MatchProb Analytics

MatchProb

Football match probabilities, team-form indicators, and scoring trend context in one structured dashboard.

Structured around probability, scoring conditions, and prior recorded results.

Pre-match probabilities Form and scoring context Backtested validation

Statistical Match Probabilities

Structured Home/Draw/Away, goal, and scoring-likelihood outputs with transparent presentation.

Team Form & Scoring Trends

Recent performance context is displayed alongside league goal environment indicators.

Historical Validation

Stored backtest examples and summary metrics keep the live view grounded in recorded model performance.

Clear Data-Driven Insights

A practical pre-match analytics workflow built for clarity and fast interpretation.

MatchProb Predictor

Select a competition and team pairing to generate a structured pre-match probability view with scoring context and recent performance cues.

Active Team PoolUnavailableSelect a league first
Teams AvailableUnavailableSelect a league first
Coverage ThroughUnavailableSelect a league first
Data RefreshedUnavailableSelect a league first

Historical performance

Results

Historical results across Top Pick and the main match markets.

Top Pick highlights the model's clearest supported angle in each historical example.

Use these results as a guide to how the model has performed across prior recorded forecasts. Probability Accuracy shows how closely forecast probabilities matched outcomes. Lower is better.

Top Pick

Top Pick Hit Rate56.26%Strongest supported match angle
Top Pick Avg Probability63.06%Average selected pick probability
Top Pick Probability Accuracy0.2425Lower is better
Confidence Success58.62%High-confidence Top Picks

Core Markets

1X2 Hit Rate49.55%Match result hit rate
O/U 2.5 Hit Rate57.71%Over/under market hit rate
BTS Market Hit Rate56.81%Both-teams-to-score market hit rate
Over 2.5 Actual Rate51.36%Share of matches finishing over 2.5

Accuracy

1X2 Probability Accuracy0.6087Lower is better
Over 2.5 Probability Accuracy0.2426Lower is better
BTS Probability Accuracy0.2470Lower is better
BTS Actual Rate52.63%Share of matches with both teams scoring

Results Filters

Top Pick metrics for the current filtered historical examples.

Matches551Historical examples in scope
Top Pick Hit Rate56.26%Selected Top Pick rows
Top Pick Avg Probability63.06%Average selected pick probability
Confidence Success58.62%High-confidence Top Picks

Historical Examples

Recent Backtested Examples

Historical examples of the model's strongest selected angle for each match.

Showing 141-150 of 551 examples.

DateCompetitionMatchMarketPredictedActualResultConfidence
15-03-26Germany - Bundesliga 1Stuttgart vs RB LeipzigO/U 2.5
Over 2.566.69%
Under 2.51-0
MISSMedium60/100
15-03-26Germany - Bundesliga 1Freiburg vs Union Berlin1X2
Home57.56%
Away0-1
MISSHigh81/100
15-03-26Germany - Bundesliga 1Werder Bremen vs MainzBTS
BTS Yes56.58%
BTS No0-2
MISSLow25/100
15-03-26France - Ligue 1Rennes vs Lille1X2
Home52.56%
Away1-2
MISSHigh79/100
15-03-26France - Ligue 1Metz vs Toulouse1X2
Away57.99%
Away3-4
HITHigh79/100
15-03-26France - Ligue 1Le Havre vs Lyon1X2
Away60.31%
Draw0-0
MISSHigh82/100
15-03-26France - Ligue 1Strasbourg vs Paris FC1X2
Home54.45%
Draw0-0
MISSHigh78/100
15-03-26England - Premier LeagueLiverpool vs Tottenham1X2
Home75.81%
Draw1-1
MISSHigh88/100
15-03-26England - Premier LeagueNott'm Forest vs Fulham1X2
Draw44.11%
Draw0-0
HITMedium56/100
15-03-26England - Premier LeagueMan United vs Aston Villa1X2
Home51.99%
Home3-1
HITHigh72/100
15-03-26Germany - Bundesliga 1

Stuttgart vs RB Leipzig

O/U 2.5
PredictedOver 2.566.69%
ActualUnder 2.51-0
ResultMISS
ConfidenceMedium60/100
15-03-26Germany - Bundesliga 1

Freiburg vs Union Berlin

1X2
PredictedHome57.56%
ActualAway0-1
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh81/100
15-03-26Germany - Bundesliga 1

Werder Bremen vs Mainz

BTS
PredictedBTS Yes56.58%
ActualBTS No0-2
ResultMISS
ConfidenceLow25/100
15-03-26France - Ligue 1

Rennes vs Lille

1X2
PredictedHome52.56%
ActualAway1-2
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh79/100
15-03-26France - Ligue 1

Metz vs Toulouse

1X2
PredictedAway57.99%
ActualAway3-4
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh79/100
15-03-26France - Ligue 1

Le Havre vs Lyon

1X2
PredictedAway60.31%
ActualDraw0-0
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh82/100
15-03-26France - Ligue 1

Strasbourg vs Paris FC

1X2
PredictedHome54.45%
ActualDraw0-0
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh78/100
15-03-26England - Premier League

Liverpool vs Tottenham

1X2
PredictedHome75.81%
ActualDraw1-1
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh88/100
15-03-26England - Premier League

Nott'm Forest vs Fulham

1X2
PredictedDraw44.11%
ActualDraw0-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceMedium56/100
15-03-26England - Premier League

Man United vs Aston Villa

1X2
PredictedHome51.99%
ActualHome3-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh72/100
Showing 141-150 of 551 examples
10 rows per page

Interpretation Guidance

Match probabilities describe estimated likelihood ranges, not fixed outcomes. Treat forecasts as context and combine them with your own match analysis.