MatchProb Analytics

MatchProb

Football match probabilities, team-form indicators, and scoring trend context in one structured dashboard.

Structured around probability, scoring conditions, and prior recorded results.

Pre-match probabilities Form and scoring context Backtested validation

Statistical Match Probabilities

Structured Home/Draw/Away, goal, and scoring-likelihood outputs with transparent presentation.

Team Form & Scoring Trends

Recent performance context is displayed alongside league goal environment indicators.

Historical Validation

Stored backtest examples and summary metrics keep the live view grounded in recorded model performance.

Clear Data-Driven Insights

A practical pre-match analytics workflow built for clarity and fast interpretation.

MatchProb Predictor

Select a competition and team pairing to generate a structured pre-match probability view with scoring context and recent performance cues.

Active Team PoolUnavailableSelect a league first
Teams AvailableUnavailableSelect a league first
Coverage ThroughUnavailableSelect a league first
Data RefreshedUnavailableSelect a league first

Historical performance

Results

Historical results across Top Pick and the main match markets.

Top Pick highlights the model's clearest supported angle in each historical example.

Use these results as a guide to how the model has performed across prior recorded forecasts. Probability Accuracy shows how closely forecast probabilities matched outcomes. Lower is better.

Top Pick

Top Pick Hit Rate56.26%Strongest supported match angle
Top Pick Avg Probability63.06%Average selected pick probability
Top Pick Probability Accuracy0.2425Lower is better
Confidence Success58.62%High-confidence Top Picks

Core Markets

1X2 Hit Rate49.55%Match result hit rate
O/U 2.5 Hit Rate57.71%Over/under market hit rate
BTS Market Hit Rate56.81%Both-teams-to-score market hit rate
Over 2.5 Actual Rate51.36%Share of matches finishing over 2.5

Accuracy

1X2 Probability Accuracy0.6087Lower is better
Over 2.5 Probability Accuracy0.2426Lower is better
BTS Probability Accuracy0.2470Lower is better
BTS Actual Rate52.63%Share of matches with both teams scoring

Results Filters

Top Pick metrics for the current filtered historical examples.

Matches551Historical examples in scope
Top Pick Hit Rate56.26%Selected Top Pick rows
Top Pick Avg Probability63.06%Average selected pick probability
Confidence Success58.62%High-confidence Top Picks

Historical Examples

Recent Backtested Examples

Historical examples of the model's strongest selected angle for each match.

Showing 531-540 of 551 examples.

DateCompetitionMatchMarketPredictedActualResultConfidence
21-02-26Germany - Bundesliga 1Union Berlin vs Leverkusen1X2
Away67.86%
Home1-0
MISSHigh85/100
21-02-26Germany - Bundesliga 1FC Koln vs HoffenheimBTS
BTS Yes59.08%
BTS Yes2-2
HITMedium66/100
21-02-26Germany - Bundesliga 1Bayern Munich vs Ein Frankfurt1X2
Home89.97%
Home3-2
HITHigh92/100
21-02-26France - Ligue 1Paris SG vs Metz1X2
Home94.33%
Home3-0
HITHigh93/100
21-02-26France - Ligue 1Toulouse vs Paris FC1X2
Home44.64%
Draw1-1
MISSMedium57/100
21-02-26France - Ligue 1Lens vs Monaco1X2
Home53.38%
Away2-3
MISSHigh81/100
21-02-26England - Premier LeagueMan City vs Newcastle1X2
Home75.60%
Home2-1
HITHigh88/100
21-02-26England - Premier LeagueWest Ham vs BournemouthO/U 2.5
Over 2.572.18%
Under 2.50-0
MISSHigh74/100
21-02-26England - Premier LeagueChelsea vs Burnley1X2
Home76.53%
Draw1-1
MISSHigh89/100
21-02-26England - Premier LeagueBrentford vs BrightonBTS
BTS Yes60.53%
BTS No0-2
MISSMedium65/100
21-02-26Germany - Bundesliga 1

Union Berlin vs Leverkusen

1X2
PredictedAway67.86%
ActualHome1-0
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh85/100
21-02-26Germany - Bundesliga 1

FC Koln vs Hoffenheim

BTS
PredictedBTS Yes59.08%
ActualBTS Yes2-2
ResultHIT
ConfidenceMedium66/100
21-02-26Germany - Bundesliga 1

Bayern Munich vs Ein Frankfurt

1X2
PredictedHome89.97%
ActualHome3-2
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh92/100
21-02-26France - Ligue 1

Paris SG vs Metz

1X2
PredictedHome94.33%
ActualHome3-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh93/100
21-02-26France - Ligue 1

Toulouse vs Paris FC

1X2
PredictedHome44.64%
ActualDraw1-1
ResultMISS
ConfidenceMedium57/100
21-02-26France - Ligue 1

Lens vs Monaco

1X2
PredictedHome53.38%
ActualAway2-3
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh81/100
21-02-26England - Premier League

Man City vs Newcastle

1X2
PredictedHome75.60%
ActualHome2-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh88/100
21-02-26England - Premier League

West Ham vs Bournemouth

O/U 2.5
PredictedOver 2.572.18%
ActualUnder 2.50-0
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh74/100
21-02-26England - Premier League

Chelsea vs Burnley

1X2
PredictedHome76.53%
ActualDraw1-1
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh89/100
21-02-26England - Premier League

Brentford vs Brighton

BTS
PredictedBTS Yes60.53%
ActualBTS No0-2
ResultMISS
ConfidenceMedium65/100
Showing 531-540 of 551 examples
10 rows per page

Interpretation Guidance

Match probabilities describe estimated likelihood ranges, not fixed outcomes. Treat forecasts as context and combine them with your own match analysis.