MatchProb Analytics

MatchProb

Football match probabilities, team-form indicators, and scoring trend context in one structured dashboard.

Structured around probability, scoring conditions, and prior recorded results.

Pre-match probabilities Form and scoring context Backtested validation

Statistical Match Probabilities

Structured Home/Draw/Away, goal, and scoring-likelihood outputs with transparent presentation.

Team Form & Scoring Trends

Recent performance context is displayed alongside league goal environment indicators.

Historical Validation

Stored backtest examples and summary metrics keep the live view grounded in recorded model performance.

Clear Data-Driven Insights

A practical pre-match analytics workflow built for clarity and fast interpretation.

MatchProb Predictor

Select a competition and team pairing to generate a structured pre-match probability view with scoring context and recent performance cues.

Active Team PoolUnavailableSelect a league first
Teams AvailableUnavailableSelect a league first
Coverage ThroughUnavailableSelect a league first
Data RefreshedUnavailableSelect a league first

Historical performance

Results

Historical results across Top Pick and the main match markets.

Top Pick highlights the model's clearest supported angle in each historical example.

Use these results as a guide to how the model has performed across prior recorded forecasts. Probability Accuracy shows how closely forecast probabilities matched outcomes. Lower is better.

Top Pick

Top Pick Hit Rate56.26%Strongest supported match angle
Top Pick Avg Probability63.06%Average selected pick probability
Top Pick Probability Accuracy0.2425Lower is better
Confidence Success58.62%High-confidence Top Picks

Core Markets

1X2 Hit Rate49.55%Match result hit rate
O/U 2.5 Hit Rate57.71%Over/under market hit rate
BTS Market Hit Rate56.81%Both-teams-to-score market hit rate
Over 2.5 Actual Rate51.36%Share of matches finishing over 2.5

Accuracy

1X2 Probability Accuracy0.6087Lower is better
Over 2.5 Probability Accuracy0.2426Lower is better
BTS Probability Accuracy0.2470Lower is better
BTS Actual Rate52.63%Share of matches with both teams scoring

Results Filters

Top Pick metrics for the current filtered historical examples.

Matches551Historical examples in scope
Top Pick Hit Rate56.26%Selected Top Pick rows
Top Pick Avg Probability63.06%Average selected pick probability
Confidence Success58.62%High-confidence Top Picks

Historical Examples

Recent Backtested Examples

Historical examples of the model's strongest selected angle for each match.

Showing 131-140 of 551 examples.

DateCompetitionMatchMarketPredictedActualResultConfidence
15-03-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1Genclerbirligi vs Beşiktaş1X2
Away56.76%
Away0-2
HITHigh79/100
15-03-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1Kasimpasa vs EyupsporO/U 2.5
Under 2.560.60%
Under 2.51-0
HITLow15/100
15-03-26Greece - Ethniki KatigoriaPanathinaikos vs Panetolikos1X2
Home75.58%
Draw0-0
MISSHigh89/100
15-03-26Greece - Ethniki KatigoriaAtromitos vs AEK1X2
Away69.79%
Draw2-2
MISSHigh87/100
15-03-26Greece - Ethniki KatigoriaPAOK vs Levadeiakos1X2
Home76.12%
Home3-0
HITHigh85/100
15-03-26Greece - Ethniki KatigoriaKifisia vs Volos NFCBTS
BTS Yes51.94%
BTS No2-0
MISSLow20/100
15-03-26Belgium - Jupiler LeagueCercle Brugge vs RAAL La Louviere1X2
Draw44.52%
Away1-3
MISSMedium48/100
15-03-26Belgium - Jupiler LeagueMechelen vs AnderlechtBTS
BTS Yes57.08%
BTS No1-0
MISSLow16/100
15-03-26Belgium - Jupiler LeagueAntwerp vs Standard1X2
Home53.72%
Draw1-1
MISSHigh75/100
15-03-26Belgium - Jupiler LeagueGenk vs St TruidenO/U 2.5
Over 2.563.19%
Under 2.51-0
MISSHigh75/100
15-03-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1

Genclerbirligi vs Beşiktaş

1X2
PredictedAway56.76%
ActualAway0-2
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh79/100
15-03-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1

Kasimpasa vs Eyupspor

O/U 2.5
PredictedUnder 2.560.60%
ActualUnder 2.51-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceLow15/100
15-03-26Greece - Ethniki Katigoria

Panathinaikos vs Panetolikos

1X2
PredictedHome75.58%
ActualDraw0-0
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh89/100
15-03-26Greece - Ethniki Katigoria

Atromitos vs AEK

1X2
PredictedAway69.79%
ActualDraw2-2
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh87/100
15-03-26Greece - Ethniki Katigoria

PAOK vs Levadeiakos

1X2
PredictedHome76.12%
ActualHome3-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh85/100
15-03-26Greece - Ethniki Katigoria

Kifisia vs Volos NFC

BTS
PredictedBTS Yes51.94%
ActualBTS No2-0
ResultMISS
ConfidenceLow20/100
15-03-26Belgium - Jupiler League

Cercle Brugge vs RAAL La Louviere

1X2
PredictedDraw44.52%
ActualAway1-3
ResultMISS
ConfidenceMedium48/100
15-03-26Belgium - Jupiler League

Mechelen vs Anderlecht

BTS
PredictedBTS Yes57.08%
ActualBTS No1-0
ResultMISS
ConfidenceLow16/100
15-03-26Belgium - Jupiler League

Antwerp vs Standard

1X2
PredictedHome53.72%
ActualDraw1-1
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh75/100
15-03-26Belgium - Jupiler League

Genk vs St Truiden

O/U 2.5
PredictedOver 2.563.19%
ActualUnder 2.51-0
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh75/100
Showing 131-140 of 551 examples
10 rows per page

Interpretation Guidance

Match probabilities describe estimated likelihood ranges, not fixed outcomes. Treat forecasts as context and combine them with your own match analysis.