MatchProb Analytics

MatchProb

Football match probabilities, team-form indicators, and scoring trend context in one structured dashboard.

Structured around probability, scoring conditions, and prior recorded results.

Pre-match probabilities Form and scoring context Backtested validation

Statistical Match Probabilities

Structured Home/Draw/Away, goal, and scoring-likelihood outputs with transparent presentation.

Team Form & Scoring Trends

Recent performance context is displayed alongside league goal environment indicators.

Historical Validation

Stored backtest examples and summary metrics keep the live view grounded in recorded model performance.

Clear Data-Driven Insights

A practical pre-match analytics workflow built for clarity and fast interpretation.

MatchProb Predictor

Select a competition and team pairing to generate a structured pre-match probability view with scoring context and recent performance cues.

Active Team PoolUnavailableSelect a league first
Teams AvailableUnavailableSelect a league first
Coverage ThroughUnavailableSelect a league first
Data RefreshedUnavailableSelect a league first

Historical performance

Results

Historical results across Top Pick and the main match markets.

Top Pick highlights the model's clearest supported angle in each historical example.

Use these results as a guide to how the model has performed across prior recorded forecasts. Probability Accuracy shows how closely forecast probabilities matched outcomes. Lower is better.

Top Pick

Top Pick Hit Rate53.47%Strongest supported match angle
Top Pick Avg Probability62.54%Average selected pick probability
Top Pick Probability Accuracy0.2465Lower is better
Confidence Success56.22%High-confidence Top Picks

Core Markets

1X2 Hit Rate48.94%Match result hit rate
O/U 2.5 Hit Rate54.98%Over/under market hit rate
BTS Market Hit Rate54.68%Both-teams-to-score market hit rate
Over 2.5 Actual Rate49.55%Share of matches finishing over 2.5

Accuracy

1X2 Probability Accuracy0.6124Lower is better
Over 2.5 Probability Accuracy0.2535Lower is better
BTS Probability Accuracy0.2513Lower is better
BTS Actual Rate51.66%Share of matches with both teams scoring

Results Filters

Top Pick metrics for the current filtered historical examples.

Matches331Historical examples in scope
Top Pick Hit Rate53.47%Selected Top Pick rows
Top Pick Avg Probability62.54%Average selected pick probability
Confidence Success56.22%High-confidence Top Picks

Historical Examples

Recent Backtested Examples

Historical examples of the model's strongest selected angle for each match.

Showing 231-240 of 331 examples.

DateCompetitionMatchMarketPredictedActualResultConfidence
15-03-26Portugal - Liga IAVS vs Santa ClaraBTS
BTS No64.40%
BTS No0-1
HITMedium55/100
15-03-26Scotland - Premier LeagueDundee vs Dundee UnitedBTS
BTS Yes63.14%
BTS Yes2-2
HITLow16/100
15-03-26Scotland - Premier LeagueSt Mirren vs Rangers1X2
Away74.18%
Away0-1
HITHigh89/100
15-03-26Belgium - Jupiler LeagueCercle Brugge vs RAAL La Louviere1X2
Draw44.52%
Away1-3
MISSMedium48/100
15-03-26Belgium - Jupiler LeagueMechelen vs AnderlechtBTS
BTS Yes57.08%
BTS No1-0
MISSLow16/100
15-03-26Belgium - Jupiler LeagueAntwerp vs Standard1X2
Home53.72%
Draw1-1
MISSHigh75/100
15-03-26Belgium - Jupiler LeagueGenk vs St TruidenO/U 2.5
Over 2.563.19%
Under 2.51-0
MISSHigh75/100
15-03-26France - Ligue 1Rennes vs Lille1X2
Home52.56%
Away1-2
MISSHigh79/100
15-03-26France - Ligue 1Metz vs Toulouse1X2
Away57.99%
Away3-4
HITHigh79/100
15-03-26France - Ligue 1Le Havre vs Lyon1X2
Away60.31%
Draw0-0
MISSHigh82/100
15-03-26Portugal - Liga I

AVS vs Santa Clara

BTS
PredictedBTS No64.40%
ActualBTS No0-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceMedium55/100
15-03-26Scotland - Premier League

Dundee vs Dundee United

BTS
PredictedBTS Yes63.14%
ActualBTS Yes2-2
ResultHIT
ConfidenceLow16/100
15-03-26Scotland - Premier League

St Mirren vs Rangers

1X2
PredictedAway74.18%
ActualAway0-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh89/100
15-03-26Belgium - Jupiler League

Cercle Brugge vs RAAL La Louviere

1X2
PredictedDraw44.52%
ActualAway1-3
ResultMISS
ConfidenceMedium48/100
15-03-26Belgium - Jupiler League

Mechelen vs Anderlecht

BTS
PredictedBTS Yes57.08%
ActualBTS No1-0
ResultMISS
ConfidenceLow16/100
15-03-26Belgium - Jupiler League

Antwerp vs Standard

1X2
PredictedHome53.72%
ActualDraw1-1
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh75/100
15-03-26Belgium - Jupiler League

Genk vs St Truiden

O/U 2.5
PredictedOver 2.563.19%
ActualUnder 2.51-0
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh75/100
15-03-26France - Ligue 1

Rennes vs Lille

1X2
PredictedHome52.56%
ActualAway1-2
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh79/100
15-03-26France - Ligue 1

Metz vs Toulouse

1X2
PredictedAway57.99%
ActualAway3-4
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh79/100
15-03-26France - Ligue 1

Le Havre vs Lyon

1X2
PredictedAway60.31%
ActualDraw0-0
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh82/100
Showing 231-240 of 331 examples
10 rows per page

Interpretation Guidance

Match probabilities describe estimated likelihood ranges, not fixed outcomes. Treat forecasts as context and combine them with your own match analysis.