MatchProb Analytics

MatchProb

Football match probabilities, team-form indicators, and scoring trend context in one structured dashboard.

Structured around probability, scoring conditions, and prior recorded results.

Pre-match probabilities Form and scoring context Backtested validation

Statistical Match Probabilities

Structured Home/Draw/Away, goal, and scoring-likelihood outputs with transparent presentation.

Team Form & Scoring Trends

Recent performance context is displayed alongside league goal environment indicators.

Historical Validation

Stored backtest examples and summary metrics keep the live view grounded in recorded model performance.

Clear Data-Driven Insights

A practical pre-match analytics workflow built for clarity and fast interpretation.

MatchProb Predictor

Select a competition and team pairing to generate a structured pre-match probability view with scoring context and recent performance cues.

Active Team PoolUnavailableSelect a league first
Teams AvailableUnavailableSelect a league first
Coverage ThroughUnavailableSelect a league first
Data RefreshedUnavailableSelect a league first

Historical performance

Results

Historical results across Top Pick and the main match markets.

Top Pick highlights the model's clearest supported angle in each historical example.

Use these results as a guide to how the model has performed across prior recorded forecasts. Probability Accuracy shows how closely forecast probabilities matched outcomes. Lower is better.

Top Pick

Top Pick Hit Rate56.26%Strongest supported match angle
Top Pick Avg Probability63.06%Average selected pick probability
Top Pick Probability Accuracy0.2425Lower is better
Confidence Success58.62%High-confidence Top Picks

Core Markets

1X2 Hit Rate49.55%Match result hit rate
O/U 2.5 Hit Rate57.71%Over/under market hit rate
BTS Market Hit Rate56.81%Both-teams-to-score market hit rate
Over 2.5 Actual Rate51.36%Share of matches finishing over 2.5

Accuracy

1X2 Probability Accuracy0.6087Lower is better
Over 2.5 Probability Accuracy0.2426Lower is better
BTS Probability Accuracy0.2470Lower is better
BTS Actual Rate52.63%Share of matches with both teams scoring

Results Filters

Top Pick metrics for the current filtered historical examples.

Matches551Historical examples in scope
Top Pick Hit Rate56.26%Selected Top Pick rows
Top Pick Avg Probability63.06%Average selected pick probability
Confidence Success58.62%High-confidence Top Picks

Historical Examples

Recent Backtested Examples

Historical examples of the model's strongest selected angle for each match.

Showing 21-30 of 551 examples.

DateCompetitionMatchMarketPredictedActualResultConfidence
22-03-26Greece - Ethniki KatigoriaOlympiakos vs Larisa1X2
Home84.16%
Draw0-0
MISSHigh88/100
22-03-26Greece - Ethniki KatigoriaLevadeiakos vs AtromitosBTS
BTS Yes54.06%
BTS No1-0
MISSLow14/100
22-03-26Greece - Ethniki KatigoriaAsteras Tripolis vs Panathinaikos1X2
Away66.68%
Away1-2
HITHigh86/100
22-03-26Greece - Ethniki KatigoriaAris vs OFI Crete1X2
Home60.04%
Away0-2
MISSHigh79/100
22-03-26Greece - Ethniki KatigoriaAEK vs Kifisia1X2
Home89.59%
Home3-0
HITHigh91/100
22-03-26Belgium - Jupiler LeagueWaregem vs CharleroiBTS
BTS Yes58.40%
BTS No1-0
MISSMedium68/100
22-03-26Belgium - Jupiler LeagueStandard vs Westerlo1X2
Draw44.30%
Draw0-0
HITMedium48/100
22-03-26Belgium - Jupiler LeagueSt Truiden vs St. Gilloise1X2
Away56.58%
Away1-3
HITHigh75/100
22-03-26Belgium - Jupiler LeagueRAAL La Louviere vs GenkBTS
BTS No61.04%
BTS Yes5-5
MISSMedium46/100
22-03-26Belgium - Jupiler LeagueOud-Heverlee Leuven vs AntwerpO/U 2.5
Under 2.571.42%
Under 2.51-0
HITMedium54/100
22-03-26Greece - Ethniki Katigoria

Olympiakos vs Larisa

1X2
PredictedHome84.16%
ActualDraw0-0
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh88/100
22-03-26Greece - Ethniki Katigoria

Levadeiakos vs Atromitos

BTS
PredictedBTS Yes54.06%
ActualBTS No1-0
ResultMISS
ConfidenceLow14/100
22-03-26Greece - Ethniki Katigoria

Asteras Tripolis vs Panathinaikos

1X2
PredictedAway66.68%
ActualAway1-2
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh86/100
22-03-26Greece - Ethniki Katigoria

Aris vs OFI Crete

1X2
PredictedHome60.04%
ActualAway0-2
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh79/100
22-03-26Greece - Ethniki Katigoria

AEK vs Kifisia

1X2
PredictedHome89.59%
ActualHome3-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh91/100
22-03-26Belgium - Jupiler League

Waregem vs Charleroi

BTS
PredictedBTS Yes58.40%
ActualBTS No1-0
ResultMISS
ConfidenceMedium68/100
22-03-26Belgium - Jupiler League

Standard vs Westerlo

1X2
PredictedDraw44.30%
ActualDraw0-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceMedium48/100
22-03-26Belgium - Jupiler League

St Truiden vs St. Gilloise

1X2
PredictedAway56.58%
ActualAway1-3
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh75/100
22-03-26Belgium - Jupiler League

RAAL La Louviere vs Genk

BTS
PredictedBTS No61.04%
ActualBTS Yes5-5
ResultMISS
ConfidenceMedium46/100
22-03-26Belgium - Jupiler League

Oud-Heverlee Leuven vs Antwerp

O/U 2.5
PredictedUnder 2.571.42%
ActualUnder 2.51-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceMedium54/100
Showing 21-30 of 551 examples
10 rows per page

Interpretation Guidance

Match probabilities describe estimated likelihood ranges, not fixed outcomes. Treat forecasts as context and combine them with your own match analysis.