MatchProb Analytics

MatchProb

Football match probabilities, team-form indicators, and scoring trend context in one structured dashboard.

Structured around probability, scoring conditions, and prior recorded results.

Pre-match probabilities Form and scoring context Backtested validation

Statistical Match Probabilities

Structured Home/Draw/Away, goal, and scoring-likelihood outputs with transparent presentation.

Team Form & Scoring Trends

Recent performance context is displayed alongside league goal environment indicators.

Historical Validation

Stored backtest examples and summary metrics keep the live view grounded in recorded model performance.

Clear Data-Driven Insights

A practical pre-match analytics workflow built for clarity and fast interpretation.

MatchProb Predictor

Select a competition and team pairing to generate a structured pre-match probability view with scoring context and recent performance cues.

Active Team PoolUnavailableSelect a league first
Teams AvailableUnavailableSelect a league first
Coverage ThroughUnavailableSelect a league first
Data RefreshedUnavailableSelect a league first

Historical performance

Results

Historical results across Top Pick and the main match markets.

Top Pick highlights the model's clearest supported angle in each historical example.

Use these results as a guide to how the model has performed across prior recorded forecasts. Probability Accuracy shows how closely forecast probabilities matched outcomes. Lower is better.

Top Pick

Top Pick Hit Rate53.47%Strongest supported match angle
Top Pick Avg Probability62.54%Average selected pick probability
Top Pick Probability Accuracy0.2465Lower is better
Confidence Success56.22%High-confidence Top Picks

Core Markets

1X2 Hit Rate48.94%Match result hit rate
O/U 2.5 Hit Rate54.98%Over/under market hit rate
BTS Market Hit Rate54.68%Both-teams-to-score market hit rate
Over 2.5 Actual Rate49.55%Share of matches finishing over 2.5

Accuracy

1X2 Probability Accuracy0.6124Lower is better
Over 2.5 Probability Accuracy0.2535Lower is better
BTS Probability Accuracy0.2513Lower is better
BTS Actual Rate51.66%Share of matches with both teams scoring

Results Filters

Top Pick metrics for the current filtered historical examples.

Matches331Historical examples in scope
Top Pick Hit Rate53.47%Selected Top Pick rows
Top Pick Avg Probability62.54%Average selected pick probability
Confidence Success56.22%High-confidence Top Picks

Historical Examples

Recent Backtested Examples

Historical examples of the model's strongest selected angle for each match.

Showing 31-40 of 331 examples.

DateCompetitionMatchMarketPredictedActualResultConfidence
05-04-26Scotland - Premier LeagueDundee vs Celtic1X2
Away85.61%
Away1-2
HITHigh89/100
05-04-26Scotland - Premier LeagueLivingston vs Hearts1X2
Away62.05%
Draw2-2
MISSHigh84/100
05-04-26Belgium - Jupiler LeagueWesterlo vs CharleroiBTS
BTS Yes56.85%
BTS No2-0
MISSLow22/100
05-04-26France - Ligue 1Monaco vs MarseilleO/U 2.5
Over 2.566.15%
Over 2.52-1
HITMedium65/100
05-04-26France - Ligue 1Metz vs Nantes1X2
Draw43.97%
Draw0-0
HITMedium52/100
05-04-26France - Ligue 1Lorient vs Paris FCBTS
BTS Yes52.91%
BTS Yes1-1
HITLow24/100
05-04-26France - Ligue 1Le Havre vs Auxerre1X2
Draw44.33%
Draw1-1
HITMedium56/100
05-04-26France - Ligue 1Angers vs Lyon1X2
Away57.74%
Draw0-0
MISSHigh77/100
05-04-26Netherlands - EredivisieNAC Breda vs Sparta RotterdamO/U 2.5
Under 2.563.08%
Under 2.50-0
HITLow17/100
05-04-26Netherlands - EredivisieVolendam vs Feyenoord1X2
Away83.03%
Draw0-0
MISSHigh89/100
05-04-26Scotland - Premier League

Dundee vs Celtic

1X2
PredictedAway85.61%
ActualAway1-2
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh89/100
05-04-26Scotland - Premier League

Livingston vs Hearts

1X2
PredictedAway62.05%
ActualDraw2-2
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh84/100
05-04-26Belgium - Jupiler League

Westerlo vs Charleroi

BTS
PredictedBTS Yes56.85%
ActualBTS No2-0
ResultMISS
ConfidenceLow22/100
05-04-26France - Ligue 1

Monaco vs Marseille

O/U 2.5
PredictedOver 2.566.15%
ActualOver 2.52-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceMedium65/100
05-04-26France - Ligue 1

Metz vs Nantes

1X2
PredictedDraw43.97%
ActualDraw0-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceMedium52/100
05-04-26France - Ligue 1

Lorient vs Paris FC

BTS
PredictedBTS Yes52.91%
ActualBTS Yes1-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceLow24/100
05-04-26France - Ligue 1

Le Havre vs Auxerre

1X2
PredictedDraw44.33%
ActualDraw1-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceMedium56/100
05-04-26France - Ligue 1

Angers vs Lyon

1X2
PredictedAway57.74%
ActualDraw0-0
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh77/100
05-04-26Netherlands - Eredivisie

NAC Breda vs Sparta Rotterdam

O/U 2.5
PredictedUnder 2.563.08%
ActualUnder 2.50-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceLow17/100
05-04-26Netherlands - Eredivisie

Volendam vs Feyenoord

1X2
PredictedAway83.03%
ActualDraw0-0
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh89/100
Showing 31-40 of 331 examples
10 rows per page

Interpretation Guidance

Match probabilities describe estimated likelihood ranges, not fixed outcomes. Treat forecasts as context and combine them with your own match analysis.