MatchProb Analytics

MatchProb

Football match probabilities, team-form indicators, and scoring trend context in one structured dashboard.

Structured around probability, scoring conditions, and prior recorded results.

Pre-match probabilities Form and scoring context Backtested validation

Statistical Match Probabilities

Structured Home/Draw/Away, goal, and scoring-likelihood outputs with transparent presentation.

Team Form & Scoring Trends

Recent performance context is displayed alongside league goal environment indicators.

Historical Validation

Stored backtest examples and summary metrics keep the live view grounded in recorded model performance.

Clear Data-Driven Insights

A practical pre-match analytics workflow built for clarity and fast interpretation.

MatchProb Predictor

Select a competition and team pairing to generate a structured pre-match probability view with scoring context and recent performance cues.

Active Team PoolUnavailableSelect a league first
Teams AvailableUnavailableSelect a league first
Coverage ThroughUnavailableSelect a league first
Data RefreshedUnavailableSelect a league first

Historical performance

Results

Historical results across Top Pick and the main match markets.

Top Pick highlights the model's clearest supported angle in each historical example.

Use these results as a guide to how the model has performed across prior recorded forecasts. Probability Accuracy shows how closely forecast probabilities matched outcomes. Lower is better.

Top Pick

Top Pick Hit Rate56.26%Strongest supported match angle
Top Pick Avg Probability63.06%Average selected pick probability
Top Pick Probability Accuracy0.2425Lower is better
Confidence Success58.62%High-confidence Top Picks

Core Markets

1X2 Hit Rate49.55%Match result hit rate
O/U 2.5 Hit Rate57.71%Over/under market hit rate
BTS Market Hit Rate56.81%Both-teams-to-score market hit rate
Over 2.5 Actual Rate51.36%Share of matches finishing over 2.5

Accuracy

1X2 Probability Accuracy0.6087Lower is better
Over 2.5 Probability Accuracy0.2426Lower is better
BTS Probability Accuracy0.2470Lower is better
BTS Actual Rate52.63%Share of matches with both teams scoring

Results Filters

Top Pick metrics for the current filtered historical examples.

Matches551Historical examples in scope
Top Pick Hit Rate56.26%Selected Top Pick rows
Top Pick Avg Probability63.06%Average selected pick probability
Confidence Success58.62%High-confidence Top Picks

Historical Examples

Recent Backtested Examples

Historical examples of the model's strongest selected angle for each match.

Showing 461-470 of 551 examples.

DateCompetitionMatchMarketPredictedActualResultConfidence
22-02-26Spain - La Liga Primera DivisionBarcelona vs Levante1X2
Home93.12%
Home3-0
HITHigh94/100
22-02-26Spain - La Liga Primera DivisionGetafe vs SevillaO/U 2.5
Under 2.571.98%
Under 2.50-1
HITMedium52/100
22-02-26Portugal - Liga IPorto vs Rio Ave1X2
Home91.50%
Home1-0
HITHigh90/100
22-02-26Portugal - Liga IEstoril vs Gil Vicente1X2
Home47.12%
Home3-1
HITHigh70/100
22-02-26Netherlands - EredivisieFeyenoord vs Telstar1X2
Home81.25%
Home2-1
HITHigh88/100
22-02-26Netherlands - EredivisieAZ Alkmaar vs Sparta RotterdamBTS
BTS Yes57.70%
BTS Yes3-1
HITLow43/100
22-02-26Netherlands - EredivisieUtrecht vs Zwolle1X2
Home58.86%
Draw1-1
MISSHigh77/100
22-02-26Netherlands - EredivisieGo Ahead Eagles vs Heracles1X2
Home70.77%
Home4-0
HITHigh82/100
22-02-26Netherlands - EredivisieTwente vs Groningen1X2
Home80.85%
Home2-1
HITHigh82/100
22-02-26Scotland - Premier LeagueLivingston vs Rangers1X2
Away83.09%
Draw2-2
MISSHigh89/100
22-02-26Spain - La Liga Primera Division

Barcelona vs Levante

1X2
PredictedHome93.12%
ActualHome3-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh94/100
22-02-26Spain - La Liga Primera Division

Getafe vs Sevilla

O/U 2.5
PredictedUnder 2.571.98%
ActualUnder 2.50-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceMedium52/100
22-02-26Portugal - Liga I

Porto vs Rio Ave

1X2
PredictedHome91.50%
ActualHome1-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh90/100
22-02-26Portugal - Liga I

Estoril vs Gil Vicente

1X2
PredictedHome47.12%
ActualHome3-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh70/100
22-02-26Netherlands - Eredivisie

Feyenoord vs Telstar

1X2
PredictedHome81.25%
ActualHome2-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh88/100
22-02-26Netherlands - Eredivisie

AZ Alkmaar vs Sparta Rotterdam

BTS
PredictedBTS Yes57.70%
ActualBTS Yes3-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceLow43/100
22-02-26Netherlands - Eredivisie

Utrecht vs Zwolle

1X2
PredictedHome58.86%
ActualDraw1-1
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh77/100
22-02-26Netherlands - Eredivisie

Go Ahead Eagles vs Heracles

1X2
PredictedHome70.77%
ActualHome4-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh82/100
22-02-26Netherlands - Eredivisie

Twente vs Groningen

1X2
PredictedHome80.85%
ActualHome2-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh82/100
22-02-26Scotland - Premier League

Livingston vs Rangers

1X2
PredictedAway83.09%
ActualDraw2-2
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh89/100
Showing 461-470 of 551 examples
10 rows per page

Interpretation Guidance

Match probabilities describe estimated likelihood ranges, not fixed outcomes. Treat forecasts as context and combine them with your own match analysis.