MatchProb Analytics

MatchProb

Football match probabilities, team-form indicators, and scoring trend context in one structured dashboard.

Structured around probability, scoring conditions, and prior recorded results.

Pre-match probabilities Form and scoring context Backtested validation

Statistical Match Probabilities

Structured Home/Draw/Away, goal, and scoring-likelihood outputs with transparent presentation.

Team Form & Scoring Trends

Recent performance context is displayed alongside league goal environment indicators.

Historical Validation

Stored backtest examples and summary metrics keep the live view grounded in recorded model performance.

Clear Data-Driven Insights

A practical pre-match analytics workflow built for clarity and fast interpretation.

MatchProb Predictor

Select a competition and team pairing to generate a structured pre-match probability view with scoring context and recent performance cues.

Active Team PoolUnavailableSelect a league first
Teams AvailableUnavailableSelect a league first
Coverage ThroughUnavailableSelect a league first
Data RefreshedUnavailableSelect a league first

Historical performance

Results

Historical results across Top Pick and the main match markets.

Top Pick highlights the model's clearest supported angle in each historical example.

Use these results as a guide to how the model has performed across prior recorded forecasts. Probability Accuracy shows how closely forecast probabilities matched outcomes. Lower is better.

Top Pick

Top Pick Hit Rate56.26%Strongest supported match angle
Top Pick Avg Probability63.06%Average selected pick probability
Top Pick Probability Accuracy0.2425Lower is better
Confidence Success58.62%High-confidence Top Picks

Core Markets

1X2 Hit Rate49.55%Match result hit rate
O/U 2.5 Hit Rate57.71%Over/under market hit rate
BTS Market Hit Rate56.81%Both-teams-to-score market hit rate
Over 2.5 Actual Rate51.36%Share of matches finishing over 2.5

Accuracy

1X2 Probability Accuracy0.6087Lower is better
Over 2.5 Probability Accuracy0.2426Lower is better
BTS Probability Accuracy0.2470Lower is better
BTS Actual Rate52.63%Share of matches with both teams scoring

Results Filters

Top Pick metrics for the current filtered historical examples.

Matches551Historical examples in scope
Top Pick Hit Rate56.26%Selected Top Pick rows
Top Pick Avg Probability63.06%Average selected pick probability
Confidence Success58.62%High-confidence Top Picks

Historical Examples

Recent Backtested Examples

Historical examples of the model's strongest selected angle for each match.

Showing 521-530 of 551 examples.

DateCompetitionMatchMarketPredictedActualResultConfidence
21-02-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1Konyaspor vs Galatasaray1X2
Away77.96%
Home2-0
MISSHigh90/100
21-02-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1Alanyaspor vs Buyuksehyr1X2
Away50.21%
Away1-2
HITHigh73/100
21-02-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1Eyupspor vs GenclerbirligiO/U 2.5
Under 2.563.36%
Under 2.51-0
HITLow19/100
21-02-26Greece - Ethniki KatigoriaOlympiakos vs Panetolikos1X2
Home80.91%
Home2-0
HITHigh90/100
21-02-26Greece - Ethniki KatigoriaAsteras Tripolis vs AtromitosO/U 2.5
Under 2.564.03%
Over 2.51-2
MISSLow22/100
21-02-26Belgium - Jupiler LeagueSt. Gilloise vs Antwerp1X2
Home66.02%
Home2-1
HITHigh84/100
21-02-26Belgium - Jupiler LeagueClub Brugge vs Oud-Heverlee Leuven1X2
Home80.54%
Home2-1
HITHigh89/100
21-02-26Belgium - Jupiler LeagueDender vs St Truiden1X2
Away52.14%
Away1-4
HITHigh79/100
21-02-26Germany - Bundesliga 1RB Leipzig vs DortmundO/U 2.5
Over 2.566.66%
Over 2.52-2
HITMedium47/100
21-02-26Germany - Bundesliga 1Wolfsburg vs AugsburgBTS
BTS Yes57.83%
BTS Yes2-3
HITLow42/100
21-02-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1

Konyaspor vs Galatasaray

1X2
PredictedAway77.96%
ActualHome2-0
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh90/100
21-02-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1

Alanyaspor vs Buyuksehyr

1X2
PredictedAway50.21%
ActualAway1-2
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh73/100
21-02-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1

Eyupspor vs Genclerbirligi

O/U 2.5
PredictedUnder 2.563.36%
ActualUnder 2.51-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceLow19/100
21-02-26Greece - Ethniki Katigoria

Olympiakos vs Panetolikos

1X2
PredictedHome80.91%
ActualHome2-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh90/100
21-02-26Greece - Ethniki Katigoria

Asteras Tripolis vs Atromitos

O/U 2.5
PredictedUnder 2.564.03%
ActualOver 2.51-2
ResultMISS
ConfidenceLow22/100
21-02-26Belgium - Jupiler League

St. Gilloise vs Antwerp

1X2
PredictedHome66.02%
ActualHome2-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh84/100
21-02-26Belgium - Jupiler League

Club Brugge vs Oud-Heverlee Leuven

1X2
PredictedHome80.54%
ActualHome2-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh89/100
21-02-26Belgium - Jupiler League

Dender vs St Truiden

1X2
PredictedAway52.14%
ActualAway1-4
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh79/100
21-02-26Germany - Bundesliga 1

RB Leipzig vs Dortmund

O/U 2.5
PredictedOver 2.566.66%
ActualOver 2.52-2
ResultHIT
ConfidenceMedium47/100
21-02-26Germany - Bundesliga 1

Wolfsburg vs Augsburg

BTS
PredictedBTS Yes57.83%
ActualBTS Yes2-3
ResultHIT
ConfidenceLow42/100
Showing 521-530 of 551 examples
10 rows per page

Interpretation Guidance

Match probabilities describe estimated likelihood ranges, not fixed outcomes. Treat forecasts as context and combine them with your own match analysis.