MatchProb Analytics

MatchProb

Football match probabilities, team-form indicators, and scoring trend context in one structured dashboard.

Structured around probability, scoring conditions, and prior recorded results.

Pre-match probabilities Form and scoring context Backtested validation

Statistical Match Probabilities

Structured Home/Draw/Away, goal, and scoring-likelihood outputs with transparent presentation.

Team Form & Scoring Trends

Recent performance context is displayed alongside league goal environment indicators.

Historical Validation

Stored backtest examples and summary metrics keep the live view grounded in recorded model performance.

Clear Data-Driven Insights

A practical pre-match analytics workflow built for clarity and fast interpretation.

MatchProb Predictor

Select a competition and team pairing to generate a structured pre-match probability view with scoring context and recent performance cues.

Active Team PoolUnavailableSelect a league first
Teams AvailableUnavailableSelect a league first
Coverage ThroughUnavailableSelect a league first
Data RefreshedUnavailableSelect a league first

Historical performance

Results

Historical results across Top Pick and the main match markets.

Top Pick highlights the model's clearest supported angle in each historical example.

Use these results as a guide to how the model has performed across prior recorded forecasts. Probability Accuracy shows how closely forecast probabilities matched outcomes. Lower is better.

Top Pick

Top Pick Hit Rate56.26%Strongest supported match angle
Top Pick Avg Probability63.06%Average selected pick probability
Top Pick Probability Accuracy0.2425Lower is better
Confidence Success58.62%High-confidence Top Picks

Core Markets

1X2 Hit Rate49.55%Match result hit rate
O/U 2.5 Hit Rate57.71%Over/under market hit rate
BTS Market Hit Rate56.81%Both-teams-to-score market hit rate
Over 2.5 Actual Rate51.36%Share of matches finishing over 2.5

Accuracy

1X2 Probability Accuracy0.6087Lower is better
Over 2.5 Probability Accuracy0.2426Lower is better
BTS Probability Accuracy0.2470Lower is better
BTS Actual Rate52.63%Share of matches with both teams scoring

Results Filters

Top Pick metrics for the current filtered historical examples.

Matches551Historical examples in scope
Top Pick Hit Rate56.26%Selected Top Pick rows
Top Pick Avg Probability63.06%Average selected pick probability
Confidence Success58.62%High-confidence Top Picks

Historical Examples

Recent Backtested Examples

Historical examples of the model's strongest selected angle for each match.

Showing 511-520 of 551 examples.

DateCompetitionMatchMarketPredictedActualResultConfidence
21-02-26Netherlands - EredivisieAjax vs Nijmegen1X2
Home64.61%
Draw1-1
MISSHigh82/100
21-02-26Netherlands - EredivisieNAC Breda vs Volendam1X2
Home56.54%
Home1-0
HITHigh78/100
21-02-26Netherlands - EredivisiePSV Eindhoven vs Heerenveen1X2
Home89.77%
Home3-1
HITHigh90/100
21-02-26Scotland - Premier LeagueSt Mirren vs Motherwell1X2
Draw44.05%
Away0-5
MISSMedium55/100
21-02-26Scotland - Premier LeagueHearts vs Falkirk1X2
Home57.95%
Home1-0
HITHigh80/100
21-02-26Scotland - Premier LeagueDundee United vs KilmarnockO/U 2.5
Under 2.562.42%
Under 2.51-1
HITLow28/100
21-02-26Scotland - Premier LeagueAberdeen vs Dundee1X2
Home65.14%
Away2-3
MISSHigh80/100
21-02-26Italy - Serie ACagliari vs Lazio1X2
Away49.30%
Draw0-0
MISSHigh73/100
21-02-26Italy - Serie ALecce vs Inter1X2
Away92.90%
Away0-2
HITHigh92/100
21-02-26Italy - Serie AJuventus vs Como1X2
Home54.43%
Away0-2
MISSHigh75/100
21-02-26Netherlands - Eredivisie

Ajax vs Nijmegen

1X2
PredictedHome64.61%
ActualDraw1-1
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh82/100
21-02-26Netherlands - Eredivisie

NAC Breda vs Volendam

1X2
PredictedHome56.54%
ActualHome1-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh78/100
21-02-26Netherlands - Eredivisie

PSV Eindhoven vs Heerenveen

1X2
PredictedHome89.77%
ActualHome3-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh90/100
21-02-26Scotland - Premier League

St Mirren vs Motherwell

1X2
PredictedDraw44.05%
ActualAway0-5
ResultMISS
ConfidenceMedium55/100
21-02-26Scotland - Premier League

Hearts vs Falkirk

1X2
PredictedHome57.95%
ActualHome1-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh80/100
21-02-26Scotland - Premier League

Dundee United vs Kilmarnock

O/U 2.5
PredictedUnder 2.562.42%
ActualUnder 2.51-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceLow28/100
21-02-26Scotland - Premier League

Aberdeen vs Dundee

1X2
PredictedHome65.14%
ActualAway2-3
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh80/100
21-02-26Italy - Serie A

Cagliari vs Lazio

1X2
PredictedAway49.30%
ActualDraw0-0
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh73/100
21-02-26Italy - Serie A

Lecce vs Inter

1X2
PredictedAway92.90%
ActualAway0-2
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh92/100
21-02-26Italy - Serie A

Juventus vs Como

1X2
PredictedHome54.43%
ActualAway0-2
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh75/100
Showing 511-520 of 551 examples
10 rows per page

Interpretation Guidance

Match probabilities describe estimated likelihood ranges, not fixed outcomes. Treat forecasts as context and combine them with your own match analysis.