MatchProb Analytics

MatchProb

Football match probabilities, team-form indicators, and scoring trend context in one structured dashboard.

Structured around probability, scoring conditions, and prior recorded results.

Pre-match probabilities Form and scoring context Backtested validation

Statistical Match Probabilities

Structured Home/Draw/Away, goal, and scoring-likelihood outputs with transparent presentation.

Team Form & Scoring Trends

Recent performance context is displayed alongside league goal environment indicators.

Historical Validation

Stored backtest examples and summary metrics keep the live view grounded in recorded model performance.

Clear Data-Driven Insights

A practical pre-match analytics workflow built for clarity and fast interpretation.

MatchProb Predictor

Select a competition and team pairing to generate a structured pre-match probability view with scoring context and recent performance cues.

Active Team PoolUnavailableSelect a league first
Teams AvailableUnavailableSelect a league first
Coverage ThroughUnavailableSelect a league first
Data RefreshedUnavailableSelect a league first

Historical performance

Results

Historical results across Top Pick and the main match markets.

Top Pick highlights the model's clearest supported angle in each historical example.

Use these results as a guide to how the model has performed across prior recorded forecasts. Probability Accuracy shows how closely forecast probabilities matched outcomes. Lower is better.

Top Pick

Top Pick Hit Rate53.47%Strongest supported match angle
Top Pick Avg Probability62.54%Average selected pick probability
Top Pick Probability Accuracy0.2465Lower is better
Confidence Success56.22%High-confidence Top Picks

Core Markets

1X2 Hit Rate48.94%Match result hit rate
O/U 2.5 Hit Rate54.98%Over/under market hit rate
BTS Market Hit Rate54.68%Both-teams-to-score market hit rate
Over 2.5 Actual Rate49.55%Share of matches finishing over 2.5

Accuracy

1X2 Probability Accuracy0.6124Lower is better
Over 2.5 Probability Accuracy0.2535Lower is better
BTS Probability Accuracy0.2513Lower is better
BTS Actual Rate51.66%Share of matches with both teams scoring

Results Filters

Top Pick metrics for the current filtered historical examples.

Matches331Historical examples in scope
Top Pick Hit Rate53.47%Selected Top Pick rows
Top Pick Avg Probability62.54%Average selected pick probability
Confidence Success56.22%High-confidence Top Picks

Historical Examples

Recent Backtested Examples

Historical examples of the model's strongest selected angle for each match.

Showing 241-250 of 331 examples.

DateCompetitionMatchMarketPredictedActualResultConfidence
15-03-26France - Ligue 1Strasbourg vs Paris FC1X2
Home54.45%
Draw0-0
MISSHigh78/100
15-03-26Netherlands - EredivisieGo Ahead Eagles vs NAC Breda1X2
Home62.36%
Home6-0
HITHigh79/100
15-03-26Netherlands - EredivisieFeyenoord vs Excelsior1X2
Home92.76%
Home2-1
HITHigh91/100
15-03-26Netherlands - EredivisieAZ Alkmaar vs Heracles1X2
Home82.95%
Home4-0
HITHigh88/100
15-03-26Netherlands - EredivisieTwente vs Utrecht1X2
Home58.68%
Away0-2
MISSHigh76/100
15-03-26England - Premier LeagueLiverpool vs Tottenham1X2
Home75.81%
Draw1-1
MISSHigh88/100
15-03-26England - Premier LeagueNott'm Forest vs Fulham1X2
Draw44.11%
Draw0-0
HITMedium56/100
15-03-26England - Premier LeagueMan United vs Aston Villa1X2
Home51.99%
Home3-1
HITHigh72/100
15-03-26England - Premier LeagueCrystal Palace vs Leeds1X2
Home54.18%
Draw0-0
MISSHigh76/100
15-03-26Spain - La Liga Primera DivisionSociedad vs OsasunaBTS
BTS No60.86%
BTS Yes3-1
MISSMedium63/100
15-03-26France - Ligue 1

Strasbourg vs Paris FC

1X2
PredictedHome54.45%
ActualDraw0-0
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh78/100
15-03-26Netherlands - Eredivisie

Go Ahead Eagles vs NAC Breda

1X2
PredictedHome62.36%
ActualHome6-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh79/100
15-03-26Netherlands - Eredivisie

Feyenoord vs Excelsior

1X2
PredictedHome92.76%
ActualHome2-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh91/100
15-03-26Netherlands - Eredivisie

AZ Alkmaar vs Heracles

1X2
PredictedHome82.95%
ActualHome4-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh88/100
15-03-26Netherlands - Eredivisie

Twente vs Utrecht

1X2
PredictedHome58.68%
ActualAway0-2
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh76/100
15-03-26England - Premier League

Liverpool vs Tottenham

1X2
PredictedHome75.81%
ActualDraw1-1
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh88/100
15-03-26England - Premier League

Nott'm Forest vs Fulham

1X2
PredictedDraw44.11%
ActualDraw0-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceMedium56/100
15-03-26England - Premier League

Man United vs Aston Villa

1X2
PredictedHome51.99%
ActualHome3-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh72/100
15-03-26England - Premier League

Crystal Palace vs Leeds

1X2
PredictedHome54.18%
ActualDraw0-0
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh76/100
15-03-26Spain - La Liga Primera Division

Sociedad vs Osasuna

BTS
PredictedBTS No60.86%
ActualBTS Yes3-1
ResultMISS
ConfidenceMedium63/100
Showing 241-250 of 331 examples
10 rows per page

Interpretation Guidance

Match probabilities describe estimated likelihood ranges, not fixed outcomes. Treat forecasts as context and combine them with your own match analysis.