MatchProb Analytics

MatchProb

Football match probabilities, team-form indicators, and scoring trend context in one structured dashboard.

Structured around probability, scoring conditions, and prior recorded results.

Pre-match probabilities Form and scoring context Backtested validation

Statistical Match Probabilities

Structured Home/Draw/Away, goal, and scoring-likelihood outputs with transparent presentation.

Team Form & Scoring Trends

Recent performance context is displayed alongside league goal environment indicators.

Historical Validation

Stored backtest examples and summary metrics keep the live view grounded in recorded model performance.

Clear Data-Driven Insights

A practical pre-match analytics workflow built for clarity and fast interpretation.

MatchProb Predictor

Select a competition and team pairing to generate a structured pre-match probability view with scoring context and recent performance cues.

Active Team PoolUnavailableSelect a league first
Teams AvailableUnavailableSelect a league first
Coverage ThroughUnavailableSelect a league first
Data RefreshedUnavailableSelect a league first

Historical performance

Results

Historical results across Top Pick and the main match markets.

Top Pick highlights the model's clearest supported angle in each historical example.

Use these results as a guide to how the model has performed across prior recorded forecasts. Probability Accuracy shows how closely forecast probabilities matched outcomes. Lower is better.

Top Pick

Top Pick Hit Rate56.26%Strongest supported match angle
Top Pick Avg Probability63.06%Average selected pick probability
Top Pick Probability Accuracy0.2425Lower is better
Confidence Success58.62%High-confidence Top Picks

Core Markets

1X2 Hit Rate49.55%Match result hit rate
O/U 2.5 Hit Rate57.71%Over/under market hit rate
BTS Market Hit Rate56.81%Both-teams-to-score market hit rate
Over 2.5 Actual Rate51.36%Share of matches finishing over 2.5

Accuracy

1X2 Probability Accuracy0.6087Lower is better
Over 2.5 Probability Accuracy0.2426Lower is better
BTS Probability Accuracy0.2470Lower is better
BTS Actual Rate52.63%Share of matches with both teams scoring

Results Filters

Top Pick metrics for the current filtered historical examples.

Matches551Historical examples in scope
Top Pick Hit Rate56.26%Selected Top Pick rows
Top Pick Avg Probability63.06%Average selected pick probability
Confidence Success58.62%High-confidence Top Picks

Historical Examples

Recent Backtested Examples

Historical examples of the model's strongest selected angle for each match.

Showing 111-120 of 551 examples.

DateCompetitionMatchMarketPredictedActualResultConfidence
15-03-26Spain - La Liga Primera DivisionSociedad vs OsasunaBTS
BTS No60.86%
BTS Yes3-1
MISSMedium63/100
15-03-26Spain - La Liga Primera DivisionBetis vs Celta1X2
Home48.28%
Draw1-1
MISSHigh76/100
15-03-26Spain - La Liga Primera DivisionBarcelona vs Sevilla1X2
Home87.87%
Home5-2
HITHigh91/100
15-03-26Spain - La Liga Primera DivisionMallorca vs EspanolO/U 2.5
Under 2.566.41%
Over 2.52-1
MISSLow22/100
15-03-26Portugal - Liga IPorto vs Moreirense1X2
Home83.62%
Home3-0
HITHigh89/100
15-03-26Portugal - Liga IRio Ave vs EstrelaBTS
BTS No63.02%
BTS Yes2-1
MISSMedium68/100
15-03-26Portugal - Liga INacional vs EstorilBTS
BTS Yes62.77%
BTS No0-1
MISSLow25/100
15-03-26Portugal - Liga IAVS vs Santa ClaraBTS
BTS No64.40%
BTS No0-1
HITMedium55/100
15-03-26Netherlands - EredivisieGo Ahead Eagles vs NAC Breda1X2
Home62.36%
Home6-0
HITHigh79/100
15-03-26Netherlands - EredivisieFeyenoord vs Excelsior1X2
Home92.76%
Home2-1
HITHigh91/100
15-03-26Spain - La Liga Primera Division

Sociedad vs Osasuna

BTS
PredictedBTS No60.86%
ActualBTS Yes3-1
ResultMISS
ConfidenceMedium63/100
15-03-26Spain - La Liga Primera Division

Betis vs Celta

1X2
PredictedHome48.28%
ActualDraw1-1
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh76/100
15-03-26Spain - La Liga Primera Division

Barcelona vs Sevilla

1X2
PredictedHome87.87%
ActualHome5-2
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh91/100
15-03-26Spain - La Liga Primera Division

Mallorca vs Espanol

O/U 2.5
PredictedUnder 2.566.41%
ActualOver 2.52-1
ResultMISS
ConfidenceLow22/100
15-03-26Portugal - Liga I

Porto vs Moreirense

1X2
PredictedHome83.62%
ActualHome3-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh89/100
15-03-26Portugal - Liga I

Rio Ave vs Estrela

BTS
PredictedBTS No63.02%
ActualBTS Yes2-1
ResultMISS
ConfidenceMedium68/100
15-03-26Portugal - Liga I

Nacional vs Estoril

BTS
PredictedBTS Yes62.77%
ActualBTS No0-1
ResultMISS
ConfidenceLow25/100
15-03-26Portugal - Liga I

AVS vs Santa Clara

BTS
PredictedBTS No64.40%
ActualBTS No0-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceMedium55/100
15-03-26Netherlands - Eredivisie

Go Ahead Eagles vs NAC Breda

1X2
PredictedHome62.36%
ActualHome6-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh79/100
15-03-26Netherlands - Eredivisie

Feyenoord vs Excelsior

1X2
PredictedHome92.76%
ActualHome2-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh91/100
Showing 111-120 of 551 examples
10 rows per page

Interpretation Guidance

Match probabilities describe estimated likelihood ranges, not fixed outcomes. Treat forecasts as context and combine them with your own match analysis.