MatchProb Analytics

MatchProb

Football match probabilities, team-form indicators, and scoring trend context in one structured dashboard.

Structured around probability, scoring conditions, and prior recorded results.

Pre-match probabilities Form and scoring context Backtested validation

Statistical Match Probabilities

Structured Home/Draw/Away, goal, and scoring-likelihood outputs with transparent presentation.

Team Form & Scoring Trends

Recent performance context is displayed alongside league goal environment indicators.

Historical Validation

Stored backtest examples and summary metrics keep the live view grounded in recorded model performance.

Clear Data-Driven Insights

A practical pre-match analytics workflow built for clarity and fast interpretation.

MatchProb Predictor

Select a competition and team pairing to generate a structured pre-match probability view with scoring context and recent performance cues.

Active Team PoolUnavailableSelect a league first
Teams AvailableUnavailableSelect a league first
Coverage ThroughUnavailableSelect a league first
Data RefreshedUnavailableSelect a league first

Historical performance

Results

Historical results across Top Pick and the main match markets.

Top Pick highlights the model's clearest supported angle in each historical example.

Use these results as a guide to how the model has performed across prior recorded forecasts. Probability Accuracy shows how closely forecast probabilities matched outcomes. Lower is better.

Top Pick

Top Pick Hit Rate53.47%Strongest supported match angle
Top Pick Avg Probability62.54%Average selected pick probability
Top Pick Probability Accuracy0.2465Lower is better
Confidence Success56.22%High-confidence Top Picks

Core Markets

1X2 Hit Rate48.94%Match result hit rate
O/U 2.5 Hit Rate54.98%Over/under market hit rate
BTS Market Hit Rate54.68%Both-teams-to-score market hit rate
Over 2.5 Actual Rate49.55%Share of matches finishing over 2.5

Accuracy

1X2 Probability Accuracy0.6124Lower is better
Over 2.5 Probability Accuracy0.2535Lower is better
BTS Probability Accuracy0.2513Lower is better
BTS Actual Rate51.66%Share of matches with both teams scoring

Results Filters

Top Pick metrics for the current filtered historical examples.

Matches331Historical examples in scope
Top Pick Hit Rate53.47%Selected Top Pick rows
Top Pick Avg Probability62.54%Average selected pick probability
Confidence Success56.22%High-confidence Top Picks

Historical Examples

Recent Backtested Examples

Historical examples of the model's strongest selected angle for each match.

Showing 161-170 of 331 examples.

DateCompetitionMatchMarketPredictedActualResultConfidence
21-03-26Germany - Bundesliga 1Heidenheim vs Leverkusen1X2
Away81.10%
Draw3-3
MISSHigh88/100
21-03-26Germany - Bundesliga 1FC Koln vs M'gladbachBTS
BTS Yes55.67%
BTS Yes3-3
HITLow25/100
21-03-26Germany - Bundesliga 1Bayern Munich vs Union Berlin1X2
Home93.62%
Home4-0
HITHigh90/100
21-03-26Portugal - Liga ITondela vs AVSBTS
BTS No60.31%
BTS No0-0
HITMedium66/100
21-03-26Portugal - Liga ISanta Clara vs Gil VicenteO/U 2.5
Under 2.571.09%
Under 2.51-0
HITMedium54/100
21-03-26Portugal - Liga IBenfica vs Guimaraes1X2
Home91.20%
Home3-0
HITHigh90/100
21-03-26Portugal - Liga IMoreirense vs AroucaO/U 2.5
Under 2.558.27%
Under 2.50-1
HITLow16/100
21-03-26Portugal - Liga IFamalicao vs Nacional1X2
Home61.58%
Home1-0
HITHigh86/100
21-03-26Scotland - Premier LeagueRangers vs Aberdeen1X2
Home89.40%
Home4-1
HITHigh90/100
21-03-26Scotland - Premier LeagueMotherwell vs HibernianBTS
BTS Yes57.48%
BTS No0-0
MISSHigh74/100
21-03-26Germany - Bundesliga 1

Heidenheim vs Leverkusen

1X2
PredictedAway81.10%
ActualDraw3-3
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh88/100
21-03-26Germany - Bundesliga 1

FC Koln vs M'gladbach

BTS
PredictedBTS Yes55.67%
ActualBTS Yes3-3
ResultHIT
ConfidenceLow25/100
21-03-26Germany - Bundesliga 1

Bayern Munich vs Union Berlin

1X2
PredictedHome93.62%
ActualHome4-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh90/100
21-03-26Portugal - Liga I

Tondela vs AVS

BTS
PredictedBTS No60.31%
ActualBTS No0-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceMedium66/100
21-03-26Portugal - Liga I

Santa Clara vs Gil Vicente

O/U 2.5
PredictedUnder 2.571.09%
ActualUnder 2.51-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceMedium54/100
21-03-26Portugal - Liga I

Benfica vs Guimaraes

1X2
PredictedHome91.20%
ActualHome3-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh90/100
21-03-26Portugal - Liga I

Moreirense vs Arouca

O/U 2.5
PredictedUnder 2.558.27%
ActualUnder 2.50-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceLow16/100
21-03-26Portugal - Liga I

Famalicao vs Nacional

1X2
PredictedHome61.58%
ActualHome1-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh86/100
21-03-26Scotland - Premier League

Rangers vs Aberdeen

1X2
PredictedHome89.40%
ActualHome4-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh90/100
21-03-26Scotland - Premier League

Motherwell vs Hibernian

BTS
PredictedBTS Yes57.48%
ActualBTS No0-0
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh74/100
Showing 161-170 of 331 examples
10 rows per page

Interpretation Guidance

Match probabilities describe estimated likelihood ranges, not fixed outcomes. Treat forecasts as context and combine them with your own match analysis.