MatchProb Analytics

MatchProb

Football match probabilities, team-form indicators, and scoring trend context in one structured dashboard.

Structured around probability, scoring conditions, and prior recorded results.

Pre-match probabilities Form and scoring context Backtested validation

Statistical Match Probabilities

Structured Home/Draw/Away, goal, and scoring-likelihood outputs with transparent presentation.

Team Form & Scoring Trends

Recent performance context is displayed alongside league goal environment indicators.

Historical Validation

Stored backtest examples and summary metrics keep the live view grounded in recorded model performance.

Clear Data-Driven Insights

A practical pre-match analytics workflow built for clarity and fast interpretation.

MatchProb Predictor

Select a competition and team pairing to generate a structured pre-match probability view with scoring context and recent performance cues.

Active Team PoolUnavailableSelect a league first
Teams AvailableUnavailableSelect a league first
Coverage ThroughUnavailableSelect a league first
Data RefreshedUnavailableSelect a league first

Historical performance

Results

Historical results across Top Pick and the main match markets.

Top Pick highlights the model's clearest supported angle in each historical example.

Use these results as a guide to how the model has performed across prior recorded forecasts. Probability Accuracy shows how closely forecast probabilities matched outcomes. Lower is better.

Top Pick

Top Pick Hit Rate53.47%Strongest supported match angle
Top Pick Avg Probability62.54%Average selected pick probability
Top Pick Probability Accuracy0.2465Lower is better
Confidence Success56.22%High-confidence Top Picks

Core Markets

1X2 Hit Rate48.94%Match result hit rate
O/U 2.5 Hit Rate54.98%Over/under market hit rate
BTS Market Hit Rate54.68%Both-teams-to-score market hit rate
Over 2.5 Actual Rate49.55%Share of matches finishing over 2.5

Accuracy

1X2 Probability Accuracy0.6124Lower is better
Over 2.5 Probability Accuracy0.2535Lower is better
BTS Probability Accuracy0.2513Lower is better
BTS Actual Rate51.66%Share of matches with both teams scoring

Results Filters

Top Pick metrics for the current filtered historical examples.

Matches331Historical examples in scope
Top Pick Hit Rate53.47%Selected Top Pick rows
Top Pick Avg Probability62.54%Average selected pick probability
Confidence Success56.22%High-confidence Top Picks

Historical Examples

Recent Backtested Examples

Historical examples of the model's strongest selected angle for each match.

Showing 301-310 of 331 examples.

DateCompetitionMatchMarketPredictedActualResultConfidence
14-03-26England - Premier LeagueSunderland vs Brighton1X2
Home41.72%
Away0-1
MISSLow43/100
14-03-26England - Premier LeagueBurnley vs Bournemouth1X2
Away59.94%
Draw0-0
MISSHigh81/100
14-03-26Spain - La Liga Primera DivisionReal Madrid vs Elche1X2
Home93.98%
Home4-1
HITHigh91/100
14-03-26Spain - La Liga Primera DivisionOviedo vs ValenciaO/U 2.5
Under 2.577.27%
Under 2.51-0
HITMedium54/100
14-03-26Spain - La Liga Primera DivisionAth Madrid vs Getafe1X2
Home75.58%
Home1-0
HITHigh87/100
14-03-26Spain - La Liga Primera DivisionGirona vs Ath BilbaoBTS
BTS Yes54.87%
BTS No3-0
MISSMedium48/100
14-03-26Italy - Serie AUdinese vs Juventus1X2
Away60.86%
Away0-1
HITHigh80/100
14-03-26Italy - Serie ANapoli vs Lecce1X2
Home73.02%
Home2-1
HITHigh89/100
14-03-26Italy - Serie AInter vs AtalantaO/U 2.5
Over 2.568.08%
Under 2.51-1
MISSHigh84/100
14-03-26Greece - Ethniki KatigoriaLarisa vs Asteras TripolisO/U 2.5
Under 2.570.20%
Under 2.51-1
HITMedium48/100
14-03-26England - Premier League

Sunderland vs Brighton

1X2
PredictedHome41.72%
ActualAway0-1
ResultMISS
ConfidenceLow43/100
14-03-26England - Premier League

Burnley vs Bournemouth

1X2
PredictedAway59.94%
ActualDraw0-0
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh81/100
14-03-26Spain - La Liga Primera Division

Real Madrid vs Elche

1X2
PredictedHome93.98%
ActualHome4-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh91/100
14-03-26Spain - La Liga Primera Division

Oviedo vs Valencia

O/U 2.5
PredictedUnder 2.577.27%
ActualUnder 2.51-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceMedium54/100
14-03-26Spain - La Liga Primera Division

Ath Madrid vs Getafe

1X2
PredictedHome75.58%
ActualHome1-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh87/100
14-03-26Spain - La Liga Primera Division

Girona vs Ath Bilbao

BTS
PredictedBTS Yes54.87%
ActualBTS No3-0
ResultMISS
ConfidenceMedium48/100
14-03-26Italy - Serie A

Udinese vs Juventus

1X2
PredictedAway60.86%
ActualAway0-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh80/100
14-03-26Italy - Serie A

Napoli vs Lecce

1X2
PredictedHome73.02%
ActualHome2-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh89/100
14-03-26Italy - Serie A

Inter vs Atalanta

O/U 2.5
PredictedOver 2.568.08%
ActualUnder 2.51-1
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh84/100
14-03-26Greece - Ethniki Katigoria

Larisa vs Asteras Tripolis

O/U 2.5
PredictedUnder 2.570.20%
ActualUnder 2.51-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceMedium48/100
Showing 301-310 of 331 examples
10 rows per page

Interpretation Guidance

Match probabilities describe estimated likelihood ranges, not fixed outcomes. Treat forecasts as context and combine them with your own match analysis.