MatchProb Analytics

MatchProb

Football match probabilities, team-form indicators, and scoring trend context in one structured dashboard.

Structured around probability, scoring conditions, and prior recorded results.

Pre-match probabilities Form and scoring context Backtested validation

Statistical Match Probabilities

Structured Home/Draw/Away, goal, and scoring-likelihood outputs with transparent presentation.

Team Form & Scoring Trends

Recent performance context is displayed alongside league goal environment indicators.

Historical Validation

Stored backtest examples and summary metrics keep the live view grounded in recorded model performance.

Clear Data-Driven Insights

A practical pre-match analytics workflow built for clarity and fast interpretation.

MatchProb Predictor

Select a competition and team pairing to generate a structured pre-match probability view with scoring context and recent performance cues.

Active Team PoolUnavailableSelect a league first
Teams AvailableUnavailableSelect a league first
Coverage ThroughUnavailableSelect a league first
Data RefreshedUnavailableSelect a league first

Historical performance

Results

Historical results across Top Pick and the main match markets.

Top Pick highlights the model's clearest supported angle in each historical example.

Use these results as a guide to how the model has performed across prior recorded forecasts. Probability Accuracy shows how closely forecast probabilities matched outcomes. Lower is better.

Top Pick

Top Pick Hit Rate53.47%Strongest supported match angle
Top Pick Avg Probability62.54%Average selected pick probability
Top Pick Probability Accuracy0.2465Lower is better
Confidence Success56.22%High-confidence Top Picks

Core Markets

1X2 Hit Rate48.94%Match result hit rate
O/U 2.5 Hit Rate54.98%Over/under market hit rate
BTS Market Hit Rate54.68%Both-teams-to-score market hit rate
Over 2.5 Actual Rate49.55%Share of matches finishing over 2.5

Accuracy

1X2 Probability Accuracy0.6124Lower is better
Over 2.5 Probability Accuracy0.2535Lower is better
BTS Probability Accuracy0.2513Lower is better
BTS Actual Rate51.66%Share of matches with both teams scoring

Results Filters

Top Pick metrics for the current filtered historical examples.

Matches331Historical examples in scope
Top Pick Hit Rate53.47%Selected Top Pick rows
Top Pick Avg Probability62.54%Average selected pick probability
Confidence Success56.22%High-confidence Top Picks

Historical Examples

Recent Backtested Examples

Historical examples of the model's strongest selected angle for each match.

Showing 261-270 of 331 examples.

DateCompetitionMatchMarketPredictedActualResultConfidence
15-03-26Greece - Ethniki KatigoriaPAOK vs Levadeiakos1X2
Home76.12%
Home3-0
HITHigh85/100
15-03-26Greece - Ethniki KatigoriaKifisia vs Volos NFCBTS
BTS Yes51.94%
BTS No2-0
MISSLow20/100
15-03-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1Samsunspor vs Kayserispor1X2
Home52.52%
Home2-1
HITHigh75/100
15-03-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1Genclerbirligi vs Beşiktaş1X2
Away56.76%
Away0-2
HITHigh79/100
15-03-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1Kasimpasa vs EyupsporO/U 2.5
Under 2.560.60%
Under 2.51-0
HITLow15/100
14-03-26Germany - Bundesliga 1Hamburg vs FC Koln1X2
Home52.66%
Draw1-1
MISSHigh76/100
14-03-26Germany - Bundesliga 1Leverkusen vs Bayern MunichO/U 2.5
Over 2.579.95%
Under 2.51-1
MISSHigh84/100
14-03-26Germany - Bundesliga 1Hoffenheim vs Wolfsburg1X2
Home59.89%
Draw1-1
MISSHigh88/100
14-03-26Germany - Bundesliga 1Ein Frankfurt vs Heidenheim1X2
Home68.14%
Home1-0
HITHigh85/100
14-03-26Germany - Bundesliga 1Dortmund vs Augsburg1X2
Home83.39%
Home2-0
HITHigh88/100
15-03-26Greece - Ethniki Katigoria

PAOK vs Levadeiakos

1X2
PredictedHome76.12%
ActualHome3-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh85/100
15-03-26Greece - Ethniki Katigoria

Kifisia vs Volos NFC

BTS
PredictedBTS Yes51.94%
ActualBTS No2-0
ResultMISS
ConfidenceLow20/100
15-03-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1

Samsunspor vs Kayserispor

1X2
PredictedHome52.52%
ActualHome2-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh75/100
15-03-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1

Genclerbirligi vs Beşiktaş

1X2
PredictedAway56.76%
ActualAway0-2
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh79/100
15-03-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1

Kasimpasa vs Eyupspor

O/U 2.5
PredictedUnder 2.560.60%
ActualUnder 2.51-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceLow15/100
14-03-26Germany - Bundesliga 1

Hamburg vs FC Koln

1X2
PredictedHome52.66%
ActualDraw1-1
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh76/100
14-03-26Germany - Bundesliga 1

Leverkusen vs Bayern Munich

O/U 2.5
PredictedOver 2.579.95%
ActualUnder 2.51-1
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh84/100
14-03-26Germany - Bundesliga 1

Hoffenheim vs Wolfsburg

1X2
PredictedHome59.89%
ActualDraw1-1
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh88/100
14-03-26Germany - Bundesliga 1

Ein Frankfurt vs Heidenheim

1X2
PredictedHome68.14%
ActualHome1-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh85/100
14-03-26Germany - Bundesliga 1

Dortmund vs Augsburg

1X2
PredictedHome83.39%
ActualHome2-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh88/100
Showing 261-270 of 331 examples
10 rows per page

Interpretation Guidance

Match probabilities describe estimated likelihood ranges, not fixed outcomes. Treat forecasts as context and combine them with your own match analysis.