MatchProb Analytics

MatchProb

Football match probabilities, team-form indicators, and scoring trend context in one structured dashboard.

Structured around probability, scoring conditions, and prior recorded results.

Pre-match probabilities Form and scoring context Backtested validation

Statistical Match Probabilities

Structured Home/Draw/Away, goal, and scoring-likelihood outputs with transparent presentation.

Team Form & Scoring Trends

Recent performance context is displayed alongside league goal environment indicators.

Historical Validation

Stored backtest examples and summary metrics keep the live view grounded in recorded model performance.

Clear Data-Driven Insights

A practical pre-match analytics workflow built for clarity and fast interpretation.

MatchProb Predictor

Select a competition and team pairing to generate a structured pre-match probability view with scoring context and recent performance cues.

Active Team PoolUnavailableSelect a league first
Teams AvailableUnavailableSelect a league first
Coverage ThroughUnavailableSelect a league first
Data RefreshedUnavailableSelect a league first

Historical performance

Results

Historical results across Top Pick and the main match markets.

Top Pick highlights the model's clearest supported angle in each historical example.

Use these results as a guide to how the model has performed across prior recorded forecasts. Probability Accuracy shows how closely forecast probabilities matched outcomes. Lower is better.

Top Pick

Top Pick Hit Rate53.47%Strongest supported match angle
Top Pick Avg Probability62.54%Average selected pick probability
Top Pick Probability Accuracy0.2465Lower is better
Confidence Success56.22%High-confidence Top Picks

Core Markets

1X2 Hit Rate48.94%Match result hit rate
O/U 2.5 Hit Rate54.98%Over/under market hit rate
BTS Market Hit Rate54.68%Both-teams-to-score market hit rate
Over 2.5 Actual Rate49.55%Share of matches finishing over 2.5

Accuracy

1X2 Probability Accuracy0.6124Lower is better
Over 2.5 Probability Accuracy0.2535Lower is better
BTS Probability Accuracy0.2513Lower is better
BTS Actual Rate51.66%Share of matches with both teams scoring

Results Filters

Top Pick metrics for the current filtered historical examples.

Matches331Historical examples in scope
Top Pick Hit Rate53.47%Selected Top Pick rows
Top Pick Avg Probability62.54%Average selected pick probability
Confidence Success56.22%High-confidence Top Picks

Historical Examples

Recent Backtested Examples

Historical examples of the model's strongest selected angle for each match.

Showing 11-20 of 331 examples.

DateCompetitionMatchMarketPredictedActualResultConfidence
06-04-26Belgium - Jupiler LeagueClub Brugge vs Anderlecht1X2
Home69.39%
Home4-2
HITHigh88/100
06-04-26England - ChampionshipHull vs Coventry1X2
Away57.47%
Draw0-0
MISSHigh76/100
06-04-26England - ChampionshipSwansea vs MiddlesbroughBTS
BTS Yes60.38%
BTS Yes2-2
HITHigh75/100
06-04-26England - ChampionshipWatford vs CharltonBTS
BTS No59.70%
BTS Yes1-1
MISSMedium56/100
06-04-26England - ChampionshipSheffield Weds vs Leicester1X2
Away67.98%
Draw1-1
MISSHigh84/100
06-04-26England - ChampionshipPreston vs QPR1X2
Draw43.29%
Draw1-1
HITMedium54/100
06-04-26England - ChampionshipIpswich vs Birmingham1X2
Home79.80%
Home2-1
HITHigh88/100
06-04-26England - ChampionshipDerby vs StokeBTS
BTS No61.56%
BTS No2-0
HITMedium67/100
06-04-26England - ChampionshipBristol City vs Sheffield United1X2
Draw43.38%
Home1-0
MISSMedium47/100
06-04-26England - ChampionshipBlackburn vs West Brom1X2
Draw43.69%
Draw0-0
HITMedium51/100
06-04-26Belgium - Jupiler League

Club Brugge vs Anderlecht

1X2
PredictedHome69.39%
ActualHome4-2
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh88/100
06-04-26England - Championship

Hull vs Coventry

1X2
PredictedAway57.47%
ActualDraw0-0
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh76/100
06-04-26England - Championship

Swansea vs Middlesbrough

BTS
PredictedBTS Yes60.38%
ActualBTS Yes2-2
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh75/100
06-04-26England - Championship

Watford vs Charlton

BTS
PredictedBTS No59.70%
ActualBTS Yes1-1
ResultMISS
ConfidenceMedium56/100
06-04-26England - Championship

Sheffield Weds vs Leicester

1X2
PredictedAway67.98%
ActualDraw1-1
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh84/100
06-04-26England - Championship

Preston vs QPR

1X2
PredictedDraw43.29%
ActualDraw1-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceMedium54/100
06-04-26England - Championship

Ipswich vs Birmingham

1X2
PredictedHome79.80%
ActualHome2-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh88/100
06-04-26England - Championship

Derby vs Stoke

BTS
PredictedBTS No61.56%
ActualBTS No2-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceMedium67/100
06-04-26England - Championship

Bristol City vs Sheffield United

1X2
PredictedDraw43.38%
ActualHome1-0
ResultMISS
ConfidenceMedium47/100
06-04-26England - Championship

Blackburn vs West Brom

1X2
PredictedDraw43.69%
ActualDraw0-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceMedium51/100
Showing 11-20 of 331 examples
10 rows per page

Interpretation Guidance

Match probabilities describe estimated likelihood ranges, not fixed outcomes. Treat forecasts as context and combine them with your own match analysis.