MatchProb Analytics

MatchProb

Football match probabilities, team-form indicators, and scoring trend context in one structured dashboard.

Structured around probability, scoring conditions, and prior recorded results.

Pre-match probabilities Form and scoring context Backtested validation

Statistical Match Probabilities

Structured Home/Draw/Away, goal, and scoring-likelihood outputs with transparent presentation.

Team Form & Scoring Trends

Recent performance context is displayed alongside league goal environment indicators.

Historical Validation

Stored backtest examples and summary metrics keep the live view grounded in recorded model performance.

Clear Data-Driven Insights

A practical pre-match analytics workflow built for clarity and fast interpretation.

MatchProb Predictor

Select a competition and team pairing to generate a structured pre-match probability view with scoring context and recent performance cues.

Active Team PoolUnavailableSelect a league first
Teams AvailableUnavailableSelect a league first
Coverage ThroughUnavailableSelect a league first
Data RefreshedUnavailableSelect a league first

Historical performance

Results

Historical results across Top Pick and the main match markets.

Top Pick highlights the model's clearest supported angle in each historical example.

Use these results as a guide to how the model has performed across prior recorded forecasts. Probability Accuracy shows how closely forecast probabilities matched outcomes. Lower is better.

Top Pick

Top Pick Hit Rate53.47%Strongest supported match angle
Top Pick Avg Probability62.54%Average selected pick probability
Top Pick Probability Accuracy0.2465Lower is better
Confidence Success56.22%High-confidence Top Picks

Core Markets

1X2 Hit Rate48.94%Match result hit rate
O/U 2.5 Hit Rate54.98%Over/under market hit rate
BTS Market Hit Rate54.68%Both-teams-to-score market hit rate
Over 2.5 Actual Rate49.55%Share of matches finishing over 2.5

Accuracy

1X2 Probability Accuracy0.6124Lower is better
Over 2.5 Probability Accuracy0.2535Lower is better
BTS Probability Accuracy0.2513Lower is better
BTS Actual Rate51.66%Share of matches with both teams scoring

Results Filters

Top Pick metrics for the current filtered historical examples.

Matches331Historical examples in scope
Top Pick Hit Rate53.47%Selected Top Pick rows
Top Pick Avg Probability62.54%Average selected pick probability
Confidence Success56.22%High-confidence Top Picks

Historical Examples

Recent Backtested Examples

Historical examples of the model's strongest selected angle for each match.

Showing 321-330 of 331 examples.

DateCompetitionMatchMarketPredictedActualResultConfidence
13-03-26England - ChampionshipWrexham vs SwanseaBTS
BTS Yes60.76%
BTS No2-0
MISSHigh72/100
13-03-26Spain - La Liga Primera DivisionAlaves vs VillarrealO/U 2.5
Under 2.562.78%
Under 2.51-1
HITMedium57/100
13-03-26Italy - Serie ATorino vs ParmaO/U 2.5
Under 2.580.25%
Over 2.54-1
MISSMedium66/100
13-03-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1Karagumruk vs Fenerbahçe1X2
Away84.44%
Home2-0
MISSHigh91/100
13-03-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1Antalyaspor vs Gaziantep1X2
Home44.67%
Away1-4
MISSMedium63/100
11-03-26England - ChampionshipCoventry vs Preston1X2
Home67.63%
Home3-0
HITHigh84/100
11-03-26England - ChampionshipWest Brom vs SouthamptonBTS
BTS Yes57.46%
BTS Yes1-1
HITMedium51/100
11-03-26England - ChampionshipOxford vs Blackburn1X2
Draw43.39%
Home1-0
MISSMedium53/100
11-03-26England - ChampionshipNorwich vs Sheffield UnitedBTS
BTS Yes57.44%
BTS Yes2-1
HITLow21/100
11-03-26England - ChampionshipMiddlesbrough vs Charlton1X2
Home67.00%
Away0-1
MISSHigh87/100
13-03-26England - Championship

Wrexham vs Swansea

BTS
PredictedBTS Yes60.76%
ActualBTS No2-0
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh72/100
13-03-26Spain - La Liga Primera Division

Alaves vs Villarreal

O/U 2.5
PredictedUnder 2.562.78%
ActualUnder 2.51-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceMedium57/100
13-03-26Italy - Serie A

Torino vs Parma

O/U 2.5
PredictedUnder 2.580.25%
ActualOver 2.54-1
ResultMISS
ConfidenceMedium66/100
13-03-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1

Karagumruk vs Fenerbahçe

1X2
PredictedAway84.44%
ActualHome2-0
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh91/100
13-03-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1

Antalyaspor vs Gaziantep

1X2
PredictedHome44.67%
ActualAway1-4
ResultMISS
ConfidenceMedium63/100
11-03-26England - Championship

Coventry vs Preston

1X2
PredictedHome67.63%
ActualHome3-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh84/100
11-03-26England - Championship

West Brom vs Southampton

BTS
PredictedBTS Yes57.46%
ActualBTS Yes1-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceMedium51/100
11-03-26England - Championship

Oxford vs Blackburn

1X2
PredictedDraw43.39%
ActualHome1-0
ResultMISS
ConfidenceMedium53/100
11-03-26England - Championship

Norwich vs Sheffield United

BTS
PredictedBTS Yes57.44%
ActualBTS Yes2-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceLow21/100
11-03-26England - Championship

Middlesbrough vs Charlton

1X2
PredictedHome67.00%
ActualAway0-1
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh87/100
Showing 321-330 of 331 examples
10 rows per page

Interpretation Guidance

Match probabilities describe estimated likelihood ranges, not fixed outcomes. Treat forecasts as context and combine them with your own match analysis.