MatchProb Analytics

MatchProb

Football match probabilities, team-form indicators, and scoring trend context in one structured dashboard.

Structured around probability, scoring conditions, and prior recorded results.

Pre-match probabilities Form and scoring context Backtested validation

Statistical Match Probabilities

Structured Home/Draw/Away, goal, and scoring-likelihood outputs with transparent presentation.

Team Form & Scoring Trends

Recent performance context is displayed alongside league goal environment indicators.

Historical Validation

Stored backtest examples and summary metrics keep the live view grounded in recorded model performance.

Clear Data-Driven Insights

A practical pre-match analytics workflow built for clarity and fast interpretation.

MatchProb Predictor

Select a competition and team pairing to generate a structured pre-match probability view with scoring context and recent performance cues.

Active Team PoolUnavailableSelect a league first
Teams AvailableUnavailableSelect a league first
Coverage ThroughUnavailableSelect a league first
Data RefreshedUnavailableSelect a league first

Historical performance

Results

Historical results across Top Pick and the main match markets.

Top Pick highlights the model's clearest supported angle in each historical example.

Use these results as a guide to how the model has performed across prior recorded forecasts. Probability Accuracy shows how closely forecast probabilities matched outcomes. Lower is better.

Top Pick

Top Pick Hit Rate56.26%Strongest supported match angle
Top Pick Avg Probability63.06%Average selected pick probability
Top Pick Probability Accuracy0.2425Lower is better
Confidence Success58.62%High-confidence Top Picks

Core Markets

1X2 Hit Rate49.55%Match result hit rate
O/U 2.5 Hit Rate57.71%Over/under market hit rate
BTS Market Hit Rate56.81%Both-teams-to-score market hit rate
Over 2.5 Actual Rate51.36%Share of matches finishing over 2.5

Accuracy

1X2 Probability Accuracy0.6087Lower is better
Over 2.5 Probability Accuracy0.2426Lower is better
BTS Probability Accuracy0.2470Lower is better
BTS Actual Rate52.63%Share of matches with both teams scoring

Results Filters

Top Pick metrics for the current filtered historical examples.

Matches551Historical examples in scope
Top Pick Hit Rate56.26%Selected Top Pick rows
Top Pick Avg Probability63.06%Average selected pick probability
Confidence Success58.62%High-confidence Top Picks

Historical Examples

Recent Backtested Examples

Historical examples of the model's strongest selected angle for each match.

Showing 151-160 of 551 examples.

DateCompetitionMatchMarketPredictedActualResultConfidence
15-03-26England - Premier LeagueCrystal Palace vs Leeds1X2
Home54.18%
Draw0-0
MISSHigh76/100
14-03-26Spain - La Liga Primera DivisionReal Madrid vs Elche1X2
Home93.98%
Home4-1
HITHigh91/100
14-03-26Spain - La Liga Primera DivisionOviedo vs ValenciaO/U 2.5
Under 2.577.27%
Under 2.51-0
HITMedium54/100
14-03-26Spain - La Liga Primera DivisionAth Madrid vs Getafe1X2
Home75.58%
Home1-0
HITHigh87/100
14-03-26Spain - La Liga Primera DivisionGirona vs Ath BilbaoBTS
BTS Yes54.87%
BTS No3-0
MISSMedium48/100
14-03-26Portugal - Liga IArouca vs Benfica1X2
Away87.33%
Away1-2
HITHigh91/100
14-03-26Portugal - Liga IGil Vicente vs Alverca1X2
Home58.33%
Draw2-2
MISSHigh79/100
14-03-26Portugal - Liga IGuimaraes vs Famalicao1X2
Home47.95%
Away1-2
MISSMedium69/100
14-03-26Netherlands - EredivisieAjax vs Sparta Rotterdam1X2
Home66.84%
Home4-0
HITHigh83/100
14-03-26Netherlands - EredivisieHeerenveen vs TelstarBTS
BTS Yes58.18%
BTS No3-0
MISSLow43/100
15-03-26England - Premier League

Crystal Palace vs Leeds

1X2
PredictedHome54.18%
ActualDraw0-0
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh76/100
14-03-26Spain - La Liga Primera Division

Real Madrid vs Elche

1X2
PredictedHome93.98%
ActualHome4-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh91/100
14-03-26Spain - La Liga Primera Division

Oviedo vs Valencia

O/U 2.5
PredictedUnder 2.577.27%
ActualUnder 2.51-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceMedium54/100
14-03-26Spain - La Liga Primera Division

Ath Madrid vs Getafe

1X2
PredictedHome75.58%
ActualHome1-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh87/100
14-03-26Spain - La Liga Primera Division

Girona vs Ath Bilbao

BTS
PredictedBTS Yes54.87%
ActualBTS No3-0
ResultMISS
ConfidenceMedium48/100
14-03-26Portugal - Liga I

Arouca vs Benfica

1X2
PredictedAway87.33%
ActualAway1-2
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh91/100
14-03-26Portugal - Liga I

Gil Vicente vs Alverca

1X2
PredictedHome58.33%
ActualDraw2-2
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh79/100
14-03-26Portugal - Liga I

Guimaraes vs Famalicao

1X2
PredictedHome47.95%
ActualAway1-2
ResultMISS
ConfidenceMedium69/100
14-03-26Netherlands - Eredivisie

Ajax vs Sparta Rotterdam

1X2
PredictedHome66.84%
ActualHome4-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh83/100
14-03-26Netherlands - Eredivisie

Heerenveen vs Telstar

BTS
PredictedBTS Yes58.18%
ActualBTS No3-0
ResultMISS
ConfidenceLow43/100
Showing 151-160 of 551 examples
10 rows per page

Interpretation Guidance

Match probabilities describe estimated likelihood ranges, not fixed outcomes. Treat forecasts as context and combine them with your own match analysis.