MatchProb Analytics

MatchProb

Football match probabilities, team-form indicators, and scoring trend context in one structured dashboard.

Structured around probability, scoring conditions, and prior recorded results.

Pre-match probabilities Form and scoring context Backtested validation

Statistical Match Probabilities

Structured Home/Draw/Away, goal, and scoring-likelihood outputs with transparent presentation.

Team Form & Scoring Trends

Recent performance context is displayed alongside league goal environment indicators.

Historical Validation

Stored backtest examples and summary metrics keep the live view grounded in recorded model performance.

Clear Data-Driven Insights

A practical pre-match analytics workflow built for clarity and fast interpretation.

MatchProb Predictor

Select a competition and team pairing to generate a structured pre-match probability view with scoring context and recent performance cues.

Active Team PoolUnavailableSelect a league first
Teams AvailableUnavailableSelect a league first
Coverage ThroughUnavailableSelect a league first
Data RefreshedUnavailableSelect a league first

Historical performance

Results

Historical results across Top Pick and the main match markets.

Top Pick highlights the model's clearest supported angle in each historical example.

Use these results as a guide to how the model has performed across prior recorded forecasts. Probability Accuracy shows how closely forecast probabilities matched outcomes. Lower is better.

Top Pick

Top Pick Hit Rate56.26%Strongest supported match angle
Top Pick Avg Probability63.06%Average selected pick probability
Top Pick Probability Accuracy0.2425Lower is better
Confidence Success58.62%High-confidence Top Picks

Core Markets

1X2 Hit Rate49.55%Match result hit rate
O/U 2.5 Hit Rate57.71%Over/under market hit rate
BTS Market Hit Rate56.81%Both-teams-to-score market hit rate
Over 2.5 Actual Rate51.36%Share of matches finishing over 2.5

Accuracy

1X2 Probability Accuracy0.6087Lower is better
Over 2.5 Probability Accuracy0.2426Lower is better
BTS Probability Accuracy0.2470Lower is better
BTS Actual Rate52.63%Share of matches with both teams scoring

Results Filters

Top Pick metrics for the current filtered historical examples.

Matches551Historical examples in scope
Top Pick Hit Rate56.26%Selected Top Pick rows
Top Pick Avg Probability63.06%Average selected pick probability
Confidence Success58.62%High-confidence Top Picks

Historical Examples

Recent Backtested Examples

Historical examples of the model's strongest selected angle for each match.

Showing 481-490 of 551 examples.

DateCompetitionMatchMarketPredictedActualResultConfidence
22-02-26Greece - Ethniki KatigoriaAris vs Kifisia1X2
Home66.03%
Draw1-1
MISSHigh81/100
22-02-26Greece - Ethniki KatigoriaLarisa vs PAOK1X2
Away82.93%
Draw1-1
MISSHigh87/100
22-02-26Greece - Ethniki KatigoriaPanserraikos vs Volos NFCO/U 2.5
Under 2.560.90%
Over 2.52-1
MISSLow30/100
22-02-26Greece - Ethniki KatigoriaOFI Crete vs Panathinaikos1X2
Away46.11%
Away0-2
HITMedium62/100
22-02-26Belgium - Jupiler LeagueWesterlo vs CharleroiBTS
BTS Yes59.95%
BTS Yes2-1
HITLow28/100
22-02-26Belgium - Jupiler LeagueWaregem vs Anderlecht1X2
Away48.26%
Away2-4
HITHigh72/100
22-02-26Belgium - Jupiler LeagueRAAL La Louviere vs MechelenO/U 2.5
Under 2.574.17%
Under 2.50-2
HITMedium58/100
22-02-26Belgium - Jupiler LeagueGenk vs Standard1X2
Home72.37%
Away0-3
MISSHigh83/100
22-02-26Germany - Bundesliga 1Heidenheim vs Stuttgart1X2
Away77.10%
Draw3-3
MISSHigh89/100
22-02-26Germany - Bundesliga 1St Pauli vs Werder BremenO/U 2.5
Under 2.566.60%
Over 2.52-1
MISSLow24/100
22-02-26Greece - Ethniki Katigoria

Aris vs Kifisia

1X2
PredictedHome66.03%
ActualDraw1-1
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh81/100
22-02-26Greece - Ethniki Katigoria

Larisa vs PAOK

1X2
PredictedAway82.93%
ActualDraw1-1
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh87/100
22-02-26Greece - Ethniki Katigoria

Panserraikos vs Volos NFC

O/U 2.5
PredictedUnder 2.560.90%
ActualOver 2.52-1
ResultMISS
ConfidenceLow30/100
22-02-26Greece - Ethniki Katigoria

OFI Crete vs Panathinaikos

1X2
PredictedAway46.11%
ActualAway0-2
ResultHIT
ConfidenceMedium62/100
22-02-26Belgium - Jupiler League

Westerlo vs Charleroi

BTS
PredictedBTS Yes59.95%
ActualBTS Yes2-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceLow28/100
22-02-26Belgium - Jupiler League

Waregem vs Anderlecht

1X2
PredictedAway48.26%
ActualAway2-4
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh72/100
22-02-26Belgium - Jupiler League

RAAL La Louviere vs Mechelen

O/U 2.5
PredictedUnder 2.574.17%
ActualUnder 2.50-2
ResultHIT
ConfidenceMedium58/100
22-02-26Belgium - Jupiler League

Genk vs Standard

1X2
PredictedHome72.37%
ActualAway0-3
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh83/100
22-02-26Germany - Bundesliga 1

Heidenheim vs Stuttgart

1X2
PredictedAway77.10%
ActualDraw3-3
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh89/100
22-02-26Germany - Bundesliga 1

St Pauli vs Werder Bremen

O/U 2.5
PredictedUnder 2.566.60%
ActualOver 2.52-1
ResultMISS
ConfidenceLow24/100
Showing 481-490 of 551 examples
10 rows per page

Interpretation Guidance

Match probabilities describe estimated likelihood ranges, not fixed outcomes. Treat forecasts as context and combine them with your own match analysis.