MatchProb Analytics

MatchProb

Football match probabilities, team-form indicators, and scoring trend context in one structured dashboard.

Structured around probability, scoring conditions, and prior recorded results.

Pre-match probabilities Form and scoring context Backtested validation

Statistical Match Probabilities

Structured Home/Draw/Away, goal, and scoring-likelihood outputs with transparent presentation.

Team Form & Scoring Trends

Recent performance context is displayed alongside league goal environment indicators.

Historical Validation

Stored backtest examples and summary metrics keep the live view grounded in recorded model performance.

Clear Data-Driven Insights

A practical pre-match analytics workflow built for clarity and fast interpretation.

MatchProb Predictor

Select a competition and team pairing to generate a structured pre-match probability view with scoring context and recent performance cues.

Active Team PoolUnavailableSelect a league first
Teams AvailableUnavailableSelect a league first
Coverage ThroughUnavailableSelect a league first
Data RefreshedUnavailableSelect a league first

Historical performance

Results

Historical results across Top Pick and the main match markets.

Top Pick highlights the model's clearest supported angle in each historical example.

Use these results as a guide to how the model has performed across prior recorded forecasts. Probability Accuracy shows how closely forecast probabilities matched outcomes. Lower is better.

Top Pick

Top Pick Hit Rate56.26%Strongest supported match angle
Top Pick Avg Probability63.06%Average selected pick probability
Top Pick Probability Accuracy0.2425Lower is better
Confidence Success58.62%High-confidence Top Picks

Core Markets

1X2 Hit Rate49.55%Match result hit rate
O/U 2.5 Hit Rate57.71%Over/under market hit rate
BTS Market Hit Rate56.81%Both-teams-to-score market hit rate
Over 2.5 Actual Rate51.36%Share of matches finishing over 2.5

Accuracy

1X2 Probability Accuracy0.6087Lower is better
Over 2.5 Probability Accuracy0.2426Lower is better
BTS Probability Accuracy0.2470Lower is better
BTS Actual Rate52.63%Share of matches with both teams scoring

Results Filters

Top Pick metrics for the current filtered historical examples.

Matches551Historical examples in scope
Top Pick Hit Rate56.26%Selected Top Pick rows
Top Pick Avg Probability63.06%Average selected pick probability
Confidence Success58.62%High-confidence Top Picks

Historical Examples

Recent Backtested Examples

Historical examples of the model's strongest selected angle for each match.

Showing 31-40 of 551 examples.

DateCompetitionMatchMarketPredictedActualResultConfidence
22-03-26Belgium - Jupiler LeagueDender vs Gent1X2
Away52.74%
Away1-3
HITHigh77/100
22-03-26Belgium - Jupiler LeagueClub Brugge vs Mechelen1X2
Home78.61%
Home4-1
HITHigh86/100
22-03-26Belgium - Jupiler LeagueAnderlecht vs Cercle Brugge1X2
Home61.52%
Away2-3
MISSHigh80/100
22-03-26Germany - Bundesliga 1Augsburg vs Stuttgart1X2
Away55.03%
Away2-5
HITHigh76/100
22-03-26Germany - Bundesliga 1St Pauli vs FreiburgO/U 2.5
Under 2.576.58%
Over 2.51-2
MISSMedium63/100
22-03-26Germany - Bundesliga 1Mainz vs Ein Frankfurt1X2
Home46.54%
Home2-1
HITHigh74/100
22-03-26France - Ligue 1Nantes vs Strasbourg1X2
Away52.61%
Away2-3
HITHigh80/100
22-03-26France - Ligue 1Rennes vs Metz1X2
Home89.95%
Draw0-0
MISSHigh91/100
22-03-26France - Ligue 1Paris FC vs Le HavreO/U 2.5
Under 2.559.66%
Over 2.53-2
MISSLow16/100
22-03-26France - Ligue 1Marseille vs Lille1X2
Home52.69%
Away1-2
MISSHigh79/100
22-03-26Belgium - Jupiler League

Dender vs Gent

1X2
PredictedAway52.74%
ActualAway1-3
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh77/100
22-03-26Belgium - Jupiler League

Club Brugge vs Mechelen

1X2
PredictedHome78.61%
ActualHome4-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh86/100
22-03-26Belgium - Jupiler League

Anderlecht vs Cercle Brugge

1X2
PredictedHome61.52%
ActualAway2-3
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh80/100
22-03-26Germany - Bundesliga 1

Augsburg vs Stuttgart

1X2
PredictedAway55.03%
ActualAway2-5
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh76/100
22-03-26Germany - Bundesliga 1

St Pauli vs Freiburg

O/U 2.5
PredictedUnder 2.576.58%
ActualOver 2.51-2
ResultMISS
ConfidenceMedium63/100
22-03-26Germany - Bundesliga 1

Mainz vs Ein Frankfurt

1X2
PredictedHome46.54%
ActualHome2-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh74/100
22-03-26France - Ligue 1

Nantes vs Strasbourg

1X2
PredictedAway52.61%
ActualAway2-3
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh80/100
22-03-26France - Ligue 1

Rennes vs Metz

1X2
PredictedHome89.95%
ActualDraw0-0
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh91/100
22-03-26France - Ligue 1

Paris FC vs Le Havre

O/U 2.5
PredictedUnder 2.559.66%
ActualOver 2.53-2
ResultMISS
ConfidenceLow16/100
22-03-26France - Ligue 1

Marseille vs Lille

1X2
PredictedHome52.69%
ActualAway1-2
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh79/100
Showing 31-40 of 551 examples
10 rows per page

Interpretation Guidance

Match probabilities describe estimated likelihood ranges, not fixed outcomes. Treat forecasts as context and combine them with your own match analysis.