MatchProb Analytics

MatchProb

Football match probabilities, team-form indicators, and scoring trend context in one structured dashboard.

Structured around probability, scoring conditions, and prior recorded results.

Pre-match probabilities Form and scoring context Backtested validation

Statistical Match Probabilities

Structured Home/Draw/Away, goal, and scoring-likelihood outputs with transparent presentation.

Team Form & Scoring Trends

Recent performance context is displayed alongside league goal environment indicators.

Historical Validation

Stored backtest examples and summary metrics keep the live view grounded in recorded model performance.

Clear Data-Driven Insights

A practical pre-match analytics workflow built for clarity and fast interpretation.

MatchProb Predictor

Select a competition and team pairing to generate a structured pre-match probability view with scoring context and recent performance cues.

Active Team PoolUnavailableSelect a league first
Teams AvailableUnavailableSelect a league first
Coverage ThroughUnavailableSelect a league first
Data RefreshedUnavailableSelect a league first

Historical performance

Results

Historical results across Top Pick and the main match markets.

Top Pick highlights the model's clearest supported angle in each historical example.

Use these results as a guide to how the model has performed across prior recorded forecasts. Probability Accuracy shows how closely forecast probabilities matched outcomes. Lower is better.

Top Pick

Top Pick Hit Rate56.26%Strongest supported match angle
Top Pick Avg Probability63.06%Average selected pick probability
Top Pick Probability Accuracy0.2425Lower is better
Confidence Success58.62%High-confidence Top Picks

Core Markets

1X2 Hit Rate49.55%Match result hit rate
O/U 2.5 Hit Rate57.71%Over/under market hit rate
BTS Market Hit Rate56.81%Both-teams-to-score market hit rate
Over 2.5 Actual Rate51.36%Share of matches finishing over 2.5

Accuracy

1X2 Probability Accuracy0.6087Lower is better
Over 2.5 Probability Accuracy0.2426Lower is better
BTS Probability Accuracy0.2470Lower is better
BTS Actual Rate52.63%Share of matches with both teams scoring

Results Filters

Top Pick metrics for the current filtered historical examples.

Matches551Historical examples in scope
Top Pick Hit Rate56.26%Selected Top Pick rows
Top Pick Avg Probability63.06%Average selected pick probability
Confidence Success58.62%High-confidence Top Picks

Historical Examples

Recent Backtested Examples

Historical examples of the model's strongest selected angle for each match.

Showing 391-400 of 551 examples.

DateCompetitionMatchMarketPredictedActualResultConfidence
28-02-26Scotland - Premier LeagueDundee vs HibernianBTS
BTS Yes60.89%
BTS Yes3-3
HITHigh75/100
28-02-26Italy - Serie AInter vs Genoa1X2
Home87.92%
Home2-0
HITHigh92/100
28-02-26Italy - Serie AVerona vs Napoli1X2
Away75.91%
Away1-2
HITHigh89/100
28-02-26Italy - Serie AComo vs Lecce1X2
Home63.47%
Home3-1
HITHigh86/100
28-02-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1Goztep vs Eyupspor1X2
Home58.74%
Draw0-0
MISSHigh80/100
28-02-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1Galatasaray vs Alanyaspor1X2
Home86.03%
Home3-1
HITHigh90/100
28-02-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1Kocaelispor vs Beşiktaş1X2
Away44.88%
Away0-1
HITMedium52/100
28-02-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1Kasimpasa vs RizesporBTS
BTS Yes62.89%
BTS No0-3
MISSLow23/100
28-02-26Greece - Ethniki KatigoriaKifisia vs LevadeiakosBTS
BTS Yes58.26%
BTS No1-0
MISSHigh81/100
28-02-26Greece - Ethniki KatigoriaAtromitos vs PanetolikosO/U 2.5
Under 2.572.98%
Under 2.51-0
HITMedium51/100
28-02-26Scotland - Premier League

Dundee vs Hibernian

BTS
PredictedBTS Yes60.89%
ActualBTS Yes3-3
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh75/100
28-02-26Italy - Serie A

Inter vs Genoa

1X2
PredictedHome87.92%
ActualHome2-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh92/100
28-02-26Italy - Serie A

Verona vs Napoli

1X2
PredictedAway75.91%
ActualAway1-2
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh89/100
28-02-26Italy - Serie A

Como vs Lecce

1X2
PredictedHome63.47%
ActualHome3-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh86/100
28-02-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1

Goztep vs Eyupspor

1X2
PredictedHome58.74%
ActualDraw0-0
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh80/100
28-02-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1

Galatasaray vs Alanyaspor

1X2
PredictedHome86.03%
ActualHome3-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh90/100
28-02-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1

Kocaelispor vs Beşiktaş

1X2
PredictedAway44.88%
ActualAway0-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceMedium52/100
28-02-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1

Kasimpasa vs Rizespor

BTS
PredictedBTS Yes62.89%
ActualBTS No0-3
ResultMISS
ConfidenceLow23/100
28-02-26Greece - Ethniki Katigoria

Kifisia vs Levadeiakos

BTS
PredictedBTS Yes58.26%
ActualBTS No1-0
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh81/100
28-02-26Greece - Ethniki Katigoria

Atromitos vs Panetolikos

O/U 2.5
PredictedUnder 2.572.98%
ActualUnder 2.51-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceMedium51/100
Showing 391-400 of 551 examples
10 rows per page

Interpretation Guidance

Match probabilities describe estimated likelihood ranges, not fixed outcomes. Treat forecasts as context and combine them with your own match analysis.