MatchProb Analytics

MatchProb

Football match probabilities, team-form indicators, and scoring trend context in one structured dashboard.

Structured around probability, scoring conditions, and prior recorded results.

Pre-match probabilities Form and scoring context Backtested validation

Statistical Match Probabilities

Structured Home/Draw/Away, goal, and scoring-likelihood outputs with transparent presentation.

Team Form & Scoring Trends

Recent performance context is displayed alongside league goal environment indicators.

Historical Validation

Stored backtest examples and summary metrics keep the live view grounded in recorded model performance.

Clear Data-Driven Insights

A practical pre-match analytics workflow built for clarity and fast interpretation.

MatchProb Predictor

Select a competition and team pairing to generate a structured pre-match probability view with scoring context and recent performance cues.

Active Team PoolUnavailableSelect a league first
Teams AvailableUnavailableSelect a league first
Coverage ThroughUnavailableSelect a league first
Data RefreshedUnavailableSelect a league first

Historical performance

Results

Historical results across Top Pick and the main match markets.

Top Pick highlights the model's clearest supported angle in each historical example.

Use these results as a guide to how the model has performed across prior recorded forecasts. Probability Accuracy shows how closely forecast probabilities matched outcomes. Lower is better.

Top Pick

Top Pick Hit Rate56.26%Strongest supported match angle
Top Pick Avg Probability63.06%Average selected pick probability
Top Pick Probability Accuracy0.2425Lower is better
Confidence Success58.62%High-confidence Top Picks

Core Markets

1X2 Hit Rate49.55%Match result hit rate
O/U 2.5 Hit Rate57.71%Over/under market hit rate
BTS Market Hit Rate56.81%Both-teams-to-score market hit rate
Over 2.5 Actual Rate51.36%Share of matches finishing over 2.5

Accuracy

1X2 Probability Accuracy0.6087Lower is better
Over 2.5 Probability Accuracy0.2426Lower is better
BTS Probability Accuracy0.2470Lower is better
BTS Actual Rate52.63%Share of matches with both teams scoring

Results Filters

Top Pick metrics for the current filtered historical examples.

Matches551Historical examples in scope
Top Pick Hit Rate56.26%Selected Top Pick rows
Top Pick Avg Probability63.06%Average selected pick probability
Confidence Success58.62%High-confidence Top Picks

Historical Examples

Recent Backtested Examples

Historical examples of the model's strongest selected angle for each match.

Showing 421-430 of 551 examples.

DateCompetitionMatchMarketPredictedActualResultConfidence
28-02-26England - ChampionshipOxford vs West BromO/U 2.5
Under 2.567.59%
Over 2.52-1
MISSLow35/100
28-02-26England - ChampionshipIpswich vs Swansea1X2
Home69.19%
Home3-0
HITHigh82/100
28-02-26England - ChampionshipCoventry vs Stoke1X2
Home58.40%
Home2-1
HITHigh79/100
28-02-26England - ChampionshipCharlton vs Wrexham1X2
Away46.04%
Away0-1
HITMedium65/100
28-02-26England - ChampionshipPortsmouth vs Hull1X2
Draw36.52%
Away0-1
MISSLow27/100
28-02-26England - ChampionshipLeicester vs NorwichBTS
BTS Yes59.38%
BTS No0-2
MISSLow32/100
28-02-26England - ChampionshipDerby vs BlackburnO/U 2.5
Under 2.571.16%
Over 2.53-1
MISSMedium47/100
27-02-26Spain - La Liga Primera DivisionLevante vs AlavesO/U 2.5
Under 2.558.99%
Under 2.52-0
HITMedium48/100
27-02-26Portugal - Liga ISp Lisbon vs Estoril1X2
Home91.79%
Home3-0
HITHigh91/100
27-02-26Portugal - Liga IPorto vs Arouca1X2
Home86.84%
Home3-1
HITHigh89/100
28-02-26England - Championship

Oxford vs West Brom

O/U 2.5
PredictedUnder 2.567.59%
ActualOver 2.52-1
ResultMISS
ConfidenceLow35/100
28-02-26England - Championship

Ipswich vs Swansea

1X2
PredictedHome69.19%
ActualHome3-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh82/100
28-02-26England - Championship

Coventry vs Stoke

1X2
PredictedHome58.40%
ActualHome2-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh79/100
28-02-26England - Championship

Charlton vs Wrexham

1X2
PredictedAway46.04%
ActualAway0-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceMedium65/100
28-02-26England - Championship

Portsmouth vs Hull

1X2
PredictedDraw36.52%
ActualAway0-1
ResultMISS
ConfidenceLow27/100
28-02-26England - Championship

Leicester vs Norwich

BTS
PredictedBTS Yes59.38%
ActualBTS No0-2
ResultMISS
ConfidenceLow32/100
28-02-26England - Championship

Derby vs Blackburn

O/U 2.5
PredictedUnder 2.571.16%
ActualOver 2.53-1
ResultMISS
ConfidenceMedium47/100
27-02-26Spain - La Liga Primera Division

Levante vs Alaves

O/U 2.5
PredictedUnder 2.558.99%
ActualUnder 2.52-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceMedium48/100
27-02-26Portugal - Liga I

Sp Lisbon vs Estoril

1X2
PredictedHome91.79%
ActualHome3-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh91/100
27-02-26Portugal - Liga I

Porto vs Arouca

1X2
PredictedHome86.84%
ActualHome3-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh89/100
Showing 421-430 of 551 examples
10 rows per page

Interpretation Guidance

Match probabilities describe estimated likelihood ranges, not fixed outcomes. Treat forecasts as context and combine them with your own match analysis.