MatchProb Analytics

MatchProb

Football match probabilities, team-form indicators, and scoring trend context in one structured dashboard.

Structured around probability, scoring conditions, and prior recorded results.

Pre-match probabilities Form and scoring context Backtested validation

Statistical Match Probabilities

Structured Home/Draw/Away, goal, and scoring-likelihood outputs with transparent presentation.

Team Form & Scoring Trends

Recent performance context is displayed alongside league goal environment indicators.

Historical Validation

Stored backtest examples and summary metrics keep the live view grounded in recorded model performance.

Clear Data-Driven Insights

A practical pre-match analytics workflow built for clarity and fast interpretation.

MatchProb Predictor

Select a competition and team pairing to generate a structured pre-match probability view with scoring context and recent performance cues.

Active Team PoolUnavailableSelect a league first
Teams AvailableUnavailableSelect a league first
Coverage ThroughUnavailableSelect a league first
Data RefreshedUnavailableSelect a league first

Historical performance

Results

Historical results across Top Pick and the main match markets.

Top Pick highlights the model's clearest supported angle in each historical example.

Use these results as a guide to how the model has performed across prior recorded forecasts. Probability Accuracy shows how closely forecast probabilities matched outcomes. Lower is better.

Top Pick

Top Pick Hit Rate56.26%Strongest supported match angle
Top Pick Avg Probability63.06%Average selected pick probability
Top Pick Probability Accuracy0.2425Lower is better
Confidence Success58.62%High-confidence Top Picks

Core Markets

1X2 Hit Rate49.55%Match result hit rate
O/U 2.5 Hit Rate57.71%Over/under market hit rate
BTS Market Hit Rate56.81%Both-teams-to-score market hit rate
Over 2.5 Actual Rate51.36%Share of matches finishing over 2.5

Accuracy

1X2 Probability Accuracy0.6087Lower is better
Over 2.5 Probability Accuracy0.2426Lower is better
BTS Probability Accuracy0.2470Lower is better
BTS Actual Rate52.63%Share of matches with both teams scoring

Results Filters

Top Pick metrics for the current filtered historical examples.

Matches551Historical examples in scope
Top Pick Hit Rate56.26%Selected Top Pick rows
Top Pick Avg Probability63.06%Average selected pick probability
Confidence Success58.62%High-confidence Top Picks

Historical Examples

Recent Backtested Examples

Historical examples of the model's strongest selected angle for each match.

Showing 171-180 of 551 examples.

DateCompetitionMatchMarketPredictedActualResultConfidence
14-03-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1Goztep vs Alanyaspor1X2
Home53.67%
Draw2-2
MISSHigh75/100
14-03-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1Galatasaray vs Buyuksehyr1X2
Home70.62%
Home3-0
HITHigh85/100
14-03-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1Kocaelispor vs KonyasporBTS
BTS No63.26%
BTS Yes1-2
MISSLow34/100
14-03-26Greece - Ethniki KatigoriaLarisa vs Asteras TripolisO/U 2.5
Under 2.570.20%
Under 2.51-1
HITMedium48/100
14-03-26Greece - Ethniki KatigoriaPanserraikos vs Aris1X2
Away47.37%
Draw0-0
MISSMedium67/100
14-03-26Greece - Ethniki KatigoriaOFI Crete vs Olympiakos1X2
Away74.21%
Away0-3
HITHigh89/100
14-03-26Belgium - Jupiler LeagueWesterlo vs Club Brugge1X2
Away69.35%
Away1-2
HITHigh84/100
14-03-26Belgium - Jupiler LeagueSt. Gilloise vs Dender1X2
Home88.38%
Home2-0
HITHigh89/100
14-03-26Belgium - Jupiler LeagueCharleroi vs Oud-Heverlee Leuven1X2
Home54.33%
Away0-2
MISSHigh77/100
14-03-26Germany - Bundesliga 1Hamburg vs FC Koln1X2
Home52.66%
Draw1-1
MISSHigh76/100
14-03-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1

Goztep vs Alanyaspor

1X2
PredictedHome53.67%
ActualDraw2-2
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh75/100
14-03-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1

Galatasaray vs Buyuksehyr

1X2
PredictedHome70.62%
ActualHome3-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh85/100
14-03-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1

Kocaelispor vs Konyaspor

BTS
PredictedBTS No63.26%
ActualBTS Yes1-2
ResultMISS
ConfidenceLow34/100
14-03-26Greece - Ethniki Katigoria

Larisa vs Asteras Tripolis

O/U 2.5
PredictedUnder 2.570.20%
ActualUnder 2.51-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceMedium48/100
14-03-26Greece - Ethniki Katigoria

Panserraikos vs Aris

1X2
PredictedAway47.37%
ActualDraw0-0
ResultMISS
ConfidenceMedium67/100
14-03-26Greece - Ethniki Katigoria

OFI Crete vs Olympiakos

1X2
PredictedAway74.21%
ActualAway0-3
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh89/100
14-03-26Belgium - Jupiler League

Westerlo vs Club Brugge

1X2
PredictedAway69.35%
ActualAway1-2
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh84/100
14-03-26Belgium - Jupiler League

St. Gilloise vs Dender

1X2
PredictedHome88.38%
ActualHome2-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh89/100
14-03-26Belgium - Jupiler League

Charleroi vs Oud-Heverlee Leuven

1X2
PredictedHome54.33%
ActualAway0-2
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh77/100
14-03-26Germany - Bundesliga 1

Hamburg vs FC Koln

1X2
PredictedHome52.66%
ActualDraw1-1
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh76/100
Showing 171-180 of 551 examples
10 rows per page

Interpretation Guidance

Match probabilities describe estimated likelihood ranges, not fixed outcomes. Treat forecasts as context and combine them with your own match analysis.