MatchProb Analytics

MatchProb

Football match probabilities, team-form indicators, and scoring trend context in one structured dashboard.

Structured around probability, scoring conditions, and prior recorded results.

Pre-match probabilities Form and scoring context Backtested validation

Statistical Match Probabilities

Structured Home/Draw/Away, goal, and scoring-likelihood outputs with transparent presentation.

Team Form & Scoring Trends

Recent performance context is displayed alongside league goal environment indicators.

Historical Validation

Stored backtest examples and summary metrics keep the live view grounded in recorded model performance.

Clear Data-Driven Insights

A practical pre-match analytics workflow built for clarity and fast interpretation.

MatchProb Predictor

Select a competition and team pairing to generate a structured pre-match probability view with scoring context and recent performance cues.

Active Team PoolUnavailableSelect a league first
Teams AvailableUnavailableSelect a league first
Coverage ThroughUnavailableSelect a league first
Data RefreshedUnavailableSelect a league first

Historical performance

Results

Historical results across Top Pick and the main match markets.

Top Pick highlights the model's clearest supported angle in each historical example.

Use these results as a guide to how the model has performed across prior recorded forecasts. Probability Accuracy shows how closely forecast probabilities matched outcomes. Lower is better.

Top Pick

Top Pick Hit Rate56.26%Strongest supported match angle
Top Pick Avg Probability63.06%Average selected pick probability
Top Pick Probability Accuracy0.2425Lower is better
Confidence Success58.62%High-confidence Top Picks

Core Markets

1X2 Hit Rate49.55%Match result hit rate
O/U 2.5 Hit Rate57.71%Over/under market hit rate
BTS Market Hit Rate56.81%Both-teams-to-score market hit rate
Over 2.5 Actual Rate51.36%Share of matches finishing over 2.5

Accuracy

1X2 Probability Accuracy0.6087Lower is better
Over 2.5 Probability Accuracy0.2426Lower is better
BTS Probability Accuracy0.2470Lower is better
BTS Actual Rate52.63%Share of matches with both teams scoring

Results Filters

Top Pick metrics for the current filtered historical examples.

Matches551Historical examples in scope
Top Pick Hit Rate56.26%Selected Top Pick rows
Top Pick Avg Probability63.06%Average selected pick probability
Confidence Success58.62%High-confidence Top Picks

Historical Examples

Recent Backtested Examples

Historical examples of the model's strongest selected angle for each match.

Showing 201-210 of 551 examples.

DateCompetitionMatchMarketPredictedActualResultConfidence
14-03-26England - ChampionshipMiddlesbrough vs Bristol City1X2
Home60.68%
Draw1-1
MISSHigh81/100
14-03-26England - ChampionshipCoventry vs SouthamptonO/U 2.5
Over 2.574.41%
Over 2.51-2
HITHigh84/100
13-03-26Spain - La Liga Primera DivisionAlaves vs VillarrealO/U 2.5
Under 2.562.78%
Under 2.51-1
HITMedium57/100
13-03-26Netherlands - EredivisieZwolle vs Groningen1X2
Home45.96%
Draw1-1
MISSMedium62/100
13-03-26Italy - Serie ATorino vs ParmaO/U 2.5
Under 2.580.25%
Over 2.54-1
MISSMedium66/100
13-03-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1Karagumruk vs Fenerbahçe1X2
Away84.44%
Home2-0
MISSHigh91/100
13-03-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1Antalyaspor vs Gaziantep1X2
Home44.67%
Away1-4
MISSMedium63/100
13-03-26Belgium - Jupiler LeagueGent vs Waregem1X2
Home60.53%
Home2-0
HITHigh78/100
13-03-26Germany - Bundesliga 1M'gladbach vs St PauliO/U 2.5
Under 2.559.88%
Under 2.52-0
HITLow20/100
13-03-26France - Ligue 1Marseille vs Auxerre1X2
Home76.50%
Home1-0
HITHigh89/100
14-03-26England - Championship

Middlesbrough vs Bristol City

1X2
PredictedHome60.68%
ActualDraw1-1
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh81/100
14-03-26England - Championship

Coventry vs Southampton

O/U 2.5
PredictedOver 2.574.41%
ActualOver 2.51-2
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh84/100
13-03-26Spain - La Liga Primera Division

Alaves vs Villarreal

O/U 2.5
PredictedUnder 2.562.78%
ActualUnder 2.51-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceMedium57/100
13-03-26Netherlands - Eredivisie

Zwolle vs Groningen

1X2
PredictedHome45.96%
ActualDraw1-1
ResultMISS
ConfidenceMedium62/100
13-03-26Italy - Serie A

Torino vs Parma

O/U 2.5
PredictedUnder 2.580.25%
ActualOver 2.54-1
ResultMISS
ConfidenceMedium66/100
13-03-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1

Karagumruk vs Fenerbahçe

1X2
PredictedAway84.44%
ActualHome2-0
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh91/100
13-03-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1

Antalyaspor vs Gaziantep

1X2
PredictedHome44.67%
ActualAway1-4
ResultMISS
ConfidenceMedium63/100
13-03-26Belgium - Jupiler League

Gent vs Waregem

1X2
PredictedHome60.53%
ActualHome2-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh78/100
13-03-26Germany - Bundesliga 1

M'gladbach vs St Pauli

O/U 2.5
PredictedUnder 2.559.88%
ActualUnder 2.52-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceLow20/100
13-03-26France - Ligue 1

Marseille vs Auxerre

1X2
PredictedHome76.50%
ActualHome1-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh89/100
Showing 201-210 of 551 examples
10 rows per page

Interpretation Guidance

Match probabilities describe estimated likelihood ranges, not fixed outcomes. Treat forecasts as context and combine them with your own match analysis.