MatchProb Analytics

MatchProb

Football match probabilities, team-form indicators, and scoring trend context in one structured dashboard.

Structured around probability, scoring conditions, and prior recorded results.

Pre-match probabilities Form and scoring context Backtested validation

Statistical Match Probabilities

Structured Home/Draw/Away, goal, and scoring-likelihood outputs with transparent presentation.

Team Form & Scoring Trends

Recent performance context is displayed alongside league goal environment indicators.

Historical Validation

Stored backtest examples and summary metrics keep the live view grounded in recorded model performance.

Clear Data-Driven Insights

A practical pre-match analytics workflow built for clarity and fast interpretation.

MatchProb Predictor

Select a competition and team pairing to generate a structured pre-match probability view with scoring context and recent performance cues.

Active Team PoolUnavailableSelect a league first
Teams AvailableUnavailableSelect a league first
Coverage ThroughUnavailableSelect a league first
Data RefreshedUnavailableSelect a league first

Historical performance

Results

Historical results across Top Pick and the main match markets.

Top Pick highlights the model's clearest supported angle in each historical example.

Use these results as a guide to how the model has performed across prior recorded forecasts. Probability Accuracy shows how closely forecast probabilities matched outcomes. Lower is better.

Top Pick

Top Pick Hit Rate56.26%Strongest supported match angle
Top Pick Avg Probability63.06%Average selected pick probability
Top Pick Probability Accuracy0.2425Lower is better
Confidence Success58.62%High-confidence Top Picks

Core Markets

1X2 Hit Rate49.55%Match result hit rate
O/U 2.5 Hit Rate57.71%Over/under market hit rate
BTS Market Hit Rate56.81%Both-teams-to-score market hit rate
Over 2.5 Actual Rate51.36%Share of matches finishing over 2.5

Accuracy

1X2 Probability Accuracy0.6087Lower is better
Over 2.5 Probability Accuracy0.2426Lower is better
BTS Probability Accuracy0.2470Lower is better
BTS Actual Rate52.63%Share of matches with both teams scoring

Results Filters

Top Pick metrics for the current filtered historical examples.

Matches551Historical examples in scope
Top Pick Hit Rate56.26%Selected Top Pick rows
Top Pick Avg Probability63.06%Average selected pick probability
Confidence Success58.62%High-confidence Top Picks

Historical Examples

Recent Backtested Examples

Historical examples of the model's strongest selected angle for each match.

Showing 451-460 of 551 examples.

DateCompetitionMatchMarketPredictedActualResultConfidence
24-02-26England - ChampionshipHull vs Derby1X2
Away41.27%
Home4-2
MISSMedium49/100
24-02-26England - ChampionshipBlackburn vs Bristol CityO/U 2.5
Under 2.561.87%
Over 2.51-2
MISSLow23/100
23-02-26Spain - La Liga Primera DivisionAlaves vs Girona1X2
Draw43.61%
Draw2-2
HITMedium53/100
23-02-26Portugal - Liga IFamalicao vs Casa Pia1X2
Home56.58%
Home2-0
HITHigh76/100
23-02-26Italy - Serie ABologna vs Udinese1X2
Home49.80%
Home1-0
HITMedium69/100
23-02-26Italy - Serie AFiorentina vs Pisa1X2
Home67.53%
Home1-0
HITHigh79/100
23-02-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1Fenerbahçe vs Kasimpasa1X2
Home83.92%
Draw1-1
MISSHigh92/100
23-02-26England - Premier LeagueEverton vs Man UnitedO/U 2.5
Under 2.558.98%
Under 2.50-1
HITLow26/100
22-02-26Spain - La Liga Primera DivisionVillarreal vs Valencia1X2
Home68.47%
Home2-1
HITHigh86/100
22-02-26Spain - La Liga Primera DivisionCelta vs Mallorca1X2
Home54.13%
Home2-0
HITHigh76/100
24-02-26England - Championship

Hull vs Derby

1X2
PredictedAway41.27%
ActualHome4-2
ResultMISS
ConfidenceMedium49/100
24-02-26England - Championship

Blackburn vs Bristol City

O/U 2.5
PredictedUnder 2.561.87%
ActualOver 2.51-2
ResultMISS
ConfidenceLow23/100
23-02-26Spain - La Liga Primera Division

Alaves vs Girona

1X2
PredictedDraw43.61%
ActualDraw2-2
ResultHIT
ConfidenceMedium53/100
23-02-26Portugal - Liga I

Famalicao vs Casa Pia

1X2
PredictedHome56.58%
ActualHome2-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh76/100
23-02-26Italy - Serie A

Bologna vs Udinese

1X2
PredictedHome49.80%
ActualHome1-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceMedium69/100
23-02-26Italy - Serie A

Fiorentina vs Pisa

1X2
PredictedHome67.53%
ActualHome1-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh79/100
23-02-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1

Fenerbahçe vs Kasimpasa

1X2
PredictedHome83.92%
ActualDraw1-1
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh92/100
23-02-26England - Premier League

Everton vs Man United

O/U 2.5
PredictedUnder 2.558.98%
ActualUnder 2.50-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceLow26/100
22-02-26Spain - La Liga Primera Division

Villarreal vs Valencia

1X2
PredictedHome68.47%
ActualHome2-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh86/100
22-02-26Spain - La Liga Primera Division

Celta vs Mallorca

1X2
PredictedHome54.13%
ActualHome2-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh76/100
Showing 451-460 of 551 examples
10 rows per page

Interpretation Guidance

Match probabilities describe estimated likelihood ranges, not fixed outcomes. Treat forecasts as context and combine them with your own match analysis.