MatchProb Analytics

MatchProb

Football match probabilities, team-form indicators, and scoring trend context in one structured dashboard.

Structured around probability, scoring conditions, and prior recorded results.

Pre-match probabilities Form and scoring context Backtested validation

Statistical Match Probabilities

Structured Home/Draw/Away, goal, and scoring-likelihood outputs with transparent presentation.

Team Form & Scoring Trends

Recent performance context is displayed alongside league goal environment indicators.

Historical Validation

Stored backtest examples and summary metrics keep the live view grounded in recorded model performance.

Clear Data-Driven Insights

A practical pre-match analytics workflow built for clarity and fast interpretation.

MatchProb Predictor

Select a competition and team pairing to generate a structured pre-match probability view with scoring context and recent performance cues.

Active Team PoolUnavailableSelect a league first
Teams AvailableUnavailableSelect a league first
Coverage ThroughUnavailableSelect a league first
Data RefreshedUnavailableSelect a league first

Historical performance

Results

Historical results across Top Pick and the main match markets.

Top Pick highlights the model's clearest supported angle in each historical example.

Use these results as a guide to how the model has performed across prior recorded forecasts. Probability Accuracy shows how closely forecast probabilities matched outcomes. Lower is better.

Top Pick

Top Pick Hit Rate56.26%Strongest supported match angle
Top Pick Avg Probability63.06%Average selected pick probability
Top Pick Probability Accuracy0.2425Lower is better
Confidence Success58.62%High-confidence Top Picks

Core Markets

1X2 Hit Rate49.55%Match result hit rate
O/U 2.5 Hit Rate57.71%Over/under market hit rate
BTS Market Hit Rate56.81%Both-teams-to-score market hit rate
Over 2.5 Actual Rate51.36%Share of matches finishing over 2.5

Accuracy

1X2 Probability Accuracy0.6087Lower is better
Over 2.5 Probability Accuracy0.2426Lower is better
BTS Probability Accuracy0.2470Lower is better
BTS Actual Rate52.63%Share of matches with both teams scoring

Results Filters

Top Pick metrics for the current filtered historical examples.

Matches551Historical examples in scope
Top Pick Hit Rate56.26%Selected Top Pick rows
Top Pick Avg Probability63.06%Average selected pick probability
Confidence Success58.62%High-confidence Top Picks

Historical Examples

Recent Backtested Examples

Historical examples of the model's strongest selected angle for each match.

Showing 181-190 of 551 examples.

DateCompetitionMatchMarketPredictedActualResultConfidence
14-03-26Germany - Bundesliga 1Leverkusen vs Bayern MunichO/U 2.5
Over 2.579.95%
Under 2.51-1
MISSHigh84/100
14-03-26Germany - Bundesliga 1Hoffenheim vs Wolfsburg1X2
Home59.89%
Draw1-1
MISSHigh88/100
14-03-26Germany - Bundesliga 1Ein Frankfurt vs Heidenheim1X2
Home68.14%
Home1-0
HITHigh85/100
14-03-26Germany - Bundesliga 1Dortmund vs Augsburg1X2
Home83.39%
Home2-0
HITHigh88/100
14-03-26France - Ligue 1Monaco vs Brest1X2
Home66.70%
Home2-0
HITHigh83/100
14-03-26France - Ligue 1Angers vs Nice1X2
Away43.52%
Away0-2
HITMedium52/100
14-03-26France - Ligue 1Lorient vs Lens1X2
Away61.18%
Home2-1
MISSHigh83/100
14-03-26England - Premier LeagueWest Ham vs Man City1X2
Away76.13%
Draw1-1
MISSHigh89/100
14-03-26England - Premier LeagueChelsea vs NewcastleBTS
BTS Yes59.30%
BTS No0-1
MISSHigh75/100
14-03-26England - Premier LeagueArsenal vs Everton1X2
Home73.36%
Home2-0
HITHigh87/100
14-03-26Germany - Bundesliga 1

Leverkusen vs Bayern Munich

O/U 2.5
PredictedOver 2.579.95%
ActualUnder 2.51-1
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh84/100
14-03-26Germany - Bundesliga 1

Hoffenheim vs Wolfsburg

1X2
PredictedHome59.89%
ActualDraw1-1
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh88/100
14-03-26Germany - Bundesliga 1

Ein Frankfurt vs Heidenheim

1X2
PredictedHome68.14%
ActualHome1-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh85/100
14-03-26Germany - Bundesliga 1

Dortmund vs Augsburg

1X2
PredictedHome83.39%
ActualHome2-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh88/100
14-03-26France - Ligue 1

Monaco vs Brest

1X2
PredictedHome66.70%
ActualHome2-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh83/100
14-03-26France - Ligue 1

Angers vs Nice

1X2
PredictedAway43.52%
ActualAway0-2
ResultHIT
ConfidenceMedium52/100
14-03-26France - Ligue 1

Lorient vs Lens

1X2
PredictedAway61.18%
ActualHome2-1
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh83/100
14-03-26England - Premier League

West Ham vs Man City

1X2
PredictedAway76.13%
ActualDraw1-1
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh89/100
14-03-26England - Premier League

Chelsea vs Newcastle

BTS
PredictedBTS Yes59.30%
ActualBTS No0-1
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh75/100
14-03-26England - Premier League

Arsenal vs Everton

1X2
PredictedHome73.36%
ActualHome2-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh87/100
Showing 181-190 of 551 examples
10 rows per page

Interpretation Guidance

Match probabilities describe estimated likelihood ranges, not fixed outcomes. Treat forecasts as context and combine them with your own match analysis.