MatchProb Analytics

MatchProb

Football match probabilities, team-form indicators, and scoring trend context in one structured dashboard.

Structured around probability, scoring conditions, and prior recorded results.

Pre-match probabilities Form and scoring context Backtested validation

Statistical Match Probabilities

Structured Home/Draw/Away, goal, and scoring-likelihood outputs with transparent presentation.

Team Form & Scoring Trends

Recent performance context is displayed alongside league goal environment indicators.

Historical Validation

Stored backtest examples and summary metrics keep the live view grounded in recorded model performance.

Clear Data-Driven Insights

A practical pre-match analytics workflow built for clarity and fast interpretation.

MatchProb Predictor

Select a competition and team pairing to generate a structured pre-match probability view with scoring context and recent performance cues.

Active Team PoolUnavailableSelect a league first
Teams AvailableUnavailableSelect a league first
Coverage ThroughUnavailableSelect a league first
Data RefreshedUnavailableSelect a league first

Historical performance

Results

Historical results across Top Pick and the main match markets.

Top Pick highlights the model's clearest supported angle in each historical example.

Use these results as a guide to how the model has performed across prior recorded forecasts. Probability Accuracy shows how closely forecast probabilities matched outcomes. Lower is better.

Top Pick

Top Pick Hit Rate56.26%Strongest supported match angle
Top Pick Avg Probability63.06%Average selected pick probability
Top Pick Probability Accuracy0.2425Lower is better
Confidence Success58.62%High-confidence Top Picks

Core Markets

1X2 Hit Rate49.55%Match result hit rate
O/U 2.5 Hit Rate57.71%Over/under market hit rate
BTS Market Hit Rate56.81%Both-teams-to-score market hit rate
Over 2.5 Actual Rate51.36%Share of matches finishing over 2.5

Accuracy

1X2 Probability Accuracy0.6087Lower is better
Over 2.5 Probability Accuracy0.2426Lower is better
BTS Probability Accuracy0.2470Lower is better
BTS Actual Rate52.63%Share of matches with both teams scoring

Results Filters

Top Pick metrics for the current filtered historical examples.

Matches551Historical examples in scope
Top Pick Hit Rate56.26%Selected Top Pick rows
Top Pick Avg Probability63.06%Average selected pick probability
Confidence Success58.62%High-confidence Top Picks

Historical Examples

Recent Backtested Examples

Historical examples of the model's strongest selected angle for each match.

Showing 401-410 of 551 examples.

DateCompetitionMatchMarketPredictedActualResultConfidence
28-02-26Greece - Ethniki KatigoriaOFI Crete vs Larisa1X2
Home43.74%
Home3-0
HITMedium53/100
28-02-26Belgium - Jupiler LeagueAnderlecht vs Oud-Heverlee Leuven1X2
Home64.33%
Home5-1
HITHigh81/100
28-02-26Belgium - Jupiler LeagueAntwerp vs St TruidenBTS
BTS Yes58.41%
BTS No1-0
MISSLow38/100
28-02-26Belgium - Jupiler LeagueMechelen vs Waregem1X2
Home59.25%
Home2-1
HITHigh79/100
28-02-26Germany - Bundesliga 1Dortmund vs Bayern MunichO/U 2.5
Over 2.586.04%
Over 2.52-3
HITHigh77/100
28-02-26Germany - Bundesliga 1Werder Bremen vs Heidenheim1X2
Draw42.29%
Home2-0
MISSMedium51/100
28-02-26Germany - Bundesliga 1M'gladbach vs Union BerlinO/U 2.5
Under 2.557.77%
Under 2.51-0
HITLow14/100
28-02-26Germany - Bundesliga 1Leverkusen vs Mainz1X2
Home73.94%
Draw1-1
MISSHigh88/100
28-02-26Germany - Bundesliga 1Hoffenheim vs St Pauli1X2
Home58.48%
Away0-1
MISSHigh85/100
28-02-26France - Ligue 1Le Havre vs Paris SG1X2
Away89.55%
Away0-1
HITHigh90/100
28-02-26Greece - Ethniki Katigoria

OFI Crete vs Larisa

1X2
PredictedHome43.74%
ActualHome3-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceMedium53/100
28-02-26Belgium - Jupiler League

Anderlecht vs Oud-Heverlee Leuven

1X2
PredictedHome64.33%
ActualHome5-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh81/100
28-02-26Belgium - Jupiler League

Antwerp vs St Truiden

BTS
PredictedBTS Yes58.41%
ActualBTS No1-0
ResultMISS
ConfidenceLow38/100
28-02-26Belgium - Jupiler League

Mechelen vs Waregem

1X2
PredictedHome59.25%
ActualHome2-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh79/100
28-02-26Germany - Bundesliga 1

Dortmund vs Bayern Munich

O/U 2.5
PredictedOver 2.586.04%
ActualOver 2.52-3
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh77/100
28-02-26Germany - Bundesliga 1

Werder Bremen vs Heidenheim

1X2
PredictedDraw42.29%
ActualHome2-0
ResultMISS
ConfidenceMedium51/100
28-02-26Germany - Bundesliga 1

M'gladbach vs Union Berlin

O/U 2.5
PredictedUnder 2.557.77%
ActualUnder 2.51-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceLow14/100
28-02-26Germany - Bundesliga 1

Leverkusen vs Mainz

1X2
PredictedHome73.94%
ActualDraw1-1
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh88/100
28-02-26Germany - Bundesliga 1

Hoffenheim vs St Pauli

1X2
PredictedHome58.48%
ActualAway0-1
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh85/100
28-02-26France - Ligue 1

Le Havre vs Paris SG

1X2
PredictedAway89.55%
ActualAway0-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh90/100
Showing 401-410 of 551 examples
10 rows per page

Interpretation Guidance

Match probabilities describe estimated likelihood ranges, not fixed outcomes. Treat forecasts as context and combine them with your own match analysis.