MatchProb Analytics

MatchProb

Football match probabilities, team-form indicators, and scoring trend context in one structured dashboard.

Structured around probability, scoring conditions, and prior recorded results.

Pre-match probabilities Form and scoring context Backtested validation

Statistical Match Probabilities

Structured Home/Draw/Away, goal, and scoring-likelihood outputs with transparent presentation.

Team Form & Scoring Trends

Recent performance context is displayed alongside league goal environment indicators.

Historical Validation

Stored backtest examples and summary metrics keep the live view grounded in recorded model performance.

Clear Data-Driven Insights

A practical pre-match analytics workflow built for clarity and fast interpretation.

MatchProb Predictor

Select a competition and team pairing to generate a structured pre-match probability view with scoring context and recent performance cues.

Active Team PoolUnavailableSelect a league first
Teams AvailableUnavailableSelect a league first
Coverage ThroughUnavailableSelect a league first
Data RefreshedUnavailableSelect a league first

Historical performance

Results

Historical results across Top Pick and the main match markets.

Top Pick highlights the model's clearest supported angle in each historical example.

Use these results as a guide to how the model has performed across prior recorded forecasts. Probability Accuracy shows how closely forecast probabilities matched outcomes. Lower is better.

Top Pick

Top Pick Hit Rate56.26%Strongest supported match angle
Top Pick Avg Probability63.06%Average selected pick probability
Top Pick Probability Accuracy0.2425Lower is better
Confidence Success58.62%High-confidence Top Picks

Core Markets

1X2 Hit Rate49.55%Match result hit rate
O/U 2.5 Hit Rate57.71%Over/under market hit rate
BTS Market Hit Rate56.81%Both-teams-to-score market hit rate
Over 2.5 Actual Rate51.36%Share of matches finishing over 2.5

Accuracy

1X2 Probability Accuracy0.6087Lower is better
Over 2.5 Probability Accuracy0.2426Lower is better
BTS Probability Accuracy0.2470Lower is better
BTS Actual Rate52.63%Share of matches with both teams scoring

Results Filters

Top Pick metrics for the current filtered historical examples.

Matches551Historical examples in scope
Top Pick Hit Rate56.26%Selected Top Pick rows
Top Pick Avg Probability63.06%Average selected pick probability
Confidence Success58.62%High-confidence Top Picks

Historical Examples

Recent Backtested Examples

Historical examples of the model's strongest selected angle for each match.

Showing 101-110 of 551 examples.

DateCompetitionMatchMarketPredictedActualResultConfidence
18-03-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1Eyupspor vs Trabzonspor1X2
Away62.92%
Away0-1
HITHigh86/100
18-03-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1Buyuksehyr vs Antalyaspor1X2
Home68.58%
Draw0-0
MISSHigh85/100
18-03-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1Alanyaspor vs KocaelisporO/U 2.5
Under 2.566.97%
Over 2.55-0
MISSLow27/100
18-03-26England - ChampionshipSouthampton vs NorwichO/U 2.5
Over 2.567.51%
Under 2.51-0
MISSHigh77/100
17-03-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1Fenerbahçe vs Gaziantep1X2
Home85.36%
Home4-1
HITHigh90/100
17-03-26England - ChampionshipWatford vs Wrexham1X2
Away42.92%
Home3-1
MISSMedium52/100
16-03-26Spain - La Liga Primera DivisionVallecano vs Levante1X2
Home52.26%
Draw1-1
MISSHigh76/100
16-03-26Italy - Serie ACremonese vs Fiorentina1X2
Away51.97%
Away1-4
HITHigh74/100
16-03-26England - Premier LeagueBrentford vs Wolves1X2
Home58.69%
Draw2-2
MISSHigh84/100
16-03-26England - ChampionshipPortsmouth vs DerbyO/U 2.5
Under 2.559.30%
Under 2.50-1
HITMedium47/100
18-03-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1

Eyupspor vs Trabzonspor

1X2
PredictedAway62.92%
ActualAway0-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh86/100
18-03-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1

Buyuksehyr vs Antalyaspor

1X2
PredictedHome68.58%
ActualDraw0-0
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh85/100
18-03-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1

Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor

O/U 2.5
PredictedUnder 2.566.97%
ActualOver 2.55-0
ResultMISS
ConfidenceLow27/100
18-03-26England - Championship

Southampton vs Norwich

O/U 2.5
PredictedOver 2.567.51%
ActualUnder 2.51-0
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh77/100
17-03-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1

Fenerbahçe vs Gaziantep

1X2
PredictedHome85.36%
ActualHome4-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh90/100
17-03-26England - Championship

Watford vs Wrexham

1X2
PredictedAway42.92%
ActualHome3-1
ResultMISS
ConfidenceMedium52/100
16-03-26Spain - La Liga Primera Division

Vallecano vs Levante

1X2
PredictedHome52.26%
ActualDraw1-1
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh76/100
16-03-26Italy - Serie A

Cremonese vs Fiorentina

1X2
PredictedAway51.97%
ActualAway1-4
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh74/100
16-03-26England - Premier League

Brentford vs Wolves

1X2
PredictedHome58.69%
ActualDraw2-2
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh84/100
16-03-26England - Championship

Portsmouth vs Derby

O/U 2.5
PredictedUnder 2.559.30%
ActualUnder 2.50-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceMedium47/100
Showing 101-110 of 551 examples
10 rows per page

Interpretation Guidance

Match probabilities describe estimated likelihood ranges, not fixed outcomes. Treat forecasts as context and combine them with your own match analysis.