MatchProb Analytics

MatchProb

Football match probabilities, team-form indicators, and scoring trend context in one structured dashboard.

Structured around probability, scoring conditions, and prior recorded results.

Pre-match probabilities Form and scoring context Backtested validation

Statistical Match Probabilities

Structured Home/Draw/Away, goal, and scoring-likelihood outputs with transparent presentation.

Team Form & Scoring Trends

Recent performance context is displayed alongside league goal environment indicators.

Historical Validation

Stored backtest examples and summary metrics keep the live view grounded in recorded model performance.

Clear Data-Driven Insights

A practical pre-match analytics workflow built for clarity and fast interpretation.

MatchProb Predictor

Select a competition and team pairing to generate a structured pre-match probability view with scoring context and recent performance cues.

Active Team PoolUnavailableSelect a league first
Teams AvailableUnavailableSelect a league first
Coverage ThroughUnavailableSelect a league first
Data RefreshedUnavailableSelect a league first

Historical performance

Results

Historical results across Top Pick and the main match markets.

Top Pick highlights the model's clearest supported angle in each historical example.

Use these results as a guide to how the model has performed across prior recorded forecasts. Probability Accuracy shows how closely forecast probabilities matched outcomes. Lower is better.

Top Pick

Top Pick Hit Rate53.47%Strongest supported match angle
Top Pick Avg Probability62.54%Average selected pick probability
Top Pick Probability Accuracy0.2465Lower is better
Confidence Success56.22%High-confidence Top Picks

Core Markets

1X2 Hit Rate48.94%Match result hit rate
O/U 2.5 Hit Rate54.98%Over/under market hit rate
BTS Market Hit Rate54.68%Both-teams-to-score market hit rate
Over 2.5 Actual Rate49.55%Share of matches finishing over 2.5

Accuracy

1X2 Probability Accuracy0.6124Lower is better
Over 2.5 Probability Accuracy0.2535Lower is better
BTS Probability Accuracy0.2513Lower is better
BTS Actual Rate51.66%Share of matches with both teams scoring

Results Filters

Top Pick metrics for the current filtered historical examples.

Matches331Historical examples in scope
Top Pick Hit Rate53.47%Selected Top Pick rows
Top Pick Avg Probability62.54%Average selected pick probability
Confidence Success56.22%High-confidence Top Picks

Historical Examples

Recent Backtested Examples

Historical examples of the model's strongest selected angle for each match.

Showing 201-210 of 331 examples.

DateCompetitionMatchMarketPredictedActualResultConfidence
21-03-26Italy - Serie AMilan vs Torino1X2
Home71.37%
Home3-2
HITHigh88/100
21-03-26Italy - Serie AParma vs Cremonese1X2
Home48.61%
Away0-2
MISSHigh70/100
20-03-26Germany - Bundesliga 1RB Leipzig vs HoffenheimO/U 2.5
Over 2.571.92%
Over 2.55-0
HITHigh77/100
20-03-26Portugal - Liga IEstrela vs Casa Pia1X2
Draw44.20%
Home4-0
MISSMedium53/100
20-03-26France - Ligue 1Lens vs Angers1X2
Home72.38%
Home5-1
HITHigh88/100
20-03-26Netherlands - EredivisieHeracles vs ExcelsiorBTS
BTS Yes58.72%
BTS Yes1-1
HITHigh70/100
20-03-26England - ChampionshipPreston vs StokeO/U 2.5
Under 2.571.51%
Over 2.53-1
MISSMedium52/100
20-03-26England - Premier LeagueBournemouth vs Man UnitedBTS
BTS Yes53.20%
BTS Yes2-2
HITLow22/100
20-03-26Spain - La Liga Primera DivisionVillarreal vs Sociedad1X2
Home53.68%
Home3-1
HITHigh78/100
20-03-26Italy - Serie AGenoa vs Udinese1X2
Home43.92%
Away0-2
MISSMedium61/100
21-03-26Italy - Serie A

Milan vs Torino

1X2
PredictedHome71.37%
ActualHome3-2
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh88/100
21-03-26Italy - Serie A

Parma vs Cremonese

1X2
PredictedHome48.61%
ActualAway0-2
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh70/100
20-03-26Germany - Bundesliga 1

RB Leipzig vs Hoffenheim

O/U 2.5
PredictedOver 2.571.92%
ActualOver 2.55-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh77/100
20-03-26Portugal - Liga I

Estrela vs Casa Pia

1X2
PredictedDraw44.20%
ActualHome4-0
ResultMISS
ConfidenceMedium53/100
20-03-26France - Ligue 1

Lens vs Angers

1X2
PredictedHome72.38%
ActualHome5-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh88/100
20-03-26Netherlands - Eredivisie

Heracles vs Excelsior

BTS
PredictedBTS Yes58.72%
ActualBTS Yes1-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh70/100
20-03-26England - Championship

Preston vs Stoke

O/U 2.5
PredictedUnder 2.571.51%
ActualOver 2.53-1
ResultMISS
ConfidenceMedium52/100
20-03-26England - Premier League

Bournemouth vs Man United

BTS
PredictedBTS Yes53.20%
ActualBTS Yes2-2
ResultHIT
ConfidenceLow22/100
20-03-26Spain - La Liga Primera Division

Villarreal vs Sociedad

1X2
PredictedHome53.68%
ActualHome3-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh78/100
20-03-26Italy - Serie A

Genoa vs Udinese

1X2
PredictedHome43.92%
ActualAway0-2
ResultMISS
ConfidenceMedium61/100
Showing 201-210 of 331 examples
10 rows per page

Interpretation Guidance

Match probabilities describe estimated likelihood ranges, not fixed outcomes. Treat forecasts as context and combine them with your own match analysis.