MatchProb Analytics

MatchProb

Football match probabilities, team-form indicators, and scoring trend context in one structured dashboard.

Structured around probability, scoring conditions, and prior recorded results.

Pre-match probabilities Form and scoring context Backtested validation

Statistical Match Probabilities

Structured Home/Draw/Away, goal, and scoring-likelihood outputs with transparent presentation.

Team Form & Scoring Trends

Recent performance context is displayed alongside league goal environment indicators.

Historical Validation

Stored backtest examples and summary metrics keep the live view grounded in recorded model performance.

Clear Data-Driven Insights

A practical pre-match analytics workflow built for clarity and fast interpretation.

MatchProb Predictor

Select a competition and team pairing to generate a structured pre-match probability view with scoring context and recent performance cues.

Active Team PoolUnavailableSelect a league first
Teams AvailableUnavailableSelect a league first
Coverage ThroughUnavailableSelect a league first
Data RefreshedUnavailableSelect a league first

Historical performance

Results

Historical results across Top Pick and the main match markets.

Top Pick highlights the model's clearest supported angle in each historical example.

Use these results as a guide to how the model has performed across prior recorded forecasts. Probability Accuracy shows how closely forecast probabilities matched outcomes. Lower is better.

Top Pick

Top Pick Hit Rate53.47%Strongest supported match angle
Top Pick Avg Probability62.54%Average selected pick probability
Top Pick Probability Accuracy0.2465Lower is better
Confidence Success56.22%High-confidence Top Picks

Core Markets

1X2 Hit Rate48.94%Match result hit rate
O/U 2.5 Hit Rate54.98%Over/under market hit rate
BTS Market Hit Rate54.68%Both-teams-to-score market hit rate
Over 2.5 Actual Rate49.55%Share of matches finishing over 2.5

Accuracy

1X2 Probability Accuracy0.6124Lower is better
Over 2.5 Probability Accuracy0.2535Lower is better
BTS Probability Accuracy0.2513Lower is better
BTS Actual Rate51.66%Share of matches with both teams scoring

Results Filters

Top Pick metrics for the current filtered historical examples.

Matches331Historical examples in scope
Top Pick Hit Rate53.47%Selected Top Pick rows
Top Pick Avg Probability62.54%Average selected pick probability
Confidence Success56.22%High-confidence Top Picks

Historical Examples

Recent Backtested Examples

Historical examples of the model's strongest selected angle for each match.

Showing 191-200 of 331 examples.

DateCompetitionMatchMarketPredictedActualResultConfidence
21-03-26England - Premier LeagueLeeds vs Brentford1X2
Away47.00%
Draw0-0
MISSHigh72/100
21-03-26England - Premier LeagueEverton vs Chelsea1X2
Away53.41%
Home3-0
MISSHigh76/100
21-03-26England - Premier LeagueFulham vs Burnley1X2
Home62.16%
Home3-1
HITHigh83/100
21-03-26England - Premier LeagueBrighton vs LiverpoolBTS
BTS Yes61.02%
BTS Yes2-1
HITHigh76/100
21-03-26Spain - La Liga Primera DivisionSevilla vs ValenciaO/U 2.5
Under 2.560.42%
Under 2.50-2
HITLow22/100
21-03-26Spain - La Liga Primera DivisionOsasuna vs GironaBTS
BTS Yes57.22%
BTS No1-0
MISSLow21/100
21-03-26Spain - La Liga Primera DivisionLevante vs OviedoBTS
BTS Yes52.21%
BTS Yes4-2
HITLow20/100
21-03-26Spain - La Liga Primera DivisionEspanol vs Getafe1X2
Draw43.72%
Away1-2
MISSMedium50/100
21-03-26Spain - La Liga Primera DivisionElche vs MallorcaBTS
BTS No60.54%
BTS Yes2-1
MISSHigh73/100
21-03-26Italy - Serie AJuventus vs Sassuolo1X2
Home74.57%
Draw1-1
MISSHigh82/100
21-03-26England - Premier League

Leeds vs Brentford

1X2
PredictedAway47.00%
ActualDraw0-0
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh72/100
21-03-26England - Premier League

Everton vs Chelsea

1X2
PredictedAway53.41%
ActualHome3-0
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh76/100
21-03-26England - Premier League

Fulham vs Burnley

1X2
PredictedHome62.16%
ActualHome3-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh83/100
21-03-26England - Premier League

Brighton vs Liverpool

BTS
PredictedBTS Yes61.02%
ActualBTS Yes2-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh76/100
21-03-26Spain - La Liga Primera Division

Sevilla vs Valencia

O/U 2.5
PredictedUnder 2.560.42%
ActualUnder 2.50-2
ResultHIT
ConfidenceLow22/100
21-03-26Spain - La Liga Primera Division

Osasuna vs Girona

BTS
PredictedBTS Yes57.22%
ActualBTS No1-0
ResultMISS
ConfidenceLow21/100
21-03-26Spain - La Liga Primera Division

Levante vs Oviedo

BTS
PredictedBTS Yes52.21%
ActualBTS Yes4-2
ResultHIT
ConfidenceLow20/100
21-03-26Spain - La Liga Primera Division

Espanol vs Getafe

1X2
PredictedDraw43.72%
ActualAway1-2
ResultMISS
ConfidenceMedium50/100
21-03-26Spain - La Liga Primera Division

Elche vs Mallorca

BTS
PredictedBTS No60.54%
ActualBTS Yes2-1
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh73/100
21-03-26Italy - Serie A

Juventus vs Sassuolo

1X2
PredictedHome74.57%
ActualDraw1-1
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh82/100
Showing 191-200 of 331 examples
10 rows per page

Interpretation Guidance

Match probabilities describe estimated likelihood ranges, not fixed outcomes. Treat forecasts as context and combine them with your own match analysis.