MatchProb Analytics

MatchProb

Football match probabilities, team-form indicators, and scoring trend context in one structured dashboard.

Structured around probability, scoring conditions, and prior recorded results.

Pre-match probabilities Form and scoring context Backtested validation

Statistical Match Probabilities

Structured Home/Draw/Away, goal, and scoring-likelihood outputs with transparent presentation.

Team Form & Scoring Trends

Recent performance context is displayed alongside league goal environment indicators.

Historical Validation

Stored backtest examples and summary metrics keep the live view grounded in recorded model performance.

Clear Data-Driven Insights

A practical pre-match analytics workflow built for clarity and fast interpretation.

MatchProb Predictor

Select a competition and team pairing to generate a structured pre-match probability view with scoring context and recent performance cues.

Active Team PoolUnavailableSelect a league first
Teams AvailableUnavailableSelect a league first
Coverage ThroughUnavailableSelect a league first
Data RefreshedUnavailableSelect a league first

Historical performance

Results

Historical results across Top Pick and the main match markets.

Top Pick highlights the model's clearest supported angle in each historical example.

Use these results as a guide to how the model has performed across prior recorded forecasts. Probability Accuracy shows how closely forecast probabilities matched outcomes. Lower is better.

Top Pick

Top Pick Hit Rate53.47%Strongest supported match angle
Top Pick Avg Probability62.54%Average selected pick probability
Top Pick Probability Accuracy0.2465Lower is better
Confidence Success56.22%High-confidence Top Picks

Core Markets

1X2 Hit Rate48.94%Match result hit rate
O/U 2.5 Hit Rate54.98%Over/under market hit rate
BTS Market Hit Rate54.68%Both-teams-to-score market hit rate
Over 2.5 Actual Rate49.55%Share of matches finishing over 2.5

Accuracy

1X2 Probability Accuracy0.6124Lower is better
Over 2.5 Probability Accuracy0.2535Lower is better
BTS Probability Accuracy0.2513Lower is better
BTS Actual Rate51.66%Share of matches with both teams scoring

Results Filters

Top Pick metrics for the current filtered historical examples.

Matches331Historical examples in scope
Top Pick Hit Rate53.47%Selected Top Pick rows
Top Pick Avg Probability62.54%Average selected pick probability
Confidence Success56.22%High-confidence Top Picks

Historical Examples

Recent Backtested Examples

Historical examples of the model's strongest selected angle for each match.

Showing 21-30 of 331 examples.

DateCompetitionMatchMarketPredictedActualResultConfidence
06-04-26England - ChampionshipMillwall vs NorwichBTS
BTS Yes53.44%
BTS Yes1-2
HITLow23/100
06-04-26England - ChampionshipPortsmouth vs OxfordBTS
BTS No59.41%
BTS Yes2-2
MISSMedium60/100
06-04-26Spain - La Liga Primera DivisionGirona vs VillarrealBTS
BTS Yes64.20%
BTS No1-0
MISSLow32/100
06-04-26Italy - Serie ANapoli vs MilanBTS
BTS Yes59.70%
BTS No1-0
MISSMedium62/100
06-04-26Italy - Serie AJuventus vs Genoa1X2
Home69.07%
Home2-0
HITHigh86/100
06-04-26Italy - Serie ALecce vs Atalanta1X2
Away75.44%
Away0-3
HITHigh88/100
06-04-26Italy - Serie AUdinese vs Como1X2
Away58.23%
Draw0-0
MISSHigh79/100
06-04-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1Kocaelispor vs BuyuksehyrBTS
BTS No60.03%
BTS No0-0
HITMedium47/100
05-04-26Germany - Bundesliga 1Ein Frankfurt vs FC Koln1X2
Home63.90%
Draw2-2
MISSHigh81/100
05-04-26Germany - Bundesliga 1Union Berlin vs St PauliO/U 2.5
Under 2.574.91%
Under 2.51-1
HITMedium48/100
06-04-26England - Championship

Millwall vs Norwich

BTS
PredictedBTS Yes53.44%
ActualBTS Yes1-2
ResultHIT
ConfidenceLow23/100
06-04-26England - Championship

Portsmouth vs Oxford

BTS
PredictedBTS No59.41%
ActualBTS Yes2-2
ResultMISS
ConfidenceMedium60/100
06-04-26Spain - La Liga Primera Division

Girona vs Villarreal

BTS
PredictedBTS Yes64.20%
ActualBTS No1-0
ResultMISS
ConfidenceLow32/100
06-04-26Italy - Serie A

Napoli vs Milan

BTS
PredictedBTS Yes59.70%
ActualBTS No1-0
ResultMISS
ConfidenceMedium62/100
06-04-26Italy - Serie A

Juventus vs Genoa

1X2
PredictedHome69.07%
ActualHome2-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh86/100
06-04-26Italy - Serie A

Lecce vs Atalanta

1X2
PredictedAway75.44%
ActualAway0-3
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh88/100
06-04-26Italy - Serie A

Udinese vs Como

1X2
PredictedAway58.23%
ActualDraw0-0
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh79/100
06-04-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1

Kocaelispor vs Buyuksehyr

BTS
PredictedBTS No60.03%
ActualBTS No0-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceMedium47/100
05-04-26Germany - Bundesliga 1

Ein Frankfurt vs FC Koln

1X2
PredictedHome63.90%
ActualDraw2-2
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh81/100
05-04-26Germany - Bundesliga 1

Union Berlin vs St Pauli

O/U 2.5
PredictedUnder 2.574.91%
ActualUnder 2.51-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceMedium48/100
Showing 21-30 of 331 examples
10 rows per page

Interpretation Guidance

Match probabilities describe estimated likelihood ranges, not fixed outcomes. Treat forecasts as context and combine them with your own match analysis.