MatchProb Analytics

MatchProb

Football match probabilities, team-form indicators, and scoring trend context in one structured dashboard.

Structured around probability, scoring conditions, and prior recorded results.

Pre-match probabilities Form and scoring context Backtested validation

Statistical Match Probabilities

Structured Home/Draw/Away, goal, and scoring-likelihood outputs with transparent presentation.

Team Form & Scoring Trends

Recent performance context is displayed alongside league goal environment indicators.

Historical Validation

Stored backtest examples and summary metrics keep the live view grounded in recorded model performance.

Clear Data-Driven Insights

A practical pre-match analytics workflow built for clarity and fast interpretation.

MatchProb Predictor

Select a competition and team pairing to generate a structured pre-match probability view with scoring context and recent performance cues.

Active Team PoolUnavailableSelect a league first
Teams AvailableUnavailableSelect a league first
Coverage ThroughUnavailableSelect a league first
Data RefreshedUnavailableSelect a league first

Historical performance

Results

Historical results across Top Pick and the main match markets.

Top Pick highlights the model's clearest supported angle in each historical example.

Use these results as a guide to how the model has performed across prior recorded forecasts. Probability Accuracy shows how closely forecast probabilities matched outcomes. Lower is better.

Top Pick

Top Pick Hit Rate56.26%Strongest supported match angle
Top Pick Avg Probability63.06%Average selected pick probability
Top Pick Probability Accuracy0.2425Lower is better
Confidence Success58.62%High-confidence Top Picks

Core Markets

1X2 Hit Rate49.55%Match result hit rate
O/U 2.5 Hit Rate57.71%Over/under market hit rate
BTS Market Hit Rate56.81%Both-teams-to-score market hit rate
Over 2.5 Actual Rate51.36%Share of matches finishing over 2.5

Accuracy

1X2 Probability Accuracy0.6087Lower is better
Over 2.5 Probability Accuracy0.2426Lower is better
BTS Probability Accuracy0.2470Lower is better
BTS Actual Rate52.63%Share of matches with both teams scoring

Results Filters

Top Pick metrics for the current filtered historical examples.

Matches551Historical examples in scope
Top Pick Hit Rate56.26%Selected Top Pick rows
Top Pick Avg Probability63.06%Average selected pick probability
Confidence Success58.62%High-confidence Top Picks

Historical Examples

Recent Backtested Examples

Historical examples of the model's strongest selected angle for each match.

Showing 161-170 of 551 examples.

DateCompetitionMatchMarketPredictedActualResultConfidence
14-03-26Netherlands - EredivisiePSV Eindhoven vs Nijmegen1X2
Home79.51%
Away2-3
MISSHigh89/100
14-03-26Netherlands - EredivisieVolendam vs For SittardBTS
BTS Yes59.73%
BTS Yes1-2
HITLow41/100
14-03-26Scotland - Premier LeagueKilmarnock vs Hearts1X2
Away50.12%
Home1-0
MISSHigh77/100
14-03-26Scotland - Premier LeagueHibernian vs Livingston1X2
Home79.52%
Draw0-0
MISSHigh89/100
14-03-26Scotland - Premier LeagueCeltic vs Motherwell1X2
Home83.16%
Home3-1
HITHigh85/100
14-03-26Scotland - Premier LeagueAberdeen vs FalkirkO/U 2.5
Under 2.560.29%
Under 2.51-1
HITLow27/100
14-03-26Italy - Serie AUdinese vs Juventus1X2
Away60.86%
Away0-1
HITHigh80/100
14-03-26Italy - Serie ANapoli vs Lecce1X2
Home73.02%
Home2-1
HITHigh89/100
14-03-26Italy - Serie AInter vs AtalantaO/U 2.5
Over 2.568.08%
Under 2.51-1
MISSHigh84/100
14-03-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1Trabzonspor vs Rizespor1X2
Home75.50%
Home1-0
HITHigh87/100
14-03-26Netherlands - Eredivisie

PSV Eindhoven vs Nijmegen

1X2
PredictedHome79.51%
ActualAway2-3
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh89/100
14-03-26Netherlands - Eredivisie

Volendam vs For Sittard

BTS
PredictedBTS Yes59.73%
ActualBTS Yes1-2
ResultHIT
ConfidenceLow41/100
14-03-26Scotland - Premier League

Kilmarnock vs Hearts

1X2
PredictedAway50.12%
ActualHome1-0
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh77/100
14-03-26Scotland - Premier League

Hibernian vs Livingston

1X2
PredictedHome79.52%
ActualDraw0-0
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh89/100
14-03-26Scotland - Premier League

Celtic vs Motherwell

1X2
PredictedHome83.16%
ActualHome3-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh85/100
14-03-26Scotland - Premier League

Aberdeen vs Falkirk

O/U 2.5
PredictedUnder 2.560.29%
ActualUnder 2.51-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceLow27/100
14-03-26Italy - Serie A

Udinese vs Juventus

1X2
PredictedAway60.86%
ActualAway0-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh80/100
14-03-26Italy - Serie A

Napoli vs Lecce

1X2
PredictedHome73.02%
ActualHome2-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh89/100
14-03-26Italy - Serie A

Inter vs Atalanta

O/U 2.5
PredictedOver 2.568.08%
ActualUnder 2.51-1
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh84/100
14-03-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1

Trabzonspor vs Rizespor

1X2
PredictedHome75.50%
ActualHome1-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh87/100
Showing 161-170 of 551 examples
10 rows per page

Interpretation Guidance

Match probabilities describe estimated likelihood ranges, not fixed outcomes. Treat forecasts as context and combine them with your own match analysis.