MatchProb Analytics

MatchProb

Football match probabilities, team-form indicators, and scoring trend context in one structured dashboard.

Structured around probability, scoring conditions, and prior recorded results.

Pre-match probabilities Form and scoring context Backtested validation

Statistical Match Probabilities

Structured Home/Draw/Away, goal, and scoring-likelihood outputs with transparent presentation.

Team Form & Scoring Trends

Recent performance context is displayed alongside league goal environment indicators.

Historical Validation

Stored backtest examples and summary metrics keep the live view grounded in recorded model performance.

Clear Data-Driven Insights

A practical pre-match analytics workflow built for clarity and fast interpretation.

MatchProb Predictor

Select a competition and team pairing to generate a structured pre-match probability view with scoring context and recent performance cues.

Active Team PoolUnavailableSelect a league first
Teams AvailableUnavailableSelect a league first
Coverage ThroughUnavailableSelect a league first
Data RefreshedUnavailableSelect a league first

Historical performance

Results

Historical results across Top Pick and the main match markets.

Top Pick highlights the model's clearest supported angle in each historical example.

Use these results as a guide to how the model has performed across prior recorded forecasts. Probability Accuracy shows how closely forecast probabilities matched outcomes. Lower is better.

Top Pick

Top Pick Hit Rate53.47%Strongest supported match angle
Top Pick Avg Probability62.54%Average selected pick probability
Top Pick Probability Accuracy0.2465Lower is better
Confidence Success56.22%High-confidence Top Picks

Core Markets

1X2 Hit Rate48.94%Match result hit rate
O/U 2.5 Hit Rate54.98%Over/under market hit rate
BTS Market Hit Rate54.68%Both-teams-to-score market hit rate
Over 2.5 Actual Rate49.55%Share of matches finishing over 2.5

Accuracy

1X2 Probability Accuracy0.6124Lower is better
Over 2.5 Probability Accuracy0.2535Lower is better
BTS Probability Accuracy0.2513Lower is better
BTS Actual Rate51.66%Share of matches with both teams scoring

Results Filters

Top Pick metrics for the current filtered historical examples.

Matches331Historical examples in scope
Top Pick Hit Rate53.47%Selected Top Pick rows
Top Pick Avg Probability62.54%Average selected pick probability
Confidence Success56.22%High-confidence Top Picks

Historical Examples

Recent Backtested Examples

Historical examples of the model's strongest selected angle for each match.

Showing 281-290 of 331 examples.

DateCompetitionMatchMarketPredictedActualResultConfidence
14-03-26France - Ligue 1Monaco vs Brest1X2
Home66.70%
Home2-0
HITHigh83/100
14-03-26France - Ligue 1Angers vs Nice1X2
Away43.52%
Away0-2
HITMedium52/100
14-03-26France - Ligue 1Lorient vs Lens1X2
Away61.18%
Home2-1
MISSHigh83/100
14-03-26Netherlands - EredivisieAjax vs Sparta Rotterdam1X2
Home66.84%
Home4-0
HITHigh83/100
14-03-26Netherlands - EredivisieHeerenveen vs TelstarBTS
BTS Yes58.18%
BTS No3-0
MISSLow43/100
14-03-26Netherlands - EredivisiePSV Eindhoven vs Nijmegen1X2
Home79.51%
Away2-3
MISSHigh89/100
14-03-26Netherlands - EredivisieVolendam vs For SittardBTS
BTS Yes59.73%
BTS Yes1-2
HITLow41/100
14-03-26England - ChampionshipWest Brom vs Hull1X2
Draw43.31%
Home3-0
MISSMedium51/100
14-03-26England - ChampionshipStoke vs Watford1X2
Draw43.74%
Home3-1
MISSMedium55/100
14-03-26England - ChampionshipSheffield Weds vs Ipswich1X2
Away79.54%
Away0-2
HITHigh91/100
14-03-26France - Ligue 1

Monaco vs Brest

1X2
PredictedHome66.70%
ActualHome2-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh83/100
14-03-26France - Ligue 1

Angers vs Nice

1X2
PredictedAway43.52%
ActualAway0-2
ResultHIT
ConfidenceMedium52/100
14-03-26France - Ligue 1

Lorient vs Lens

1X2
PredictedAway61.18%
ActualHome2-1
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh83/100
14-03-26Netherlands - Eredivisie

Ajax vs Sparta Rotterdam

1X2
PredictedHome66.84%
ActualHome4-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh83/100
14-03-26Netherlands - Eredivisie

Heerenveen vs Telstar

BTS
PredictedBTS Yes58.18%
ActualBTS No3-0
ResultMISS
ConfidenceLow43/100
14-03-26Netherlands - Eredivisie

PSV Eindhoven vs Nijmegen

1X2
PredictedHome79.51%
ActualAway2-3
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh89/100
14-03-26Netherlands - Eredivisie

Volendam vs For Sittard

BTS
PredictedBTS Yes59.73%
ActualBTS Yes1-2
ResultHIT
ConfidenceLow41/100
14-03-26England - Championship

West Brom vs Hull

1X2
PredictedDraw43.31%
ActualHome3-0
ResultMISS
ConfidenceMedium51/100
14-03-26England - Championship

Stoke vs Watford

1X2
PredictedDraw43.74%
ActualHome3-1
ResultMISS
ConfidenceMedium55/100
14-03-26England - Championship

Sheffield Weds vs Ipswich

1X2
PredictedAway79.54%
ActualAway0-2
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh91/100
Showing 281-290 of 331 examples
10 rows per page

Interpretation Guidance

Match probabilities describe estimated likelihood ranges, not fixed outcomes. Treat forecasts as context and combine them with your own match analysis.