MatchProb Analytics

MatchProb

Football match probabilities, team-form indicators, and scoring trend context in one structured dashboard.

Structured around probability, scoring conditions, and prior recorded results.

Pre-match probabilities Form and scoring context Backtested validation

Statistical Match Probabilities

Structured Home/Draw/Away, goal, and scoring-likelihood outputs with transparent presentation.

Team Form & Scoring Trends

Recent performance context is displayed alongside league goal environment indicators.

Historical Validation

Stored backtest examples and summary metrics keep the live view grounded in recorded model performance.

Clear Data-Driven Insights

A practical pre-match analytics workflow built for clarity and fast interpretation.

MatchProb Predictor

Select a competition and team pairing to generate a structured pre-match probability view with scoring context and recent performance cues.

Active Team PoolUnavailableSelect a league first
Teams AvailableUnavailableSelect a league first
Coverage ThroughUnavailableSelect a league first
Data RefreshedUnavailableSelect a league first

Historical performance

Results

Historical results across Top Pick and the main match markets.

Top Pick highlights the model's clearest supported angle in each historical example.

Use these results as a guide to how the model has performed across prior recorded forecasts. Probability Accuracy shows how closely forecast probabilities matched outcomes. Lower is better.

Top Pick

Top Pick Hit Rate53.47%Strongest supported match angle
Top Pick Avg Probability62.54%Average selected pick probability
Top Pick Probability Accuracy0.2465Lower is better
Confidence Success56.22%High-confidence Top Picks

Core Markets

1X2 Hit Rate48.94%Match result hit rate
O/U 2.5 Hit Rate54.98%Over/under market hit rate
BTS Market Hit Rate54.68%Both-teams-to-score market hit rate
Over 2.5 Actual Rate49.55%Share of matches finishing over 2.5

Accuracy

1X2 Probability Accuracy0.6124Lower is better
Over 2.5 Probability Accuracy0.2535Lower is better
BTS Probability Accuracy0.2513Lower is better
BTS Actual Rate51.66%Share of matches with both teams scoring

Results Filters

Top Pick metrics for the current filtered historical examples.

Matches331Historical examples in scope
Top Pick Hit Rate53.47%Selected Top Pick rows
Top Pick Avg Probability62.54%Average selected pick probability
Confidence Success56.22%High-confidence Top Picks

Historical Examples

Recent Backtested Examples

Historical examples of the model's strongest selected angle for each match.

Showing 251-260 of 331 examples.

DateCompetitionMatchMarketPredictedActualResultConfidence
15-03-26Spain - La Liga Primera DivisionBetis vs Celta1X2
Home48.28%
Draw1-1
MISSHigh76/100
15-03-26Spain - La Liga Primera DivisionBarcelona vs Sevilla1X2
Home87.87%
Home5-2
HITHigh91/100
15-03-26Spain - La Liga Primera DivisionMallorca vs EspanolO/U 2.5
Under 2.566.41%
Over 2.52-1
MISSLow22/100
15-03-26Italy - Serie ALazio vs MilanBTS
BTS Yes58.36%
BTS No1-0
MISSHigh73/100
15-03-26Italy - Serie AComo vs Roma1X2
Home45.33%
Home2-1
HITMedium66/100
15-03-26Italy - Serie ASassuolo vs Bologna1X2
Away49.03%
Away0-1
HITHigh72/100
15-03-26Italy - Serie APisa vs CagliariO/U 2.5
Under 2.580.92%
Over 2.53-1
MISSMedium64/100
15-03-26Italy - Serie AVerona vs Genoa1X2
Away46.02%
Away0-2
HITMedium64/100
15-03-26Greece - Ethniki KatigoriaPanathinaikos vs Panetolikos1X2
Home75.58%
Draw0-0
MISSHigh89/100
15-03-26Greece - Ethniki KatigoriaAtromitos vs AEK1X2
Away69.79%
Draw2-2
MISSHigh87/100
15-03-26Spain - La Liga Primera Division

Betis vs Celta

1X2
PredictedHome48.28%
ActualDraw1-1
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh76/100
15-03-26Spain - La Liga Primera Division

Barcelona vs Sevilla

1X2
PredictedHome87.87%
ActualHome5-2
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh91/100
15-03-26Spain - La Liga Primera Division

Mallorca vs Espanol

O/U 2.5
PredictedUnder 2.566.41%
ActualOver 2.52-1
ResultMISS
ConfidenceLow22/100
15-03-26Italy - Serie A

Lazio vs Milan

BTS
PredictedBTS Yes58.36%
ActualBTS No1-0
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh73/100
15-03-26Italy - Serie A

Como vs Roma

1X2
PredictedHome45.33%
ActualHome2-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceMedium66/100
15-03-26Italy - Serie A

Sassuolo vs Bologna

1X2
PredictedAway49.03%
ActualAway0-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh72/100
15-03-26Italy - Serie A

Pisa vs Cagliari

O/U 2.5
PredictedUnder 2.580.92%
ActualOver 2.53-1
ResultMISS
ConfidenceMedium64/100
15-03-26Italy - Serie A

Verona vs Genoa

1X2
PredictedAway46.02%
ActualAway0-2
ResultHIT
ConfidenceMedium64/100
15-03-26Greece - Ethniki Katigoria

Panathinaikos vs Panetolikos

1X2
PredictedHome75.58%
ActualDraw0-0
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh89/100
15-03-26Greece - Ethniki Katigoria

Atromitos vs AEK

1X2
PredictedAway69.79%
ActualDraw2-2
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh87/100
Showing 251-260 of 331 examples
10 rows per page

Interpretation Guidance

Match probabilities describe estimated likelihood ranges, not fixed outcomes. Treat forecasts as context and combine them with your own match analysis.