MatchProb Analytics

MatchProb

Football match probabilities, team-form indicators, and scoring trend context in one structured dashboard.

Structured around probability, scoring conditions, and prior recorded results.

Pre-match probabilities Form and scoring context Backtested validation

Statistical Match Probabilities

Structured Home/Draw/Away, goal, and scoring-likelihood outputs with transparent presentation.

Team Form & Scoring Trends

Recent performance context is displayed alongside league goal environment indicators.

Historical Validation

Stored backtest examples and summary metrics keep the live view grounded in recorded model performance.

Clear Data-Driven Insights

A practical pre-match analytics workflow built for clarity and fast interpretation.

MatchProb Predictor

Select a competition and team pairing to generate a structured pre-match probability view with scoring context and recent performance cues.

Active Team PoolUnavailableSelect a league first
Teams AvailableUnavailableSelect a league first
Coverage ThroughUnavailableSelect a league first
Data RefreshedUnavailableSelect a league first

Historical performance

Results

Historical results across Top Pick and the main match markets.

Top Pick highlights the model's clearest supported angle in each historical example.

Use these results as a guide to how the model has performed across prior recorded forecasts. Probability Accuracy shows how closely forecast probabilities matched outcomes. Lower is better.

Top Pick

Top Pick Hit Rate56.26%Strongest supported match angle
Top Pick Avg Probability63.06%Average selected pick probability
Top Pick Probability Accuracy0.2425Lower is better
Confidence Success58.62%High-confidence Top Picks

Core Markets

1X2 Hit Rate49.55%Match result hit rate
O/U 2.5 Hit Rate57.71%Over/under market hit rate
BTS Market Hit Rate56.81%Both-teams-to-score market hit rate
Over 2.5 Actual Rate51.36%Share of matches finishing over 2.5

Accuracy

1X2 Probability Accuracy0.6087Lower is better
Over 2.5 Probability Accuracy0.2426Lower is better
BTS Probability Accuracy0.2470Lower is better
BTS Actual Rate52.63%Share of matches with both teams scoring

Results Filters

Top Pick metrics for the current filtered historical examples.

Matches551Historical examples in scope
Top Pick Hit Rate56.26%Selected Top Pick rows
Top Pick Avg Probability63.06%Average selected pick probability
Confidence Success58.62%High-confidence Top Picks

Historical Examples

Recent Backtested Examples

Historical examples of the model's strongest selected angle for each match.

Showing 121-130 of 551 examples.

DateCompetitionMatchMarketPredictedActualResultConfidence
15-03-26Netherlands - EredivisieAZ Alkmaar vs Heracles1X2
Home82.95%
Home4-0
HITHigh88/100
15-03-26Netherlands - EredivisieTwente vs Utrecht1X2
Home58.68%
Away0-2
MISSHigh76/100
15-03-26Scotland - Premier LeagueDundee vs Dundee UnitedBTS
BTS Yes63.14%
BTS Yes2-2
HITLow16/100
15-03-26Scotland - Premier LeagueSt Mirren vs Rangers1X2
Away74.18%
Away0-1
HITHigh89/100
15-03-26Italy - Serie ALazio vs MilanBTS
BTS Yes58.36%
BTS No1-0
MISSHigh73/100
15-03-26Italy - Serie AComo vs Roma1X2
Home45.33%
Home2-1
HITMedium66/100
15-03-26Italy - Serie ASassuolo vs Bologna1X2
Away49.03%
Away0-1
HITHigh72/100
15-03-26Italy - Serie APisa vs CagliariO/U 2.5
Under 2.580.92%
Over 2.53-1
MISSMedium64/100
15-03-26Italy - Serie AVerona vs Genoa1X2
Away46.02%
Away0-2
HITMedium64/100
15-03-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1Samsunspor vs Kayserispor1X2
Home52.52%
Home2-1
HITHigh75/100
15-03-26Netherlands - Eredivisie

AZ Alkmaar vs Heracles

1X2
PredictedHome82.95%
ActualHome4-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh88/100
15-03-26Netherlands - Eredivisie

Twente vs Utrecht

1X2
PredictedHome58.68%
ActualAway0-2
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh76/100
15-03-26Scotland - Premier League

Dundee vs Dundee United

BTS
PredictedBTS Yes63.14%
ActualBTS Yes2-2
ResultHIT
ConfidenceLow16/100
15-03-26Scotland - Premier League

St Mirren vs Rangers

1X2
PredictedAway74.18%
ActualAway0-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh89/100
15-03-26Italy - Serie A

Lazio vs Milan

BTS
PredictedBTS Yes58.36%
ActualBTS No1-0
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh73/100
15-03-26Italy - Serie A

Como vs Roma

1X2
PredictedHome45.33%
ActualHome2-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceMedium66/100
15-03-26Italy - Serie A

Sassuolo vs Bologna

1X2
PredictedAway49.03%
ActualAway0-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh72/100
15-03-26Italy - Serie A

Pisa vs Cagliari

O/U 2.5
PredictedUnder 2.580.92%
ActualOver 2.53-1
ResultMISS
ConfidenceMedium64/100
15-03-26Italy - Serie A

Verona vs Genoa

1X2
PredictedAway46.02%
ActualAway0-2
ResultHIT
ConfidenceMedium64/100
15-03-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1

Samsunspor vs Kayserispor

1X2
PredictedHome52.52%
ActualHome2-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh75/100
Showing 121-130 of 551 examples
10 rows per page

Interpretation Guidance

Match probabilities describe estimated likelihood ranges, not fixed outcomes. Treat forecasts as context and combine them with your own match analysis.