MatchProb Analytics

MatchProb

Football match probabilities, team-form indicators, and scoring trend context in one structured dashboard.

Structured around probability, scoring conditions, and prior recorded results.

Pre-match probabilities Form and scoring context Backtested validation

Statistical Match Probabilities

Structured Home/Draw/Away, goal, and scoring-likelihood outputs with transparent presentation.

Team Form & Scoring Trends

Recent performance context is displayed alongside league goal environment indicators.

Historical Validation

Stored backtest examples and summary metrics keep the live view grounded in recorded model performance.

Clear Data-Driven Insights

A practical pre-match analytics workflow built for clarity and fast interpretation.

MatchProb Predictor

Select a competition and team pairing to generate a structured pre-match probability view with scoring context and recent performance cues.

Active Team PoolUnavailableSelect a league first
Teams AvailableUnavailableSelect a league first
Coverage ThroughUnavailableSelect a league first
Data RefreshedUnavailableSelect a league first

Historical performance

Results

Historical results across Top Pick and the main match markets.

Top Pick highlights the model's clearest supported angle in each historical example.

Use these results as a guide to how the model has performed across prior recorded forecasts. Probability Accuracy shows how closely forecast probabilities matched outcomes. Lower is better.

Top Pick

Top Pick Hit Rate53.47%Strongest supported match angle
Top Pick Avg Probability62.54%Average selected pick probability
Top Pick Probability Accuracy0.2465Lower is better
Confidence Success56.22%High-confidence Top Picks

Core Markets

1X2 Hit Rate48.94%Match result hit rate
O/U 2.5 Hit Rate54.98%Over/under market hit rate
BTS Market Hit Rate54.68%Both-teams-to-score market hit rate
Over 2.5 Actual Rate49.55%Share of matches finishing over 2.5

Accuracy

1X2 Probability Accuracy0.6124Lower is better
Over 2.5 Probability Accuracy0.2535Lower is better
BTS Probability Accuracy0.2513Lower is better
BTS Actual Rate51.66%Share of matches with both teams scoring

Results Filters

Top Pick metrics for the current filtered historical examples.

Matches331Historical examples in scope
Top Pick Hit Rate53.47%Selected Top Pick rows
Top Pick Avg Probability62.54%Average selected pick probability
Confidence Success56.22%High-confidence Top Picks

Historical Examples

Recent Backtested Examples

Historical examples of the model's strongest selected angle for each match.

Showing 121-130 of 331 examples.

DateCompetitionMatchMarketPredictedActualResultConfidence
22-03-26Scotland - Premier LeagueDundee United vs Celtic1X2
Away86.40%
Home2-0
MISSHigh89/100
22-03-26Belgium - Jupiler LeagueWaregem vs CharleroiBTS
BTS Yes58.40%
BTS No1-0
MISSMedium68/100
22-03-26Belgium - Jupiler LeagueStandard vs Westerlo1X2
Draw44.30%
Draw0-0
HITMedium48/100
22-03-26Belgium - Jupiler LeagueSt Truiden vs St. Gilloise1X2
Away56.58%
Away1-3
HITHigh75/100
22-03-26Belgium - Jupiler LeagueRAAL La Louviere vs GenkBTS
BTS No61.04%
BTS Yes5-5
MISSMedium46/100
22-03-26Belgium - Jupiler LeagueOud-Heverlee Leuven vs AntwerpO/U 2.5
Under 2.571.42%
Under 2.51-0
HITMedium54/100
22-03-26Belgium - Jupiler LeagueDender vs Gent1X2
Away52.74%
Away1-3
HITHigh77/100
22-03-26Belgium - Jupiler LeagueClub Brugge vs Mechelen1X2
Home78.61%
Home4-1
HITHigh86/100
22-03-26Belgium - Jupiler LeagueAnderlecht vs Cercle Brugge1X2
Home61.52%
Away2-3
MISSHigh80/100
22-03-26France - Ligue 1Nantes vs Strasbourg1X2
Away52.61%
Away2-3
HITHigh80/100
22-03-26Scotland - Premier League

Dundee United vs Celtic

1X2
PredictedAway86.40%
ActualHome2-0
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh89/100
22-03-26Belgium - Jupiler League

Waregem vs Charleroi

BTS
PredictedBTS Yes58.40%
ActualBTS No1-0
ResultMISS
ConfidenceMedium68/100
22-03-26Belgium - Jupiler League

Standard vs Westerlo

1X2
PredictedDraw44.30%
ActualDraw0-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceMedium48/100
22-03-26Belgium - Jupiler League

St Truiden vs St. Gilloise

1X2
PredictedAway56.58%
ActualAway1-3
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh75/100
22-03-26Belgium - Jupiler League

RAAL La Louviere vs Genk

BTS
PredictedBTS No61.04%
ActualBTS Yes5-5
ResultMISS
ConfidenceMedium46/100
22-03-26Belgium - Jupiler League

Oud-Heverlee Leuven vs Antwerp

O/U 2.5
PredictedUnder 2.571.42%
ActualUnder 2.51-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceMedium54/100
22-03-26Belgium - Jupiler League

Dender vs Gent

1X2
PredictedAway52.74%
ActualAway1-3
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh77/100
22-03-26Belgium - Jupiler League

Club Brugge vs Mechelen

1X2
PredictedHome78.61%
ActualHome4-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh86/100
22-03-26Belgium - Jupiler League

Anderlecht vs Cercle Brugge

1X2
PredictedHome61.52%
ActualAway2-3
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh80/100
22-03-26France - Ligue 1

Nantes vs Strasbourg

1X2
PredictedAway52.61%
ActualAway2-3
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh80/100
Showing 121-130 of 331 examples
10 rows per page

Interpretation Guidance

Match probabilities describe estimated likelihood ranges, not fixed outcomes. Treat forecasts as context and combine them with your own match analysis.