performance cues.

Active Team PoolUnavailableSelect a league first
Teams AvailableUnavailableSelect a league first
Coverage ThroughUnavailableSelect a league first
Data RefreshedUnavailableSelect a league first

Historical performance

Results

Historical results across Top Pick and the main match markets.

Top Pick highlights the model's clearest supported angle in each historical example.

Use these results as a guide to how the model has performed across prior recorded forecasts. Probability Accuracy shows how closely forecast probabilities matched outcomes. Lower is better.

Top Pick

Top Pick Hit Rate53.47%Strongest supported match angle
Top Pick Avg Probability62.54%Average selected pick probability
Top Pick Probability Accuracy0.2465Lower is better
Confidence Success56.22%High-confidence Top Picks

Core Markets

1X2 Hit Rate48.94%Match result hit rate
O/U 2.5 Hit Rate54.98%Over/under market hit rate
BTS Market Hit Rate54.68%Both-teams-to-score market hit rate
Over 2.5 Actual Rate49.55%Share of matches finishing over 2.5

Accuracy

1X2 Probability Accuracy0.6124Lower is better
Over 2.5 Probability Accuracy0.2535Lower is better
BTS Probability Accuracy0.2513Lower is better
BTS Actual Rate51.66%Share of matches with both teams scoring

Results Filters

Top Pick metrics for the current filtered historical examples.

Matches331Historical examples in scope
Top Pick Hit Rate53.47%Selected Top Pick rows
Top Pick Avg Probability62.54%Average selected pick probability
Confidence Success56.22%High-confidence Top Picks

Historical Examples

Recent Backtested Examples

Historical examples of the model's strongest selected angle for each match.

Showing 41-50 of 331 examples.

DateCompetitionMatchMarketPredictedActualResultConfidence
05-04-26Netherlands - EredivisieHeerenveen vs Heracles1X2
Home76.58%
Home4-1
HITHigh88/100
05-04-26Netherlands - EredivisieGo Ahead Eagles vs Zwolle1X2
Home63.11%
Home5-0
HITHigh77/100
05-04-26Spain - La Liga Primera DivisionAlaves vs OsasunaO/U 2.5
Under 2.577.25%
Over 2.52-2
MISSMedium56/100
05-04-26Spain - La Liga Primera DivisionOviedo vs SevillaBTS
BTS No62.26%
BTS No1-0
HITMedium45/100
05-04-26Spain - La Liga Primera DivisionValencia vs CeltaO/U 2.5
Under 2.557.62%
Over 2.52-3
MISSLow30/100
05-04-26Spain - La Liga Primera DivisionGetafe vs Ath BilbaoO/U 2.5
Under 2.578.11%
Under 2.52-0
HITMedium47/100
05-04-26Italy - Serie AInter vs Roma1X2
Home74.10%
Home5-2
HITHigh85/100
05-04-26Italy - Serie APisa vs TorinoO/U 2.5
Under 2.574.77%
Under 2.50-1
HITLow21/100
05-04-26Italy - Serie ACremonese vs Bologna1X2
Away63.94%
Away1-2
HITHigh80/100
05-04-26Greece - Ethniki KatigoriaOlympiakos vs AEK1X2
Home51.91%
Away0-1
MISSHigh78/100
05-04-26Netherlands - Eredivisie

Heerenveen vs Heracles

1X2
PredictedHome76.58%
ActualHome4-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh88/100
05-04-26Netherlands - Eredivisie

Go Ahead Eagles vs Zwolle

1X2
PredictedHome63.11%
ActualHome5-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh77/100
05-04-26Spain - La Liga Primera Division

Alaves vs Osasuna

O/U 2.5
PredictedUnder 2.577.25%
ActualOver 2.52-2
ResultMISS
ConfidenceMedium56/100
05-04-26Spain - La Liga Primera Division

Oviedo vs Sevilla

BTS
PredictedBTS No62.26%
ActualBTS No1-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceMedium45/100
05-04-26Spain - La Liga Primera Division

Valencia vs Celta

O/U 2.5
PredictedUnder 2.557.62%
ActualOver 2.52-3
ResultMISS
ConfidenceLow30/100
05-04-26Spain - La Liga Primera Division

Getafe vs Ath Bilbao

O/U 2.5
PredictedUnder 2.578.11%
ActualUnder 2.52-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceMedium47/100
05-04-26Italy - Serie A

Inter vs Roma

1X2
PredictedHome74.10%
ActualHome5-2
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh85/100
05-04-26Italy - Serie A

Pisa vs Torino

O/U 2.5
PredictedUnder 2.574.77%
ActualUnder 2.50-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceLow21/100
05-04-26Italy - Serie A

Cremonese vs Bologna

1X2
PredictedAway63.94%
ActualAway1-2
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh80/100
05-04-26Greece - Ethniki Katigoria

Olympiakos vs AEK

1X2
PredictedHome51.91%
ActualAway0-1
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh78/100
Showing 41-50 of 331 examples
10 rows per page

Interpretation Guidance

Match probabilities describe estimated likelihood ranges, not fixed outcomes. Treat forecasts as context and combine them with your own match analysis.