MatchProb Analytics

MatchProb

Football match probabilities, team-form indicators, and scoring trend context in one structured dashboard.

Structured around probability, scoring conditions, and prior recorded results.

Pre-match probabilities Form and scoring context Backtested validation

Statistical Match Probabilities

Structured Home/Draw/Away, goal, and scoring-likelihood outputs with transparent presentation.

Team Form & Scoring Trends

Recent performance context is displayed alongside league goal environment indicators.

Historical Validation

Stored backtest examples and summary metrics keep the live view grounded in recorded model performance.

Clear Data-Driven Insights

A practical pre-match analytics workflow built for clarity and fast interpretation.

MatchProb Predictor

Select a competition and team pairing to generate a structured pre-match probability view with scoring context and recent performance cues.

Active Team PoolUnavailableSelect a league first
Teams AvailableUnavailableSelect a league first
Coverage ThroughUnavailableSelect a league first
Data RefreshedUnavailableSelect a league first

Historical performance

Results

Historical results across Top Pick and the main match markets.

Top Pick highlights the model's clearest supported angle in each historical example.

Use these results as a guide to how the model has performed across prior recorded forecasts. Probability Accuracy shows how closely forecast probabilities matched outcomes. Lower is better.

Top Pick

Top Pick Hit Rate56.26%Strongest supported match angle
Top Pick Avg Probability63.06%Average selected pick probability
Top Pick Probability Accuracy0.2425Lower is better
Confidence Success58.62%High-confidence Top Picks

Core Markets

1X2 Hit Rate49.55%Match result hit rate
O/U 2.5 Hit Rate57.71%Over/under market hit rate
BTS Market Hit Rate56.81%Both-teams-to-score market hit rate
Over 2.5 Actual Rate51.36%Share of matches finishing over 2.5

Accuracy

1X2 Probability Accuracy0.6087Lower is better
Over 2.5 Probability Accuracy0.2426Lower is better
BTS Probability Accuracy0.2470Lower is better
BTS Actual Rate52.63%Share of matches with both teams scoring

Results Filters

Top Pick metrics for the current filtered historical examples.

Matches551Historical examples in scope
Top Pick Hit Rate56.26%Selected Top Pick rows
Top Pick Avg Probability63.06%Average selected pick probability
Confidence Success58.62%High-confidence Top Picks

Historical Examples

Recent Backtested Examples

Historical examples of the model's strongest selected angle for each match.

Showing 471-480 of 551 examples.

DateCompetitionMatchMarketPredictedActualResultConfidence
22-02-26Scotland - Premier LeagueCeltic vs Hibernian1X2
Home89.97%
Away1-2
MISSHigh85/100
22-02-26Italy - Serie ARoma vs Cremonese1X2
Home81.45%
Home3-0
HITHigh90/100
22-02-26Italy - Serie AMilan vs Parma1X2
Home72.60%
Away0-1
MISSHigh88/100
22-02-26Italy - Serie AAtalanta vs NapoliBTS
BTS Yes58.89%
BTS Yes2-1
HITLow23/100
22-02-26Italy - Serie AGenoa vs Torino1X2
Draw43.94%
Home3-0
MISSMedium52/100
22-02-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1Karagumruk vs Samsunspor1X2
Draw39.74%
Draw0-0
HITLow43/100
22-02-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1Beşiktaş vs Goztep1X2
Home56.53%
Home4-0
HITHigh77/100
22-02-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1Gaziantep vs Trabzonspor1X2
Away56.57%
Away1-2
HITHigh80/100
22-02-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1Kayserispor vs AntalyasporO/U 2.5
Under 2.565.88%
Under 2.51-0
HITMedium48/100
22-02-26Greece - Ethniki KatigoriaAEK vs Levadeiakos1X2
Home69.12%
Home4-0
HITHigh83/100
22-02-26Scotland - Premier League

Celtic vs Hibernian

1X2
PredictedHome89.97%
ActualAway1-2
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh85/100
22-02-26Italy - Serie A

Roma vs Cremonese

1X2
PredictedHome81.45%
ActualHome3-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh90/100
22-02-26Italy - Serie A

Milan vs Parma

1X2
PredictedHome72.60%
ActualAway0-1
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh88/100
22-02-26Italy - Serie A

Atalanta vs Napoli

BTS
PredictedBTS Yes58.89%
ActualBTS Yes2-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceLow23/100
22-02-26Italy - Serie A

Genoa vs Torino

1X2
PredictedDraw43.94%
ActualHome3-0
ResultMISS
ConfidenceMedium52/100
22-02-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1

Karagumruk vs Samsunspor

1X2
PredictedDraw39.74%
ActualDraw0-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceLow43/100
22-02-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1

Beşiktaş vs Goztep

1X2
PredictedHome56.53%
ActualHome4-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh77/100
22-02-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1

Gaziantep vs Trabzonspor

1X2
PredictedAway56.57%
ActualAway1-2
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh80/100
22-02-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1

Kayserispor vs Antalyaspor

O/U 2.5
PredictedUnder 2.565.88%
ActualUnder 2.51-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceMedium48/100
22-02-26Greece - Ethniki Katigoria

AEK vs Levadeiakos

1X2
PredictedHome69.12%
ActualHome4-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh83/100
Showing 471-480 of 551 examples
10 rows per page

Interpretation Guidance

Match probabilities describe estimated likelihood ranges, not fixed outcomes. Treat forecasts as context and combine them with your own match analysis.