MatchProb Analytics

MatchProb

Football match probabilities, team-form indicators, and scoring trend context in one structured dashboard.

Structured around probability, scoring conditions, and prior recorded results.

Pre-match probabilities Form and scoring context Backtested validation

Statistical Match Probabilities

Structured Home/Draw/Away, goal, and scoring-likelihood outputs with transparent presentation.

Team Form & Scoring Trends

Recent performance context is displayed alongside league goal environment indicators.

Historical Validation

Stored backtest examples and summary metrics keep the live view grounded in recorded model performance.

Clear Data-Driven Insights

A practical pre-match analytics workflow built for clarity and fast interpretation.

MatchProb Predictor

Select a competition and team pairing to generate a structured pre-match probability view with scoring context and recent performance cues.

Active Team PoolUnavailableSelect a league first
Teams AvailableUnavailableSelect a league first
Coverage ThroughUnavailableSelect a league first
Data RefreshedUnavailableSelect a league first

Historical performance

Results

Historical results across Top Pick and the main match markets.

Top Pick highlights the model's clearest supported angle in each historical example.

Use these results as a guide to how the model has performed across prior recorded forecasts. Probability Accuracy shows how closely forecast probabilities matched outcomes. Lower is better.

Top Pick

Top Pick Hit Rate53.47%Strongest supported match angle
Top Pick Avg Probability62.54%Average selected pick probability
Top Pick Probability Accuracy0.2465Lower is better
Confidence Success56.22%High-confidence Top Picks

Core Markets

1X2 Hit Rate48.94%Match result hit rate
O/U 2.5 Hit Rate54.98%Over/under market hit rate
BTS Market Hit Rate54.68%Both-teams-to-score market hit rate
Over 2.5 Actual Rate49.55%Share of matches finishing over 2.5

Accuracy

1X2 Probability Accuracy0.6124Lower is better
Over 2.5 Probability Accuracy0.2535Lower is better
BTS Probability Accuracy0.2513Lower is better
BTS Actual Rate51.66%Share of matches with both teams scoring

Results Filters

Top Pick metrics for the current filtered historical examples.

Matches331Historical examples in scope
Top Pick Hit Rate53.47%Selected Top Pick rows
Top Pick Avg Probability62.54%Average selected pick probability
Confidence Success56.22%High-confidence Top Picks

Historical Examples

Recent Backtested Examples

Historical examples of the model's strongest selected angle for each match.

Showing 311-320 of 331 examples.

DateCompetitionMatchMarketPredictedActualResultConfidence
14-03-26Greece - Ethniki KatigoriaPanserraikos vs Aris1X2
Away47.37%
Draw0-0
MISSMedium67/100
14-03-26Greece - Ethniki KatigoriaOFI Crete vs Olympiakos1X2
Away74.21%
Away0-3
HITHigh89/100
14-03-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1Trabzonspor vs Rizespor1X2
Home75.50%
Home1-0
HITHigh87/100
14-03-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1Goztep vs Alanyaspor1X2
Home53.67%
Draw2-2
MISSHigh75/100
14-03-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1Galatasaray vs Buyuksehyr1X2
Home70.62%
Home3-0
HITHigh85/100
14-03-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1Kocaelispor vs KonyasporBTS
BTS No63.26%
BTS Yes1-2
MISSLow34/100
13-03-26Germany - Bundesliga 1M'gladbach vs St PauliO/U 2.5
Under 2.559.88%
Under 2.52-0
HITLow20/100
13-03-26Belgium - Jupiler LeagueGent vs Waregem1X2
Home60.53%
Home2-0
HITHigh78/100
13-03-26France - Ligue 1Marseille vs Auxerre1X2
Home76.50%
Home1-0
HITHigh89/100
13-03-26Netherlands - EredivisieZwolle vs Groningen1X2
Home45.96%
Draw1-1
MISSMedium62/100
14-03-26Greece - Ethniki Katigoria

Panserraikos vs Aris

1X2
PredictedAway47.37%
ActualDraw0-0
ResultMISS
ConfidenceMedium67/100
14-03-26Greece - Ethniki Katigoria

OFI Crete vs Olympiakos

1X2
PredictedAway74.21%
ActualAway0-3
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh89/100
14-03-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1

Trabzonspor vs Rizespor

1X2
PredictedHome75.50%
ActualHome1-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh87/100
14-03-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1

Goztep vs Alanyaspor

1X2
PredictedHome53.67%
ActualDraw2-2
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh75/100
14-03-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1

Galatasaray vs Buyuksehyr

1X2
PredictedHome70.62%
ActualHome3-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh85/100
14-03-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1

Kocaelispor vs Konyaspor

BTS
PredictedBTS No63.26%
ActualBTS Yes1-2
ResultMISS
ConfidenceLow34/100
13-03-26Germany - Bundesliga 1

M'gladbach vs St Pauli

O/U 2.5
PredictedUnder 2.559.88%
ActualUnder 2.52-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceLow20/100
13-03-26Belgium - Jupiler League

Gent vs Waregem

1X2
PredictedHome60.53%
ActualHome2-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh78/100
13-03-26France - Ligue 1

Marseille vs Auxerre

1X2
PredictedHome76.50%
ActualHome1-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh89/100
13-03-26Netherlands - Eredivisie

Zwolle vs Groningen

1X2
PredictedHome45.96%
ActualDraw1-1
ResultMISS
ConfidenceMedium62/100
Showing 311-320 of 331 examples
10 rows per page

Interpretation Guidance

Match probabilities describe estimated likelihood ranges, not fixed outcomes. Treat forecasts as context and combine them with your own match analysis.