MatchProb Analytics

MatchProb

Football match probabilities, team-form indicators, and scoring trend context in one structured dashboard.

Structured around probability, scoring conditions, and prior recorded results.

Pre-match probabilities Form and scoring context Backtested validation

Statistical Match Probabilities

Structured Home/Draw/Away, goal, and scoring-likelihood outputs with transparent presentation.

Team Form & Scoring Trends

Recent performance context is displayed alongside league goal environment indicators.

Historical Validation

Stored backtest examples and summary metrics keep the live view grounded in recorded model performance.

Clear Data-Driven Insights

A practical pre-match analytics workflow built for clarity and fast interpretation.

MatchProb Predictor

Select a competition and team pairing to generate a structured pre-match probability view with scoring context and recent performance cues.

Active Team PoolUnavailableSelect a league first
Teams AvailableUnavailableSelect a league first
Coverage ThroughUnavailableSelect a league first
Data RefreshedUnavailableSelect a league first

Historical performance

Results

Historical results across Top Pick and the main match markets.

Top Pick highlights the model's clearest supported angle in each historical example.

Use these results as a guide to how the model has performed across prior recorded forecasts. Probability Accuracy shows how closely forecast probabilities matched outcomes. Lower is better.

Top Pick

Top Pick Hit Rate56.26%Strongest supported match angle
Top Pick Avg Probability63.06%Average selected pick probability
Top Pick Probability Accuracy0.2425Lower is better
Confidence Success58.62%High-confidence Top Picks

Core Markets

1X2 Hit Rate49.55%Match result hit rate
O/U 2.5 Hit Rate57.71%Over/under market hit rate
BTS Market Hit Rate56.81%Both-teams-to-score market hit rate
Over 2.5 Actual Rate51.36%Share of matches finishing over 2.5

Accuracy

1X2 Probability Accuracy0.6087Lower is better
Over 2.5 Probability Accuracy0.2426Lower is better
BTS Probability Accuracy0.2470Lower is better
BTS Actual Rate52.63%Share of matches with both teams scoring

Results Filters

Top Pick metrics for the current filtered historical examples.

Matches551Historical examples in scope
Top Pick Hit Rate56.26%Selected Top Pick rows
Top Pick Avg Probability63.06%Average selected pick probability
Confidence Success58.62%High-confidence Top Picks

Historical Examples

Recent Backtested Examples

Historical examples of the model's strongest selected angle for each match.

Showing 501-510 of 551 examples.

DateCompetitionMatchMarketPredictedActualResultConfidence
22-02-26England - ChampionshipSheffield United vs Sheffield Weds1X2
Home80.56%
Home2-1
HITHigh90/100
21-02-26Spain - La Liga Primera DivisionAth Madrid vs Espanol1X2
Home79.12%
Home4-2
HITHigh83/100
21-02-26Spain - La Liga Primera DivisionOsasuna vs Real Madrid1X2
Away74.34%
Home2-1
MISSHigh89/100
21-02-26Spain - La Liga Primera DivisionBetis vs Vallecano1X2
Home63.72%
Draw1-1
MISSHigh84/100
21-02-26Spain - La Liga Primera DivisionSociedad vs Oviedo1X2
Home63.17%
Draw3-3
MISSHigh82/100
21-02-26Portugal - Liga ISp Braga vs Guimaraes1X2
Home68.54%
Home3-2
HITHigh83/100
21-02-26Portugal - Liga IMoreirense vs Sp Lisbon1X2
Away81.76%
Away0-3
HITHigh89/100
21-02-26Portugal - Liga IBenfica vs AVS1X2
Home95.14%
Home3-0
HITHigh91/100
21-02-26Portugal - Liga IArouca vs NacionalO/U 2.5
Under 2.568.01%
Over 2.53-0
MISSMedium51/100
21-02-26Portugal - Liga IAlverca vs Santa ClaraO/U 2.5
Under 2.573.30%
Under 2.51-1
HITMedium46/100
22-02-26England - Championship

Sheffield United vs Sheffield Weds

1X2
PredictedHome80.56%
ActualHome2-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh90/100
21-02-26Spain - La Liga Primera Division

Ath Madrid vs Espanol

1X2
PredictedHome79.12%
ActualHome4-2
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh83/100
21-02-26Spain - La Liga Primera Division

Osasuna vs Real Madrid

1X2
PredictedAway74.34%
ActualHome2-1
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh89/100
21-02-26Spain - La Liga Primera Division

Betis vs Vallecano

1X2
PredictedHome63.72%
ActualDraw1-1
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh84/100
21-02-26Spain - La Liga Primera Division

Sociedad vs Oviedo

1X2
PredictedHome63.17%
ActualDraw3-3
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh82/100
21-02-26Portugal - Liga I

Sp Braga vs Guimaraes

1X2
PredictedHome68.54%
ActualHome3-2
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh83/100
21-02-26Portugal - Liga I

Moreirense vs Sp Lisbon

1X2
PredictedAway81.76%
ActualAway0-3
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh89/100
21-02-26Portugal - Liga I

Benfica vs AVS

1X2
PredictedHome95.14%
ActualHome3-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh91/100
21-02-26Portugal - Liga I

Arouca vs Nacional

O/U 2.5
PredictedUnder 2.568.01%
ActualOver 2.53-0
ResultMISS
ConfidenceMedium51/100
21-02-26Portugal - Liga I

Alverca vs Santa Clara

O/U 2.5
PredictedUnder 2.573.30%
ActualUnder 2.51-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceMedium46/100
Showing 501-510 of 551 examples
10 rows per page

Interpretation Guidance

Match probabilities describe estimated likelihood ranges, not fixed outcomes. Treat forecasts as context and combine them with your own match analysis.