MatchProb Analytics

MatchProb

Football match probabilities, team-form indicators, and scoring trend context in one structured dashboard.

Structured around probability, scoring conditions, and prior recorded results.

Pre-match probabilities Form and scoring context Backtested validation

Statistical Match Probabilities

Structured Home/Draw/Away, goal, and scoring-likelihood outputs with transparent presentation.

Team Form & Scoring Trends

Recent performance context is displayed alongside league goal environment indicators.

Historical Validation

Stored backtest examples and summary metrics keep the live view grounded in recorded model performance.

Clear Data-Driven Insights

A practical pre-match analytics workflow built for clarity and fast interpretation.

MatchProb Predictor

Select a competition and team pairing to generate a structured pre-match probability view with scoring context and recent performance cues.

Active Team PoolUnavailableSelect a league first
Teams AvailableUnavailableSelect a league first
Coverage ThroughUnavailableSelect a league first
Data RefreshedUnavailableSelect a league first

Historical performance

Results

Historical results across Top Pick and the main match markets.

Top Pick highlights the model's clearest supported angle in each historical example.

Use these results as a guide to how the model has performed across prior recorded forecasts. Probability Accuracy shows how closely forecast probabilities matched outcomes. Lower is better.

Top Pick

Top Pick Hit Rate56.26%Strongest supported match angle
Top Pick Avg Probability63.06%Average selected pick probability
Top Pick Probability Accuracy0.2425Lower is better
Confidence Success58.62%High-confidence Top Picks

Core Markets

1X2 Hit Rate49.55%Match result hit rate
O/U 2.5 Hit Rate57.71%Over/under market hit rate
BTS Market Hit Rate56.81%Both-teams-to-score market hit rate
Over 2.5 Actual Rate51.36%Share of matches finishing over 2.5

Accuracy

1X2 Probability Accuracy0.6087Lower is better
Over 2.5 Probability Accuracy0.2426Lower is better
BTS Probability Accuracy0.2470Lower is better
BTS Actual Rate52.63%Share of matches with both teams scoring

Results Filters

Top Pick metrics for the current filtered historical examples.

Matches551Historical examples in scope
Top Pick Hit Rate56.26%Selected Top Pick rows
Top Pick Avg Probability63.06%Average selected pick probability
Confidence Success58.62%High-confidence Top Picks

Historical Examples

Recent Backtested Examples

Historical examples of the model's strongest selected angle for each match.

Showing 431-440 of 551 examples.

DateCompetitionMatchMarketPredictedActualResultConfidence
27-02-26Netherlands - EredivisieTelstar vs NAC BredaBTS
BTS Yes54.07%
BTS No3-0
MISSLow24/100
27-02-26Italy - Serie AParma vs CagliariO/U 2.5
Under 2.560.45%
Under 2.51-1
HITLow32/100
27-02-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1Trabzonspor vs Karagumruk1X2
Home79.74%
Home3-1
HITHigh88/100
27-02-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1Buyuksehyr vs Konyaspor1X2
Home62.63%
Home2-0
HITHigh82/100
27-02-26Belgium - Jupiler LeagueStandard vs RAAL La LouviereO/U 2.5
Under 2.577.71%
Under 2.51-1
HITMedium60/100
27-02-26Germany - Bundesliga 1Augsburg vs FC Koln1X2
Home46.44%
Home2-0
HITMedium63/100
27-02-26France - Ligue 1Strasbourg vs Lens1X2
Away46.32%
Draw1-1
MISSMedium62/100
27-02-26England - Premier LeagueWolves vs Aston Villa1X2
Away57.90%
Home2-0
MISSHigh84/100
27-02-26England - ChampionshipBristol City vs Watford1X2
Home45.81%
Away1-2
MISSMedium66/100
25-02-26England - ChampionshipStoke vs OxfordBTS
BTS No66.08%
BTS Yes2-1
MISSLow23/100
27-02-26Netherlands - Eredivisie

Telstar vs NAC Breda

BTS
PredictedBTS Yes54.07%
ActualBTS No3-0
ResultMISS
ConfidenceLow24/100
27-02-26Italy - Serie A

Parma vs Cagliari

O/U 2.5
PredictedUnder 2.560.45%
ActualUnder 2.51-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceLow32/100
27-02-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1

Trabzonspor vs Karagumruk

1X2
PredictedHome79.74%
ActualHome3-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh88/100
27-02-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1

Buyuksehyr vs Konyaspor

1X2
PredictedHome62.63%
ActualHome2-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh82/100
27-02-26Belgium - Jupiler League

Standard vs RAAL La Louviere

O/U 2.5
PredictedUnder 2.577.71%
ActualUnder 2.51-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceMedium60/100
27-02-26Germany - Bundesliga 1

Augsburg vs FC Koln

1X2
PredictedHome46.44%
ActualHome2-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceMedium63/100
27-02-26France - Ligue 1

Strasbourg vs Lens

1X2
PredictedAway46.32%
ActualDraw1-1
ResultMISS
ConfidenceMedium62/100
27-02-26England - Premier League

Wolves vs Aston Villa

1X2
PredictedAway57.90%
ActualHome2-0
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh84/100
27-02-26England - Championship

Bristol City vs Watford

1X2
PredictedHome45.81%
ActualAway1-2
ResultMISS
ConfidenceMedium66/100
25-02-26England - Championship

Stoke vs Oxford

BTS
PredictedBTS No66.08%
ActualBTS Yes2-1
ResultMISS
ConfidenceLow23/100
Showing 431-440 of 551 examples
10 rows per page

Interpretation Guidance

Match probabilities describe estimated likelihood ranges, not fixed outcomes. Treat forecasts as context and combine them with your own match analysis.