MatchProb Analytics

MatchProb

Football match probabilities, team-form indicators, and scoring trend context in one structured dashboard.

Structured around probability, scoring conditions, and prior recorded results.

Pre-match probabilities Form and scoring context Backtested validation

Statistical Match Probabilities

Structured Home/Draw/Away, goal, and scoring-likelihood outputs with transparent presentation.

Team Form & Scoring Trends

Recent performance context is displayed alongside league goal environment indicators.

Historical Validation

Stored backtest examples and summary metrics keep the live view grounded in recorded model performance.

Clear Data-Driven Insights

A practical pre-match analytics workflow built for clarity and fast interpretation.

MatchProb Predictor

Select a competition and team pairing to generate a structured pre-match probability view with scoring context and recent performance cues.

Active Team PoolUnavailableSelect a league first
Teams AvailableUnavailableSelect a league first
Coverage ThroughUnavailableSelect a league first
Data RefreshedUnavailableSelect a league first

Historical performance

Results

Historical results across Top Pick and the main match markets.

Top Pick highlights the model's clearest supported angle in each historical example.

Use these results as a guide to how the model has performed across prior recorded forecasts. Probability Accuracy shows how closely forecast probabilities matched outcomes. Lower is better.

Top Pick

Top Pick Hit Rate53.47%Strongest supported match angle
Top Pick Avg Probability62.54%Average selected pick probability
Top Pick Probability Accuracy0.2465Lower is better
Confidence Success56.22%High-confidence Top Picks

Core Markets

1X2 Hit Rate48.94%Match result hit rate
O/U 2.5 Hit Rate54.98%Over/under market hit rate
BTS Market Hit Rate54.68%Both-teams-to-score market hit rate
Over 2.5 Actual Rate49.55%Share of matches finishing over 2.5

Accuracy

1X2 Probability Accuracy0.6124Lower is better
Over 2.5 Probability Accuracy0.2535Lower is better
BTS Probability Accuracy0.2513Lower is better
BTS Actual Rate51.66%Share of matches with both teams scoring

Results Filters

Top Pick metrics for the current filtered historical examples.

Matches331Historical examples in scope
Top Pick Hit Rate53.47%Selected Top Pick rows
Top Pick Avg Probability62.54%Average selected pick probability
Confidence Success56.22%High-confidence Top Picks

Historical Examples

Recent Backtested Examples

Historical examples of the model's strongest selected angle for each match.

Showing 131-140 of 331 examples.

DateCompetitionMatchMarketPredictedActualResultConfidence
22-03-26France - Ligue 1Rennes vs Metz1X2
Home89.95%
Draw0-0
MISSHigh91/100
22-03-26France - Ligue 1Paris FC vs Le HavreO/U 2.5
Under 2.559.66%
Over 2.53-2
MISSLow16/100
22-03-26France - Ligue 1Marseille vs Lille1X2
Home52.69%
Away1-2
MISSHigh79/100
22-03-26France - Ligue 1Lyon vs MonacoBTS
BTS Yes64.87%
BTS Yes1-2
HITLow23/100
22-03-26Netherlands - EredivisieTelstar vs PSV Eindhoven1X2
Away88.55%
Home3-1
MISSHigh92/100
22-03-26Netherlands - EredivisieGroningen vs AZ Alkmaar1X2
Away47.89%
Home3-0
MISSHigh70/100
22-03-26Netherlands - EredivisieUtrecht vs Go Ahead Eagles1X2
Home51.83%
Home2-0
HITHigh73/100
22-03-26Netherlands - EredivisieFeyenoord vs AjaxO/U 2.5
Over 2.575.72%
Under 2.51-1
MISSHigh82/100
22-03-26Netherlands - EredivisieNijmegen vs HeerenveenO/U 2.5
Over 2.572.99%
Over 2.52-2
HITHigh83/100
22-03-26England - Premier LeagueTottenham vs Nott'm ForestBTS
BTS Yes58.35%
BTS No0-3
MISSMedium52/100
22-03-26France - Ligue 1

Rennes vs Metz

1X2
PredictedHome89.95%
ActualDraw0-0
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh91/100
22-03-26France - Ligue 1

Paris FC vs Le Havre

O/U 2.5
PredictedUnder 2.559.66%
ActualOver 2.53-2
ResultMISS
ConfidenceLow16/100
22-03-26France - Ligue 1

Marseille vs Lille

1X2
PredictedHome52.69%
ActualAway1-2
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh79/100
22-03-26France - Ligue 1

Lyon vs Monaco

BTS
PredictedBTS Yes64.87%
ActualBTS Yes1-2
ResultHIT
ConfidenceLow23/100
22-03-26Netherlands - Eredivisie

Telstar vs PSV Eindhoven

1X2
PredictedAway88.55%
ActualHome3-1
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh92/100
22-03-26Netherlands - Eredivisie

Groningen vs AZ Alkmaar

1X2
PredictedAway47.89%
ActualHome3-0
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh70/100
22-03-26Netherlands - Eredivisie

Utrecht vs Go Ahead Eagles

1X2
PredictedHome51.83%
ActualHome2-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh73/100
22-03-26Netherlands - Eredivisie

Feyenoord vs Ajax

O/U 2.5
PredictedOver 2.575.72%
ActualUnder 2.51-1
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh82/100
22-03-26Netherlands - Eredivisie

Nijmegen vs Heerenveen

O/U 2.5
PredictedOver 2.572.99%
ActualOver 2.52-2
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh83/100
22-03-26England - Premier League

Tottenham vs Nott'm Forest

BTS
PredictedBTS Yes58.35%
ActualBTS No0-3
ResultMISS
ConfidenceMedium52/100
Showing 131-140 of 331 examples
10 rows per page

Interpretation Guidance

Match probabilities describe estimated likelihood ranges, not fixed outcomes. Treat forecasts as context and combine them with your own match analysis.