MatchProb Analytics

MatchProb

Football match probabilities, team-form indicators, and scoring trend context in one structured dashboard.

Structured around probability, scoring conditions, and prior recorded results.

Pre-match probabilities Form and scoring context Backtested validation

Statistical Match Probabilities

Structured Home/Draw/Away, goal, and scoring-likelihood outputs with transparent presentation.

Team Form & Scoring Trends

Recent performance context is displayed alongside league goal environment indicators.

Historical Validation

Stored backtest examples and summary metrics keep the live view grounded in recorded model performance.

Clear Data-Driven Insights

A practical pre-match analytics workflow built for clarity and fast interpretation.

MatchProb Predictor

Select a competition and team pairing to generate a structured pre-match probability view with scoring context and recent performance cues.

Active Team PoolUnavailableSelect a league first
Teams AvailableUnavailableSelect a league first
Coverage ThroughUnavailableSelect a league first
Data RefreshedUnavailableSelect a league first

Historical performance

Results

Historical results across Top Pick and the main match markets.

Top Pick highlights the model's clearest supported angle in each historical example.

Use these results as a guide to how the model has performed across prior recorded forecasts. Probability Accuracy shows how closely forecast probabilities matched outcomes. Lower is better.

Top Pick

Top Pick Hit Rate56.26%Strongest supported match angle
Top Pick Avg Probability63.06%Average selected pick probability
Top Pick Probability Accuracy0.2425Lower is better
Confidence Success58.62%High-confidence Top Picks

Core Markets

1X2 Hit Rate49.55%Match result hit rate
O/U 2.5 Hit Rate57.71%Over/under market hit rate
BTS Market Hit Rate56.81%Both-teams-to-score market hit rate
Over 2.5 Actual Rate51.36%Share of matches finishing over 2.5

Accuracy

1X2 Probability Accuracy0.6087Lower is better
Over 2.5 Probability Accuracy0.2426Lower is better
BTS Probability Accuracy0.2470Lower is better
BTS Actual Rate52.63%Share of matches with both teams scoring

Results Filters

Top Pick metrics for the current filtered historical examples.

Matches551Historical examples in scope
Top Pick Hit Rate56.26%Selected Top Pick rows
Top Pick Avg Probability63.06%Average selected pick probability
Confidence Success58.62%High-confidence Top Picks

Historical Examples

Recent Backtested Examples

Historical examples of the model's strongest selected angle for each match.

Showing 491-500 of 551 examples.

DateCompetitionMatchMarketPredictedActualResultConfidence
22-02-26Germany - Bundesliga 1Freiburg vs M'gladbach1X2
Home61.84%
Home2-1
HITHigh81/100
22-02-26France - Ligue 1Strasbourg vs LyonBTS
BTS Yes60.24%
BTS Yes3-1
HITMedium45/100
22-02-26France - Ligue 1Nice vs Lorient1X2
Home60.53%
Draw3-3
MISSHigh80/100
22-02-26France - Ligue 1Nantes vs Le HavreO/U 2.5
Under 2.568.71%
Under 2.52-0
HITMedium45/100
22-02-26France - Ligue 1Angers vs Lille1X2
Away47.75%
Away0-1
HITHigh70/100
22-02-26France - Ligue 1Auxerre vs RennesO/U 2.5
Under 2.559.62%
Over 2.50-3
MISSLow19/100
22-02-26England - Premier LeagueTottenham vs Arsenal1X2
Away71.59%
Away1-4
HITHigh89/100
22-02-26England - Premier LeagueSunderland vs Fulham1X2
Home52.96%
Away1-3
MISSHigh75/100
22-02-26England - Premier LeagueNott'm Forest vs Liverpool1X2
Away58.75%
Away0-1
HITHigh78/100
22-02-26England - Premier LeagueCrystal Palace vs Wolves1X2
Home48.24%
Home1-0
HITMedium68/100
22-02-26Germany - Bundesliga 1

Freiburg vs M'gladbach

1X2
PredictedHome61.84%
ActualHome2-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh81/100
22-02-26France - Ligue 1

Strasbourg vs Lyon

BTS
PredictedBTS Yes60.24%
ActualBTS Yes3-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceMedium45/100
22-02-26France - Ligue 1

Nice vs Lorient

1X2
PredictedHome60.53%
ActualDraw3-3
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh80/100
22-02-26France - Ligue 1

Nantes vs Le Havre

O/U 2.5
PredictedUnder 2.568.71%
ActualUnder 2.52-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceMedium45/100
22-02-26France - Ligue 1

Angers vs Lille

1X2
PredictedAway47.75%
ActualAway0-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh70/100
22-02-26France - Ligue 1

Auxerre vs Rennes

O/U 2.5
PredictedUnder 2.559.62%
ActualOver 2.50-3
ResultMISS
ConfidenceLow19/100
22-02-26England - Premier League

Tottenham vs Arsenal

1X2
PredictedAway71.59%
ActualAway1-4
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh89/100
22-02-26England - Premier League

Sunderland vs Fulham

1X2
PredictedHome52.96%
ActualAway1-3
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh75/100
22-02-26England - Premier League

Nott'm Forest vs Liverpool

1X2
PredictedAway58.75%
ActualAway0-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh78/100
22-02-26England - Premier League

Crystal Palace vs Wolves

1X2
PredictedHome48.24%
ActualHome1-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceMedium68/100
Showing 491-500 of 551 examples
10 rows per page

Interpretation Guidance

Match probabilities describe estimated likelihood ranges, not fixed outcomes. Treat forecasts as context and combine them with your own match analysis.