MatchProb Analytics

MatchProb

Football match probabilities, team-form indicators, and scoring trend context in one structured dashboard.

Structured around probability, scoring conditions, and prior recorded results.

Pre-match probabilities Form and scoring context Backtested validation

Statistical Match Probabilities

Structured Home/Draw/Away, goal, and scoring-likelihood outputs with transparent presentation.

Team Form & Scoring Trends

Recent performance context is displayed alongside league goal environment indicators.

Historical Validation

Stored backtest examples and summary metrics keep the live view grounded in recorded model performance.

Clear Data-Driven Insights

A practical pre-match analytics workflow built for clarity and fast interpretation.

MatchProb Predictor

Select a competition and team pairing to generate a structured pre-match probability view with scoring context and recent performance cues.

Active Team PoolUnavailableSelect a league first
Teams AvailableUnavailableSelect a league first
Coverage ThroughUnavailableSelect a league first
Data RefreshedUnavailableSelect a league first

Historical performance

Results

Historical results across Top Pick and the main match markets.

Top Pick highlights the model's clearest supported angle in each historical example.

Use these results as a guide to how the model has performed across prior recorded forecasts. Probability Accuracy shows how closely forecast probabilities matched outcomes. Lower is better.

Top Pick

Top Pick Hit Rate56.26%Strongest supported match angle
Top Pick Avg Probability63.06%Average selected pick probability
Top Pick Probability Accuracy0.2425Lower is better
Confidence Success58.62%High-confidence Top Picks

Core Markets

1X2 Hit Rate49.55%Match result hit rate
O/U 2.5 Hit Rate57.71%Over/under market hit rate
BTS Market Hit Rate56.81%Both-teams-to-score market hit rate
Over 2.5 Actual Rate51.36%Share of matches finishing over 2.5

Accuracy

1X2 Probability Accuracy0.6087Lower is better
Over 2.5 Probability Accuracy0.2426Lower is better
BTS Probability Accuracy0.2470Lower is better
BTS Actual Rate52.63%Share of matches with both teams scoring

Results Filters

Top Pick metrics for the current filtered historical examples.

Matches551Historical examples in scope
Top Pick Hit Rate56.26%Selected Top Pick rows
Top Pick Avg Probability63.06%Average selected pick probability
Confidence Success58.62%High-confidence Top Picks

Historical Examples

Recent Backtested Examples

Historical examples of the model's strongest selected angle for each match.

Showing 411-420 of 551 examples.

DateCompetitionMatchMarketPredictedActualResultConfidence
28-02-26France - Ligue 1Monaco vs Angers1X2
Home73.44%
Home2-0
HITHigh83/100
28-02-26France - Ligue 1Rennes vs Toulouse1X2
Home51.46%
Home1-0
HITHigh75/100
28-02-26England - Premier LeagueLeeds vs Man City1X2
Away74.12%
Away0-1
HITHigh88/100
28-02-26England - Premier LeagueNewcastle vs Everton1X2
Home57.63%
Away2-3
MISSHigh77/100
28-02-26England - Premier LeagueLiverpool vs West Ham1X2
Home80.44%
Home5-2
HITHigh89/100
28-02-26England - Premier LeagueBurnley vs Brentford1X2
Away62.82%
Away3-4
HITHigh82/100
28-02-26England - Premier LeagueBournemouth vs SunderlandBTS
BTS No65.03%
BTS Yes1-1
MISSHigh74/100
28-02-26England - ChampionshipSheffield Weds vs Southampton1X2
Away73.79%
Away1-3
HITHigh91/100
28-02-26England - ChampionshipQPR vs Sheffield United1X2
Away49.30%
Away0-2
HITHigh74/100
28-02-26England - ChampionshipPreston vs Millwall1X2
Draw43.61%
Away0-2
MISSLow41/100
28-02-26France - Ligue 1

Monaco vs Angers

1X2
PredictedHome73.44%
ActualHome2-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh83/100
28-02-26France - Ligue 1

Rennes vs Toulouse

1X2
PredictedHome51.46%
ActualHome1-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh75/100
28-02-26England - Premier League

Leeds vs Man City

1X2
PredictedAway74.12%
ActualAway0-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh88/100
28-02-26England - Premier League

Newcastle vs Everton

1X2
PredictedHome57.63%
ActualAway2-3
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh77/100
28-02-26England - Premier League

Liverpool vs West Ham

1X2
PredictedHome80.44%
ActualHome5-2
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh89/100
28-02-26England - Premier League

Burnley vs Brentford

1X2
PredictedAway62.82%
ActualAway3-4
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh82/100
28-02-26England - Premier League

Bournemouth vs Sunderland

BTS
PredictedBTS No65.03%
ActualBTS Yes1-1
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh74/100
28-02-26England - Championship

Sheffield Weds vs Southampton

1X2
PredictedAway73.79%
ActualAway1-3
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh91/100
28-02-26England - Championship

QPR vs Sheffield United

1X2
PredictedAway49.30%
ActualAway0-2
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh74/100
28-02-26England - Championship

Preston vs Millwall

1X2
PredictedDraw43.61%
ActualAway0-2
ResultMISS
ConfidenceLow41/100
Showing 411-420 of 551 examples
10 rows per page

Interpretation Guidance

Match probabilities describe estimated likelihood ranges, not fixed outcomes. Treat forecasts as context and combine them with your own match analysis.