MatchProb Analytics

MatchProb

Football match probabilities, team-form indicators, and scoring trend context in one structured dashboard.

Structured around probability, scoring conditions, and prior recorded results.

Pre-match probabilities Form and scoring context Backtested validation

Statistical Match Probabilities

Structured Home/Draw/Away, goal, and scoring-likelihood outputs with transparent presentation.

Team Form & Scoring Trends

Recent performance context is displayed alongside league goal environment indicators.

Historical Validation

Stored backtest examples and summary metrics keep the live view grounded in recorded model performance.

Clear Data-Driven Insights

A practical pre-match analytics workflow built for clarity and fast interpretation.

MatchProb Predictor

Select a competition and team pairing to generate a structured pre-match probability view with scoring context and recent performance cues.

Active Team PoolUnavailableSelect a league first
Teams AvailableUnavailableSelect a league first
Coverage ThroughUnavailableSelect a league first
Data RefreshedUnavailableSelect a league first

Historical performance

Results

Historical results across Top Pick and the main match markets.

Top Pick highlights the model's clearest supported angle in each historical example.

Use these results as a guide to how the model has performed across prior recorded forecasts. Probability Accuracy shows how closely forecast probabilities matched outcomes. Lower is better.

Top Pick

Top Pick Hit Rate53.47%Strongest supported match angle
Top Pick Avg Probability62.54%Average selected pick probability
Top Pick Probability Accuracy0.2465Lower is better
Confidence Success56.22%High-confidence Top Picks

Core Markets

1X2 Hit Rate48.94%Match result hit rate
O/U 2.5 Hit Rate54.98%Over/under market hit rate
BTS Market Hit Rate54.68%Both-teams-to-score market hit rate
Over 2.5 Actual Rate49.55%Share of matches finishing over 2.5

Accuracy

1X2 Probability Accuracy0.6124Lower is better
Over 2.5 Probability Accuracy0.2535Lower is better
BTS Probability Accuracy0.2513Lower is better
BTS Actual Rate51.66%Share of matches with both teams scoring

Results Filters

Top Pick metrics for the current filtered historical examples.

Matches331Historical examples in scope
Top Pick Hit Rate53.47%Selected Top Pick rows
Top Pick Avg Probability62.54%Average selected pick probability
Confidence Success56.22%High-confidence Top Picks

Historical Examples

Recent Backtested Examples

Historical examples of the model's strongest selected angle for each match.

Showing 211-220 of 331 examples.

DateCompetitionMatchMarketPredictedActualResultConfidence
20-03-26Italy - Serie ACagliari vs Napoli1X2
Away69.92%
Away0-1
HITHigh87/100
19-03-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1Konyaspor vs GenclerbirligiBTS
BTS No64.59%
BTS No1-0
HITLow14/100
19-03-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1Beşiktaş vs Kasimpasa1X2
Home67.12%
Home2-1
HITHigh88/100
19-03-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1Kayserispor vs KaragumrukBTS
BTS Yes54.66%
BTS No1-0
MISSLow42/100
18-03-26England - ChampionshipSouthampton vs NorwichO/U 2.5
Over 2.567.51%
Under 2.51-0
MISSHigh77/100
18-03-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1Eyupspor vs Trabzonspor1X2
Away62.92%
Away0-1
HITHigh86/100
18-03-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1Buyuksehyr vs Antalyaspor1X2
Home68.58%
Draw0-0
MISSHigh85/100
18-03-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1Alanyaspor vs KocaelisporO/U 2.5
Under 2.566.97%
Over 2.55-0
MISSLow27/100
17-03-26England - ChampionshipWatford vs Wrexham1X2
Away42.92%
Home3-1
MISSMedium52/100
17-03-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1Fenerbahçe vs Gaziantep1X2
Home85.36%
Home4-1
HITHigh90/100
20-03-26Italy - Serie A

Cagliari vs Napoli

1X2
PredictedAway69.92%
ActualAway0-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh87/100
19-03-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1

Konyaspor vs Genclerbirligi

BTS
PredictedBTS No64.59%
ActualBTS No1-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceLow14/100
19-03-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1

Beşiktaş vs Kasimpasa

1X2
PredictedHome67.12%
ActualHome2-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh88/100
19-03-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1

Kayserispor vs Karagumruk

BTS
PredictedBTS Yes54.66%
ActualBTS No1-0
ResultMISS
ConfidenceLow42/100
18-03-26England - Championship

Southampton vs Norwich

O/U 2.5
PredictedOver 2.567.51%
ActualUnder 2.51-0
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh77/100
18-03-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1

Eyupspor vs Trabzonspor

1X2
PredictedAway62.92%
ActualAway0-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh86/100
18-03-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1

Buyuksehyr vs Antalyaspor

1X2
PredictedHome68.58%
ActualDraw0-0
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh85/100
18-03-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1

Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor

O/U 2.5
PredictedUnder 2.566.97%
ActualOver 2.55-0
ResultMISS
ConfidenceLow27/100
17-03-26England - Championship

Watford vs Wrexham

1X2
PredictedAway42.92%
ActualHome3-1
ResultMISS
ConfidenceMedium52/100
17-03-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1

Fenerbahçe vs Gaziantep

1X2
PredictedHome85.36%
ActualHome4-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh90/100
Showing 211-220 of 331 examples
10 rows per page

Interpretation Guidance

Match probabilities describe estimated likelihood ranges, not fixed outcomes. Treat forecasts as context and combine them with your own match analysis.